19:25 Naas

Wednesday 24 July 2019

All17:5018:2018:5519:2520:0020:3021:00

Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Fillies' Listed)

Off time: 19:28 | Winning time: 1m 11.98s

(16)

Gold Filigree³²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: S W Kelly| T: R Hughes| OR: 96| D

25/1

Started season well with two handicap wins and Listed second at Bath. Well held the last twice however and must bounce back to very best here to make the frame.

Form: 0-12198

(1)

Heavenly Holly¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Ronan Whelan| T: H Palmer| OR: 96

11/2

Likable sort but only placed once in four starts at Pattern level although latest run at Group level was a tough ask. Interesting UK raider and has each-way potential.

Form: 15-1385

(14)

Rapid Reaction³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: A J Slattery| T: J F Grogan| OR: 90| C

33/1

Filly with a 2-16 record overall is 0-6 at Pattern level and while talented enough she ultimately isn't quite Listed class it seems.

Form: 0-56539

(12)

Lethal Promise^p1³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: W J Lee| T: W McCreery| OR: 100| BF| C| D

10/1

Won at this level at Fairyhouse last October and at Cork first time out this season before struggling in warm Curragh Group races. No disgrace in either effort there and back at this level she has leading claims.

Form: 401-158

(4)

Bailly¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Colin Keane| T: G M Lyons| OR: 85| CD

16/1

Well behind Lethal Promise on return but has been progressive since in handicaps an won over C&D last time out. Still must prove herself at Listed level but not ruled out.

Form: 2-03221

(17)

Cava^p1²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: D O'Brien| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 96| D

8/1

Well behind Lethal Promise at Cork earlier this season but running well otherwise and latest second at this level at Carlisle an effort which entitles her to serious respect here.

Form: 13-3842

(3)

Fantasy³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: P B Beggy| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 89

14/1

Placed at Listed and Group Three level at two but yet to make the frame in five starts this year and is now just 1-17 overall.

Form: 8-09487

(13)

Gossamer Wings^b¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Wayne Lordan| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 97

16/1

Twice Group Two placed as a juvenile but not really kicked on in 2019 and like many was behind Lethal Promise earlier in the campaign. Best form gives her a real chance but long time now since we saw that.

Form: 5-66587

(11)

Madam Seamstress⁷³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: K J Manning| T: J S Bolger| OR: 91

33/1

Winner of a 23-runner handicap off a lowly mark of 70 on return but held since at Leopardstown including Group Three sixth of 10 latest. Sights lowered but yet to be convinces she's Pattern class.

Form: 707-136

(9)

Mid Winster¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Ben Coen| T: A Slattery| OR: 90| D

20/1

Beat Nitro Boost in her maiden last year and back to winning ways at Fairyhouse latest in handicap company. Harsh treatment by the handicapper led connections down this route but looks a tall order.

Form: 614-571

(7)

Mona Lisa's Smile^b1⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: J A Heffernan| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 74

50/1

Winner of just one of her 11 and is the lowest rated runner in the contest by a long way.

Form: 71-5080

(6)

Nevereversaynever²⁶⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: L F Roche| T: J A Stack

20/1

Once raced daughter of No Nay Never is the dark horse in the piece having won a 5f AW contest at Dundalk in good fashion last November. Tall order here but hard to accurately gauge her at present.

Form: 1-

(5)

Nitro Boost²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Nathan Crosse| T: W McCreery| OR: 99

16/1

Close third to Lethal Promise at Cork followed up by winning a 5f Curragh handicap before struggling in the Rockingham Handicap over the same C&D. No obvious reason she reverses with aforementioned rival but not much to find.

Form: 8-47310

(10)

Probability³⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Gary Carroll| T: A Watson| OR: 89| D

20/1

Four-time AW winner and won only turf start to date at Chester over this trip penultimately. Progressive filly but one of the lowest rated for this, her Pattern level debut.

Form: 111514

(2)

Servalan⁷⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: S Foley| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 97| CD

11/2

C&D Listed winner at two was sixth next in the Queen Mary before twice bumping into subsequent Group One winners. Second to Lethal Promise at Cork in her only start this season and every chance of turning the tables now 3lb better off.

Form: 21685-2

(15)

Shimmering Dawn³⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: T Eaves| T: J Tate| OR: 90| D

10/1

Three-from-three in 2019 and since sent handicapping with wins at Chelmsford (twice) and Hamilton. More needed now at Pattern level but have to be wary of one so progressive.

Form: 545-111

(8)

Woody Creek²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Chris Hayes| T: J A Stack| OR: 98| CD

11/2

Twice a winner this season including over C&D before 1½L fifth to Nitro Boost conceding 5lb and took form to another new level latest when narrowly touched off in a Curragh Listed race. Still improving and very obvious claims here.

Form: 051152

Forecasts

Servalan (11/2), Woody Creek (11/2), Heavenly Holly (11/2), Cava (8/1), Shimmering Dawn (10/1), Lethal Promise (10/1), Fantasy (14/1), Gossamer Wings (16/1), Nitro Boost (16/1), Bailly (16/1), Mid Winster (20/1), Probability (20/1), Nevereversaynever (20/1), Gold Filigree (25/1), Madam Seamstress (33/1), Rapid Reaction (33/1), Mona Lisa's Smile (50/1)

About as open as it gets at Pattern level this with the top eight in ratings separated by just 4lb. All roads however lead to LETHAL PROMISE who had a whole host of today's rival behind when winning at Cork first time out and back at Listed level after struggling in Group races Will McCreery's filly gets the nod despite her 3lb penalty. Progressive C&D winner Woody Creek and Servalan who was second to the selection at Cork look among the biggest dangers.