12:00 Newmarket

Friday 1 November 2019

All12:0012:3013:0513:4014:1514:5015:2516:00

Heath Court Hotel EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1)

Off time: 12:02 | Winning time: 1m 29.58s

(1)

Big Jimbo⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Liam Keniry| T: G & J Moore

100/1

Half-brother by Helmet to a 7f winner. No show in two starts at up to this trip on turf, and is unlikely to figure in the evidence to date.

Form: 00

(10)

Celestran

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: N Mackay| T: J & T Gosden

12/1

Full-brother to 1m1½f winner Lunar Corona and half-brother to useful 7f/7½f winner Astrologer. Top yard won this last year, and operating at 28% strike-rate this season.

Form:

(6)

Gold Desert²⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Tom Marquand| T: R Hannon

7/1

150,000 gns yearling out of an unraced half-sister to Canford Cliffs. Matched debut form when fifth of 9 to Al Rufaa in a 7f novice at York last time. More needed, but experience should stand him in good stead.

Form: 55

(7)

Johnny Utah

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S Donohoe| T: R Spencer

25/1

Gelded son of Dandy Man out of a modest but well-related maiden. Didn't break the bank at €30,000, and others preferred in the absence of market clues.

Form:

(11)

Keats¹⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: A Kirby| T: A P O'Brien

4/6

Bred in the purple, his siblings including the dam of dual 2000 Guineas winner Churchill. Very green, but shaped well when fourth of 14 to Ten Year Ticket in a heavy-ground maiden at the Curragh ten days ago, and open to plenty of improvement now.

Form: 4

(3)

Lord Warburton⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Callum Shepherd| T: M L W Bell

100/1

Zoffany half-brother to a Listed 1¼m winner. Too green to show anything on racecourse bow here recently, and may need more experience before he blossoms.

Form: 0

(8)

Louganini

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Jason Watson| T: H & R Charlton

10/1

By Zoffany out of 1m2½f Listed winner Princess Loulou, who relished soft ground. Already gelded, but appeals on pedigree, and yard has produced some promising debutants of late.

Form:

(5)

Naizagai¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: David Egan| T: R Varian

9/2

Half-brother to connections' Musidora Stakes winner Nausha. Ran on well when third of 10 to Society Lion in a novice at Yarmouth (7f, heavy) recently. Likely to improve, and one to bear in mind.

Form: 3

(9)

Prince Percy

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: H Crouch| T: G & J Moore

66/1

Sir Percy half-brother to 1m winner Taty Dance. Yard gets the occasional winner on debut, but runners usually improve for a run, and others more appealing on paper.

Form:

(4)

Wadi Al Sail⁹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: Miss Gay Kelleway

25/1

Holy Roman Emperor colt who was sent off at big odds, but didn't shape too badly when seventh of 10 to Cobra Eye in a 6f maiden at Goodwood in July. Open to improvement, but has a 3-month absence to overcome.

Form: 7

Non-Runners

(2)

Big Wing

Weight: 9-0| Age: 2

T: R Hannon J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Keats (4/6), Naizagai (9/2), Gold Desert (7/1), Louganini (10/1), Celestran (12/1), Big Wing (14/1), Wadi Al Sail (25/1), Johnny Utah (25/1), Prince Percy (66/1), Lord Warburton (100/1), Big Jimbo (100/1)

KEATS is bred to be smart and looked a certain future winner when fourth at the Curragh ten days ago. He should improve enough to win this on his way to better things. Naizagai is just about the pick of those with experience and should get involved, but the biggest threat may be a newcomer, with Louganini making appeal on pedigree and from a yard which has produced a few promising newcomers this autumn.