18:30 Chelmsford City

Thursday 20 December 2018

All17:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:3021:00

British EBF Novice Median Auction Stakes

Off time: 18:31 | Winning time: 1m 26.82s

(7)

Celsius¹⁴⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: J Mitchell| T: Tom Clover

3/1

The market clearly expected better on his Newmarket debut and a five month break since his last run suggests he may have had a problem. This may take little winning and he is worth a check in early trading.

Form: 09

(4)

Heatherdown²⁰⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Louis Steward| T: M L W Bell

20/1

Down the field in two spring novice events when weak in the market. Has been absent for six months and needs to improve considerably.

Form: 00

(13)

Just Later¹⁰¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Dayverson De Barros| T: Miss A Murphy

7/1

Improved effort second time out when third under front-running tactics over C&D. Gelded since and he would have genuine claims if able to run to that level again from a poor draw.

Form: 43

(12)

Lieutenant Conde¹⁴³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Charlie Bennett| T: H MorrisonWS

10/1

Soundly beaten on Windsor debut in July and has been given time since being gelded. Bred to be better than we have seen and handler knows the family.

Form: 7

(1)

San Carlos¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Liam Jones| T: S L Keightley

13/8

Cost £32,000 as a two-year-old and dam was AW scorer. Ran into trouble on debut when not beaten far and could give small yard an overdue second Flat winner.

Form: 5

(5)

Aigiarne

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: H Crouch| T: C G Cox

6/1

By Helmet and the fourth foal of a 5f winner who has produced three winning sprinters. Not highly tried on debut but questions over the trip.

Form:

(9)

Chocco Star¹⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Joey Haynes| T: P Howling

66/1

Has gone off at long odds on both starts and only beaten one rival. One of the first to be ruled out.

Form: 00

(3)

Crimson Kiss¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: F Sweeney| T: M L W Bell

16/1

Sepoy half-sister to 6f-1m4f winner Super Kid. Showed little on Kempton debut but this looks weaker and yard's horses come on for a run.

Form: 9

(6)

Louisiana Beat²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Nicola Currie| T: M Murphy

50/1

Has only managed to beat one rival in each of her two starts and faces a tall order to be competitive based on what we have seen.

Form: 90

(8)

Miss Communicate⁹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: E J Walsh⁽³⁾| T: Mrs L Pearce

50/1

Sent off at 100/1 on debut for Jane Chapple-Hyam when only ninth. Has since joined a trainer with a career record of 1-59 with this age group.

Form: 9

(10)

Parknacilla³⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: K T O'Neill| T: H Spiller

16/1

Well held in both starts so far having shown little promise and a big step forward required in order to figure.

Form: 76

(11)

Red Skye Delight¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: R Havlin| T: L McJannet

25/1

Cheap purchase whose debut effort was not devoid of promise. Trainer has a 2% strike rate but she still has to go on the shortlist.

Form: 7

(2)

Two Faced⁹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Darragh Keenan⁽⁵⁾| T: Mrs L Pearce

66/1

Makes little appeal on pedigree and on the form of her debut effort when finishing 11th. Stable 1-59 with juveniles.

Form: 0

Forecasts

San Carlos (13/8), Celsius (3/1), Aigiarne (6/1), Just Later (7/1), Lieutenant Conde (10/1), Crimson Kiss (16/1), Parknacilla (16/1), Heatherdown (20/1), Red Skye Delight (25/1), Louisiana Beat (50/1), Miss Communicate (50/1), Chocco Star (66/1), Two Faced (66/1)

Hardly a race that will take as much winning as the other juvenile races on the card. The Clive Cox newcomer, Aigiarne, is worth checking in the market although her pedigree suggests her stamina will be tested. Red Skye Delight showed promise on her debut whilst Just Later has the pick of the form judged on his last effort. However a chance is taken that CELSIUS can fulfil the potential indicated by the market ahead of his Newmarket debut in a much better race than this. Something looked amiss last time and this looks a good opportunity for him to bounce back.