18:10 Kempton

Tuesday 5 November 2019

All16:4017:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:10

Wise Betting At racingtv.com Nursery

Off time: 18:12 | Winning time: 1m 12.96s

(12)

Last Date³³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-11| J: D C Costello| T: I Furtado| OR: 61| D

8/1

Back on the AW for his nursery debut he showed improved form to score at 40-1 winning a shade cosily after travelling well. Given a 7lb rise for that win he not only has the weight rise to deal with but also an awkward wide draw.

Form: 0571

(9)

Fair Sabra^b1¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-6| J: William Carson| T: D R C Elsworth| OR: 56

11/1

Not seen to best effect when midfield over C&D last time on what was her second handicap start. Eased 2lb and with blinkers now introduced for the first-time it wouldn't be a surprise to see her perform better on this occasion.

Form: 56966

(5)

You Don't Own Me¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-6| J: Charles Bishop| T: J Tuite| OR: 56

5/2

Yet to win a race but produced her best performance last time out over C&D with positive tactics used for the first time. Stick to her task well having been headed; repeat performance may see her go close off 2lb higher.

Form: 74853

(7)

Maisie Ellie^h,t³³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-3| J: L Morris| T: Paul George| OR: 53

66/1

Best effort came on debut at Nottingham (5f, good) in April but all of that appears a long time ago now having suffered two heavy defeats in handicaps the last twice. Now makes her Polytrack debut (both previous AW effort on Tapeta).

Form: 598590

(3)

Oasis Song¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-1| J: Charlie Bennett| T: H Morrison| OR: 51

13/2

Handicap newcomer who looks to have been brought along with this day in mind although this trip (unless strongly-run) does looks on the shorts side for her. Mark a lenient one taking her pedigree into consideration; one of real interest.

Form: 776

(10)

Sir Rodneyredblood³³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 50

11/1

Has a rather patchy record overall although his best handicap run did come over C&D off a 3lb higher mark. A line can be put through his last run where everything went wrong; type who needs some consideration if events fall his way.

Form: 055399

(8)

Star Of St Louis¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Rob Hornby| T: D P Quinn| OR: 47

4/1

Modest form overall with his attempts at 6f looking as though he finds this trip on the short side. Ran well at Newcastle (7f) last time (first-time cheekpieces) when making up ground rather too quickly (unable to sustain effort); still of interest.

Form: 086645

(2)

Orange Justice¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-10| J: David Egan| T: D Loughnane| OR: 46

16/1

Went with little promise and showed nothing more than she had in novice/maiden company on her handicap debut over 5f at Newcastle. More needed to make an impact with hopes pinned on a Polytrack debut up to 6f for the first time.

Form: 6950

(6)

Penny Diamond⁹⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-9| J: M Dwyer| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR: 45

9/1

Handicap newcomer who fared no better in first-time blinkers (now removed) when beating just one rival home for the third run in succession last time. Hard to piece together a cogent case on the evidence so far even off a basement mark.

Form: 488

(1)

Mumsbirthdaygirl⁴¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-9| J: Nicola Currie| T: D M Loughnane| OR: 45

16/1

Upped to 6f for the first time on her latest start at Redcar she maintained the impression gained from her previous starts that she's only modest at best. One of two from the yard in this her chance isn't obvious off a lowly mark.

Form: 50655

Non-Runners

(4)

Shani¹⁵

Weight: 9-7| Age: 2

T: J J Bridger J: Aled Beech

(11)

Jane Victoria⁶⁴

Weight: 9-1| Age: 2

T: L McJannet J: Non Runner

Forecasts

You Don't Own Me (5/2), Star Of St Louis (4/1), Oasis Song (13/2), Last Date (8/1), Penny Diamond (9/1), Shani (10/1), Sir Rodneyredblood (11/1), Fair Sabra (11/1), Orange Justice (16/1), Mumsbirthdaygirl (16/1), Jane Victoria (16/1), Maisie Ellie (66/1)

Not as many likely improvers and interesting types are the previous nursery and it may well be that OASIS SONG can gain show further progress now that she goes into handicaps. She’s bred to successful in better company than this and still showed some inexperience last time; a longer trip would have been ideal but in this grade 6f could suffice. You Don’t Own Me is nicely drawn to go forward tactics that suited well last time and granted an easy lead she could be hard to catch although she too would be better over 7f. Fair Sabra, Sir Rodneyredblood and Star Of St Louis form a trio that wouldn’t be out of this on their best form.