13:25 Brighton Thu 17 October 2019

  • bonuscodebets.co.uk Handicap (Class 6)
  • 5f 215y, Soft (Heavy in places)
  • 11 Runners
  • Winner£2,782.002nd£828.003rd£414.004th£300.005th£300.006th£300.007th£300.008th£300.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 15.36sOff time:13:26:44
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(6)
79-7OR: 55C
6/1

Showed good early pace but was soon overhauled and backpedaling when finishing behind Firenze Rosa at Bath last month; better off at the weights and suited by soft ground but still a stiff test to reverse the form.

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2
(7)
49-7OR: 50C
11/8

Thrived lately and ran on strongly to score over C&D nine days ago; carries 5lb extra but rider's claims more than covers the hike. Follow up not ruled out while conditions are in her favour; leading contender after going close at Bath on Wednesday.

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3
(3)
39-6OR: 55
50/1

Still relatively unexposed but hasn't made much progress in three starts since May and was easily brushed aside in a Class 5 handicap earlier in the month. The ease in grade and slight drop in trip might suit but she still has something to prove.

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6
(11)
59-4OR: 52CD
33/1

Well handicapped and better off with Firenze Rosa from the last time they met; not much to find on a literal reading of their Lingfield encounter. However, the mare has always shown better levels on a synthetic surface and comes with risk attached.

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7
(10)
79-0OR: 48CD
14/1

Handles this course well but needed a career lowest mark to get back to winning ways on the AW last month. Just 2lb higher but lacks consistency and soft ground unlikely to be ideal. (Engaged at Kempton on Wednesday.)

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8
(12)
78-13OR: 47CD
10/1

Has a 5lb pull with Firenze Rosa after their C&D encounter last month and feasible he'll be closer this time; won this race from a 2lb lower mark last season and back after a similar build-up. Worth a betting check but strike-rate on turf is poor.

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9
(1)
58-12OR: 45D
7/1

Has ability and the pick of his form reads well However, he's out of the weights and the majority of his racing has been on the AW tracks; also something to prove now dropped in trip; only a strong move in the betting would sway the interest.

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10
(13)
68-12OR: 45D
16/1

Another renewing rivalries with Firenze Rosa on more favourable terms than last month (was also behind that rival at Goodwood in August but much better off today). Consistency isn't her strong point lately but she'd still be dangerous to rule out.

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11
(14)
58-12OR: 45CD
9/1

Well handicapped and fresher than most after a light 2019 campaign; wasn't beaten far in an amateur rider's race at Windsor in early October and will be a lot sharper this time. Ran well only previous time in blinkers; could be good value here.

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12
(5)
118-12OR: 45CD
33/1

Veteran with only a solitary win to his name since 2016; ran above market expectations when fifth behind Firenze Rosa over C&D at the start of this month and interesting to note Luke Morris takes over from a 7lb claimer. Place claims with a step up.

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14
(8)
48-12OR: 45
100/1

0-18 and plenty to find on recent form (was 4¾L behind Cool Strutter here last time out) and looks opposable from just out of the weights.

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Non-Runners

4
(4)
Knockout Blow31
49-6OR: 54
T: J E LongJ: Thomas Greatrex
5
(9)
Mad Endeavour8
89-4OR: 52
T: W S KittowJ: F Sweeney
13
(2)
Red Snapper45
48-12OR: 45
T: W StoneJ: Non Runner

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
10Cool Strutter68-127/1Full Result
T: J L SpearingJ: Jack Mitchell

Betting

Forecast

Firenze Rosa (11/8), Bahamian Sunrise (6/1), Mister Freeze (7/1), Ocean Temptress (9/1), Cool Strutter (10/1), Mad Endeavour (10/1), Wild Flower (14/1), Flowing Clarets (16/1), Knockout Blow (16/1), Red Snapper (16/1), Pharoh Jake (33/1), Mercers (33/1), Shaffire (50/1), Free Talkin (100/1)

Verdict

A lot depends on how much a busy little period has taken out of Firenze Rosa, as she's been kept busy while the ground is in her favour. The filly holds a handful of these on the form of last month's C&D success and should again make a bold bid if she is turned out again quickly under her 5lb penalty (ran a blinder to be second at Bath on Wednesday). However, OCEAN TEMPTRESS, who ran well in her only previous start in blinkers, also appeals on these terms and the well handicapped mare is the preferred suggestion on grounds of anticipated each-way value this time. Mad Endeavour and Pharoh Jake are others to bear in mind.
  1. Ocean Temptress
  2. Firenze Rosa
  3. Mad Endeavour

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to all bets - deduction 5p in the pound

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