14:00 Warwick

Monday 31 December 2018

All12:2512:5513:3014:0014:3515:0515:35

Local Parking Security Handicap Chase

Off time: 14:00 | Winning time: 6m 25.1s

Early Retirement^p¹⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 12-0| J: S Bowen| T: Mrs Caroline Bailey| OR: 122

10/1

Southwell specialist who was a fair second at that track on his chasing debut (3m) in October - beaten 2L by Rhaegar; disappointing at Bangor since and now seeks to get back on track.

Form: 25P-325

Merry Milan²³

Age: 6| Weight: 12-0| J: C Brace⁽⁷⁾| T: Nicky Martin| OR: 122| D

5/1

Stays well and was in the process of running a fair race at Ascot in November (3m) until falling at the third last fence; heavy ground a possible excuse for a much lesser showing since; eased 3lb in the weights.

Form: 161-2F4

Muckle Roe¹⁸

Age: 9| Weight: 12-0| J: Jamie Bargary| T: N & W Twiston-Davies| OR: 122| CD

7/1

Consistent 9yo who is twice a previous Warwick winner (including in this race in 2016 - 6L scorer); 5lb higher than when beaten a neck by Quarenta over C&D 18 days ago; obvious contender.

Form: 249-652

Horatio Hornblower^p²⁶⁰

Age: 10| Weight: 11-13| J: Chester Williams⁽⁷⁾| T: Nick Williams| OR: 121| BF| D

12/1

Largely reliable in the second half of last season with form figures reading 5223 after winning at Newbury (2m7f+, soft) in January; first racecourse appearance for 260 days.

Form: 415223-

Voie Dans Voie^v1²⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 11-12| J: Wayne Hutchinson| T: A King| OR: 120| BF

11/2

Plenty of placed form but remains a maiden after making eight starts under rules (0-2 over fences); fenced moderately throughout when beaten 16+L by Absolutely Dylan latest (Haydock); visor is newly-applied.

Form: 2236-54

Capard King^p³⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 11-7| J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr.⁽⁵⁾| T: J & A O'Neill| OR: 115| D

6/1

Without a win for some considerable time (April 2016), so the handicapper is finally beginning to show some leniency; not overly encouraging so far this season, albeit over 3m2f at Uttoxeter latest.

Form: 3238-45

Cap Horner²⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: Kevin Jones⁽³⁾| T: J W Mullins| OR: 110| D

20/1

Won off this mark (110) over a marathon trip (3m4f, soft) at Taunton in March, but hasn't really got going this season (has competed in various regional 'nationals'); nothing to be lost by dropping back in trip.

Form: 213-75P

Commodore²⁴⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-1| J: Charlie Deutsch| T: Miss V Williams| OR: 109WS

6/1

Has shown promise over hurdles (2m-2m4f) since joining Venetia Williams, and did manage to score over fences for A.Adeline De Boisbrunet at Lignieres in October 2016; interesting if the market speaks positively post wind surgery.

Form: P84230-

Oneida Tribe^v1²⁶¹

Age: 9| Weight: 11-0| J: J M Quinlan| T: R Dickin| OR: 108| DWS

28/1

Posted back-to-back wins (2m4f-3m) in the early months of 2018 before fading back into the shadows towards the end of last season; visor on for seasonal reappearance following further wind surgery.

Form: 4/5D1U6-

Goodnight Charlie^v²⁰⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 11-0| J: Bridget Andrews| T: C Fryer| OR: 108| CD

20/1

Difficult to explain a poor run at Uttoxeter in June (pulled up), but was a 20L winner of a C&D CJ's handicap under today's rider immediately prior; sits 11lb above that winning mark.

Form: 7P2-31P

Moorlands George^t³³

Age: 10| Weight: 10-12| J: Nick Scholfield| T: J Scott| OR: 106| CD

16/1

Won off this mark at Newton Abbot (3m2f, good) in October 2016 and lightly-raced since; placed (well beaten) at Hereford latest, and whilst this commands more, he has won over C&D previously back in May 2015; place claims.

Form: 316/2-73

Cadeau Du Bresil²⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 10-7| J: James Bowen| T: J G Cann| OR: 101| D

6/1

Sprung a surprise (28/1) under a fine ride when winning a small-field Beginners Chase (3m+, heavy) at Towcester in March; reliable since (without excelling); could prove sharper for his seasonal reappearance run at Plumpton.

Form: P134-34

Forecasts

Merry Milan (5/1), Voie Dans Voie (11/2), Commodore (6/1), Cadeau Du Bresil (6/1), Capard King (6/1), Muckle Roe (7/1), Early Retirement (10/1), Horatio Hornblower (12/1), Moorlands George (16/1), Goodnight Charlie (20/1), Cap Horner (20/1), Oneida Tribe (28/1)

MUCKLE ROE is somewhat of a Warwick specialist (form figures here read 213122) and he plundered this race from a 12lb lower mark in 2016. He arrives in excellent form following a narrow C&D defeat (by Quarenta) earlier this month, and despite a subsequent 5lb rise in the weights rates as the horse the others must beat. Alternatives at better prices include the returning Horatio Hornblower, the wind-operated upon Commodore and the stout stayer Moorlands George.