16:35 Kempton Wed 9 October 2019

  • Close Brothers/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div 1) (Class 5)
  • 7f, Standard / Slow
  • 11 Runners
  • Winner£3,881.002nd£1,155.003rd£577.004th£289.00
  • Surface: Polytrack
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 26.42sOff time:16:36:31
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(8)
50/1

Yard yet to have a 2yo newcomer win this year (0-11); Bated Breath gelding, €105,000 yearling, resold €240,000 yearling. Dam a winner in France half- sister to a couple of useful winners.

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2
(2)
29-5OR:
7/4

Trainer has a terrific 15-43 (35%) strike-rate with 2yo newcomers this year; by Curlin $1.3 yearling, first foal. Dam US 2yo winner, sister to multiple US graded winner Taris (won 7f, Grade 1). Commands respect on pedigree and record of stable.

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3
(11)
29-5OR:
100/1

Heeraat colt, tongue-tie worn for debut out of a dam who was a 5f winner including as a 2yo. Yard 0-8 with 2yo newcomers this year, best watched for his debut; also been handed an awkward draw.

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4
(13)
29-5OR:
9/4

Much improved from his Sandown debut over 7f when returning to the same C&D last time to finish second to a short-priced previous winner. Only really beaten in the last 100 yards; one to progress although does have the widest draw to cope with.

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5
(5)
29-5OR:
7/2

Nicely-bred Siyouni colt who shaped with plenty of encouragement on his debut over 6f at Newbury particularly as he's bred to be better over further. Travelled as any last time; sure to put that experience to good use here over an extra furlong.

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7
(7)
29-5OR:
50/1

Newcomer from a yard who are 12-108 (11%) with their juvenile newcomers this season. £40,000 yearling by Clodavil, bother to winner at an extended 7f Cedilla and half-brother to a couple of middle-distance winners; market to guide.

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8
(1)
29-5OR:
5/1

Trainer has a modest 2-31 record with 2yo newcomers this year with this Raven's Pass colt being a first foal. Dam 2yo 1m winner; half-sister to smart 7f winner Ibn Malik (by Raven's Pass). Given the yard's record with debutants best watched for now.

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9
(6)
29-5OR:
28/1

Based on his initial run at Haydock (6f, soft) he looks one who will need time and distance (pedigree backs this up). Lost his place quickly last time out and even over this 7f he looks one who is best observed rather than supported.

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10
(9)
50/1

From a yard that have had a poor season overall (0-6 with 2yo newcomers) this Canford Cliffs colt makes only limited appeal on his debut. Half-brother to smart 1m (including at two) winner The Grape Escape; dam, ran once.

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11
(10)
29-5OR:
66/1

Cost £60,000 as a yearling, by Society Rock; has looked very green and in need of the experience so far in two races separated by a seven week break. May well be more one for handicaps further down the line.

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12
(12)
29-4OR: 70D
50/1

Most experienced of these by far having already had six starts and carries a penalty for her 7f AW Chelmsford win when holding off two newcomers. Beaten twice since including in a nursery; looks vulnerable back in this company.

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Non-Runners

6
(4)
Priest19
29-5OR: -
T: M MeadeJ: Rob Hornby
13
(3)
Best Address34
29-0OR: -
T: Mrs A J PerrettJ: Non Runner

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
3Buffalo River29-211/10Full Result
T: J H M GosdenJ: R Havlin

Betting

Forecast

Desert Peace (7/4), Mars Landing (9/4), Nugget (7/2), Raajin (5/1), Priest (25/1), Siberian Night (28/1), Best Address (33/1), Banmi (50/1), Beauty Choice (50/1), The Turpinator (50/1), Punctuate (50/1), Tiger Zone (66/1), Heer I Am (100/1)

Verdict

Plenty of these are sure to need the experience although given Charlie Appleby’s record with his 2yo newcomers this year the $1.3 purchase by Curlin Desert Peace has to respected on his debut especially as he has a very decent draw. Sir Michael Stoute landed a division of this contest last year and he has a fine chance of doing so again via Mars Landing who ran well against a hotpot at Sandown last time stepping forward from his debut; his wide draw doesn’t help though. NUGGET will be better over this 7f than the 6f he ran over on his debut and his yard’s runners tend to be better with a start tucked under their belts.
  1. Nugget
  2. Mars Landing
  3. Desert Peace

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A look at how the Sporting Life recommended bets have performed in October 2019.

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F: 1/21412-

T: B Ellison

Pacify

F: 1111

T: Jamie Snowden

Silver Streak

F: 122235-

T: Evan Williams

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F: 213543

T: D O'Meara

Robeam

F: -

T: B Ellison