20:15 Southwell

Thursday 19 September 2019

All17:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:15

8th November 30th Anniversary Dinner Handicap

Off time: 20:16 | Winning time: 3m 6.38s

(8)

Foresee³⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: George Downing| T: A W Carroll| OR: 54

8/1

1-21 since leaving France but fallen to mark 4lb lower than that win after quiet 2019 campaign largely at a higher level than this. Not ruled out although still not entirely convinced he wants this far.

Form: 7-46357

(11)

Bird To Love¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Ellie Mackenzie⁽⁷⁾| T: M D I Usher| OR: 48

14/1

Low-mileage five-year-old been hit and miss since returning from two and a half year absence this season and overall looks best avoided having been well held the last twice.

Form: 8/97357

(2)

Sincerely Resdev^p²⁶⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: A Elliott| T: P A Kirby| OR: 48

12/1

Inconsistent, but bounced back to form when a nose second over 1m4f when last seen in December. Entitled to need this run but course form solid and trip ideal.

Form: 377032-

(4)

Guaracha^v³⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 8-13| J: F Norton| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 45

20/1

Four-time winner (two over jumps) has made the frame the last twice over 2m on the AW off today's handicap mark. Step back in trip may suit given he often bowls along in front and certainly one of the more likely sorts here.

Form: 995523

(10)

Red Douglas^p³⁸⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: K T O'Neill| T: S Dixon| OR: 45

33/1

Not really fired since having a break with his latest effort here over 1m4f seeing him beaten 17L after a similar performance over 1m6f at Chelmsford; hard to fancy.

Form: 766/397-

(7)

Misty Breese¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Noel Garbutt⁽³⁾| T: Sarah Hollinshead| OR: 45

50/1

Once-placed maiden of 19 attempts another new trip here but latest run was particularly dismal which is a common theme.

Form: 668695

(12)

Doune Castle^v¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding| OR: 52

7/2

Although only fourth of five there was improvement in his first try beyond 1m4f at Chelmsford latest where he was short of room at a key stage. Far from ruled out here now with slight step back in trip possibly ideal.

Form: 77504

(6)

Land Of Winter⁴¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: P Mulrennan| T: Rae Guest| OR: 51| BF

7/2

Ran decent races over shorter trips the last twice and rather one paced nature suggests him the sort who may relish an extra test of stamina. First time on this surface but not ruled out.

Form: 09-6935

(13)

Thornton Le Clay²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 49

11/4

3L second here over 2m latest had to be considered a success for this three-year-old who had been beaten at least 20L in all previous starts over middle distances. Entitled to respect now.

Form: 07402

(5)

Postie⁹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Ryan Tate| T: J M P Eustace| OR: 49

12/1

Nicely bred Medicean filly but has shown precious little in three starts so far, beaten a long way on each occasion although did a little better last time. First start in a handicap over 4f further so is open to improvement.

Form: 905

(9)

Volcanique^b¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott| OR: 46

5/1

Remains a maiden but found only one too good when second at Chelmsford latest over 2m (Doune Castle fourth) and off the same mark here she rates a leading contender for her yard who excel with three-year-old stayers.

Form: 0-65442

Non-Runners

(3)

Zahraani¹⁶

Weight: 9-0| Age: 4

T: J R Jenkins J: G Lee

(1)

Traditional Dancer²⁴

Weight: 9-0| Age: 7

T: I Jardine J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Traditional Dancer (9/4), Thornton Le Clay (11/4), Land Of Winter (7/2), Doune Castle (7/2), Volcanique (5/1), Foresee (8/1), Postie (12/1), Sincerely Resdev (12/1), Bird To Love (14/1), Guaracha (20/1), Red Douglas (33/1), Zahraani (33/1), Misty Breese (50/1)

Having been so impressive over fences last time out there is the distinct possibility that TRADITIONAL DANCER is an improved sort and he ran pretty well the last two times he was seen over 1m4f on the level which given his ability to stay 3m over fences surely wouldn't have suited as well as 1m6f will here. Three-year-olds are the dangers with Volcanique and Thornton Le Clay both shortlisted after career bests over 2m last time out.