14:05 Yarmouth

Thursday 25 July 2019

All14:0514:3515:1015:4016:1516:4517:20

Haven Seashore Holiday Park Handicap

Off time: 14:12 | Winning time: 1m 11.93s

(2)

Desert Fox⁵⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Rossa Ryan| T: M Murphy| OR: 67| D

8/1

All three wins have come at Chelmsford and sole podium finish on turf came in a weak event. Looks vulnerable here under topweight.

Form: 7699-18

(1)

Lilbourne Star⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Amelia Glass⁽⁷⁾| T: C G Cox| OR: 65

6/4

Rider reprimanded last time having briefly stopped riding today's mount in the final 100 yards. The pair went down by a neck and will seek compensation here before a revised mark of 69 kicks in.

Form: 24-602

(3)

Kraka^p²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: K T O'Neill| T: Mrs C A Dunnett| OR: 65| CD

12/1

Sole turf victory came over C&D off this mark almost a year ago. Has been below par lately though and cheekpieces are refitted. Others make more appeal.

Form: 120307

(4)

Case Key^b1⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: Kieran Schofield⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 64| D

16/1

Very well handicapped on the pick of his form, and now 5lb lower than for latest win. Has been placed in two of his three visits here, but arrives in poor form and needing blinkers to provide a spark.

Form: 5-88905

(5)

Princess Keira¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: P Cosgrave| T: M Quinn| OR: 64| CD

4/1

C&D winner representing a yard with a 2-5 record in this race. Looked unlucky in running last time when bidding to follow up her Newmarket success and rates a leading contender here.

Form: 13-3217

(7)

Time To Reason^p³⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: Dylan Hogan⁽⁵⁾| T: C Wallis| OR: 64| BF

33/1

Has been campaigned primarily on AW since arriving from Ireland. Has a 2-11 record on turf but those victories came over 7f on soft ground. Arrives on a feasible mark with a good claimer on board and following a decent effort last time.

Form: 631304

(9)

Tulloona²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: J Mitchell| T: Tom Clover| OR: 65

13/2

Has so far proved less effective on turf and seemed to find this trip too short last time. Also looked a little awkward that day and others preferred here.

Form: 33465

(8)

Budaiya Fort^p⁴²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: Sean Davis⁽³⁾| T: P S McEntee| OR: 48

40/1

Finished fourth off 7b higher on stable debut over C&D in May but has failed to match that since. Prior record suggests he will be dangerous if the market anticipates a better show.

Form: 094008

(6)

Sweet Forgetme Not^t,v1⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: Josephine Gordon| T: P S McEntee| OR: 48

6/1

Ex-Irish maiden who has been raiding these shores without much luck. Just found one too good over C&D last week and debuts for new yard with a change of headgear.

Form: 750322

Forecasts

Lilbourne Star (6/4), Princess Keira (4/1), Sweet Forgetme Not (6/1), Tulloona (13/2), Desert Fox (8/1), Kraka (12/1), Case Key (16/1), Time To Reason (33/1), Budaiya Fort (40/1)

Amelia Glass incurred the wrath of the stewards and punters when going down narrowly last time. Her mount LILBOURNE STAR has been reassessed as having won that race and connections come here before that new mark kicks in. That makes the combination hard to oppose but Princess Keira hails from a yard with a good record in this and is on an upward trajectory. Time To Reason arrives on a feasible mark but would make more appeal on a softer surface or over an extra furlong. Sweet Forgetme Not may be a bigger danger having gone close here last week and having since joined a new yard.