13:40 Carlisle

Friday 31 May 2019

All13:1013:4014:1514:5015:2516:0016:4517:20

Thursby Handicap

Off time: 13:42 | Winning time: 1m 5.49s

(8)

Pavers Pride^b¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Danny Redmond⁽⁵⁾| T: N Wilson| OR: 67| D

11/2

In fine fettle in blinkers late last season winning twice over 5f at Musselburgh, and also finishing in the frame at Ayr and Nottingham (5f); down 2lb from his recent Ripon seasonal reappearance; handles soft.

Form: 01213-6

(10)

Alqaab¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: J Garritty| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 66

8/1

Joined Ruth Carr from William Haggas for £10,000 in January; dwelt when finishing 12th of 16 on 5f handicap debut (40/1) at Thirsk a fortnight ago; 4lb lower.

Form: 3-450

(2)

Afandem^p¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: D Fentiman| T: T D Easterby| OR: 63| D

11/1

Continuing on a long losing run; the rays of light shown in a couple of early season 6f starts have quickly disappeared back behind the clouds since being dropped back to 5f; tumbling down the handicap.

Form: 85-5400

(4)

Seamster^t²

Age: 12| Weight: 9-10| J: Laura Coughlan⁽⁷⁾| T: D Loughnane| OR: 63| D

5/1

Veteran who sits near enough his last winning mark (November 2018); no obvious concerns regarding the forecast conditions; showed plenty of early speed when finishing a weakening fifth of 11 to Everkyllachy at Hamilton on Wednesday (5f, soft).

Form: 801-545

(7)

Santafiora³³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Victor Santos⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 56

3/1

Versatile in terms of underfoot conditions, although her best form is over 6f and beyond; 1lb higher than for the second of her two wins on the AW at Wolverhampton (6f) in January; chance.

Form: 60-1165

(5)

Sapphire Jubilee²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Ben Robinson⁽³⁾| T: Ollie Pears| OR: 62

7/1

Handicap/turf debutante; gradually appears to be getting to grips with racing and wasn't at all discredited by finishing 2¾L third (25/1) to Lady In France on the AW at Newcastle (5f) latest; noteworthy.

Form: 0-33

(1)

Leeshaan²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: David Probert| T: Rebecca Bastiman| OR: 50

7/2

Infrequent scorer, with his sole previous win coming over 7f at Haydock in June 2017; kept on following a slow start to finish third at Hamilton (5f, good to firm) on his penultimate start; not so effective there on soft ground on Wednesday.

Form: 0-58039

(9)

Teepee Time^b²⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 8-11| J: Phil Dennis| T: M Mullineaux| OR: 50| D

16/1

8lb lower than when springing a 25/1 shock at Leicester (5f, good to firm) last June; 0-14 since and has shown no signs of a return to form in 2019; stablemate of Minty Jones.

Form: 556-680

(6)

Minty Jones^v¹⁴⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 8-9| J: Faye McManoman⁽⁵⁾| T: M Mullineaux| OR: 45| D

66/1

Hasn't beaten a single rival in four of his last five racecourse appearances, including at odds of 100/1 at Wolverhampton (5f) in January; stablemate of Teepee Time; not at all difficult to dismiss out of hand.

Form: 50600-0

Non-Runners

(3)

Encoded¹²⁶

Weight: 8-9| Age: 6

T: Miss L C Siddall J: J Fanning

Forecasts

Santafiora (3/1), Leeshaan (7/2), Encoded (7/2), Seamster (5/1), Pavers Pride (11/2), Sapphire Jubilee (7/1), Alqaab (8/1), Afandem (11/1), Teepee Time (16/1), Minty Jones (66/1)

Not the most competitive of 5f sprints with plenty making little overall appeal. Pavers Pride could build upon his seasonal reappearance, and on balance appears to be more consistent than the vast majority. Sapphire Jubilee is a handicap and turf debutante who should be monitored in the market, while the mare Encoded isn't overburdened in terms of weight following a break since an in-form spell on the AW at Newcastle. However, over a stiff 5f we'll chance Julie Camacho's SANTAFIORA who sits on a winnable mark, handles cut underfoot and could well be seen making strong late headway up the Carlisle hill.