Southampton Goodwill Plate Chase

Off time: 16:15 | Winning time: 4m 48.10s

A Toi Phil^p,t²

Age: 9| Weight: 11-6| J: Sean O'Keeffe⁽⁷⁾| T: G Elliott| OR: 144| D

5/2

Multiple Graded winner finished 10th in the Kerry National here (3m) on Wednesday continuing a run which suggests handicap's at present not a good course of action. Not an impossible task here at the weights and 2m4f may suit better than 3m.

Form: 00-0040

Last Goodbye^b,t²¹

Age: 8| Weight: 11-2| J: Sean Flanagan| T: Miss E Doyle| OR: 140| D

4/1

Winless since landing a valuable Leopardstown contest in February 2018. Not got competitive since the start of 2019 and others are more compelling here.

Form: 0/2500-6

Lucky Pat^t³⁴

Age: 11| Weight: 11-2| J: Rachael Blackmore| T: Mrs D A Love| OR: 125| BF| D

7/1

Five-time winner (one over fences) run sound races in his last three starts but faces an uphill task here given that he would receive 20lb from top-rated The West's Awake in a handicap.

Form: 6/6-6224

Monbeg River¹⁵⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 11-2| J: D F O'Regan| T: M Todhunter| OR: 129

5/1

English raider finished second in valuable Skybet handicap last season before ending campaign with a fifth at Ayr at the Welsh National meeting. Second lowest rated here but more likely than some to run to that mark.

Form: 2F/3225-

The West's Awake^p¹⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 11-2| J: R M Power| T: E J O'Grady| OR: 145| D

2/1

Rather disappointing since his win at Punchestown in May off a mark of 141. A repeat of that effort would make him very hard to beat but hard to predict such a performance now. Top-rated performer so chance is clear if on song.

Form: F-1F0P3

Forecasts

The West's Awake (2/1), A Toi Phil (5/2), Last Goodbye (4/1), Monbeg River (5/1), Lucky Pat (7/1)

Although without a win since January 2018 A TOI PHIL is taken to regain the winning thread in a race where solid recent form is hard to find. Gordon Elliott's charge has had some tough assignments in that winless run but should find this much more suitable. The biggest threat may come from The West's Awake who gets 4lb from the selection yet is rated 1lb higher at present although he doesn't convince he can run to that mark. Monbeg River has it to do at the weights but can't be dismissed given his rivals recent dry spells.