19:15 Newcastle

Friday 30 November 2018

All17:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

sunracing.co.uk Classified Claiming Stakes

Off time: 19:17 | Winning time: 1m 39.30s

(4)

Street Poet²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: J Garritty| T: M Herrington| OR: 69

8/1

C&D winner who enjoyed a hugely productive spell between January and April (222211) but hasn't returned at the same level of form since a summer break; the drop into a claimer could potentially rejuvenate.

Form: 221180

(10)

Roman De Brut⁵¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: Ray Dawson⁽⁵⁾| T: I Furtado| OR: 68| D

7/2

4-28 on the AW, with all of those wins coming at Dunstall Park Wolverhampton (1m+ to 1m1f+); off for 51 days since a midfield finish at Nottingham in October.

Form: 634538

(3)

Placebo Effect¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Ben Robinson⁽³⁾| T: Ollie Pears| OR: 67

10/1

Finished one place and 1L in front of today's rival Roman De Brut when runner-up at Beverley (1m+, good to soft) in September; quieter since (0-1 on AW) and possibly strongest over 7f.

Form: 430285

(1)

Sunglider^v¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: P J McDonald| T: D O'Meara| OR: 65

14/1

Modest fourth behind stablemate Mujassam (Assimile second) in a weak 1m Chelmsford claimer 17 days ago; this stiffer track should suit but ideally requires a longer trip (1m2f).

Form: 0-77874

(6)

Broken Wings⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: J Fanning| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 60

12/1

13-race maiden; weakened after racing prominently but still able to find the frame in a Class 5 fillies' contest at Wolverhampton in October; lesser efforts since and stamina reserves rate as a major concern over 1m.

Form: 370300

(7)

Lady Alavesa^p²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Jason Hart| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR: 70

11/4

Managed to get the job done under Josephine Gordon in back-to-back 7f Leicester sellers/claimers last month; solid run over 1m2f at Redcar latest (second) and found another decent opportunity by Gay Kelleway (4-26; 15% at Newcastle).

Form: 306112

(9)

Count Montecristo^p¹⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: Ben Sanderson⁽⁵⁾| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 64| D

25/1

Hasn't won since February 2017 (when rated 77) but fully entitled to have needed the return to action at Southwell 18 days ago (first start since May); that said, remains difficult to recommend.

Form: 535009

(8)

Assimile^p¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: C Lee| T: K R Burke| OR: 68| D

7/2

Runner-up to Mujassam in a weak 1m Chelmsford claimer (Sunglider fourth) before recording a second win on Fibresand at Southwell (Class 6) a couple of days later, beating Fieldsman by a neck; obvious contender.

Form: 396721

(5)

Tha'ir^b1¹⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-1| J: Faye McManoman⁽⁷⁾| T: Olly Williams| OR: 65

28/1

Talented horse on his day with a more than respectable strike-rate (10-47). Three-time Wolverhampton winner in early 2018 (1m1f+); increasingly sluggish since returning to action from a break, so needs the newly applied blinkers to provide a spark.

Form: 544900

(2)

Full Disclosure^v1⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: L Morris| T: I Jardine| OR: 49| BF| D

40/1

Winner at Naas in June (1m, good to firm) and still early days for Carrutherstown handler Iain Jardine; fitted with a visor for the first-time but highly unlikely to be competitive at these disadvantageous weights.

Form: 260058

Forecasts

Lady Alavesa (11/4), Roman De Brut (7/2), Assimile (7/2), Street Poet (8/1), Placebo Effect (10/1), Broken Wings (12/1), Sunglider (14/1), Count Montecristo (25/1), Tha'ir (28/1), Full Disclosure (40/1)

Far from prime betting material with nine of the ten declared runners separated by about 6lb in the handicap. Gay Kelleway has a reasonable strike-rate at this track (15%) and she's represented by the in-form 3yo filly Lady Alavesa who should remain competitive. However, the vote (in a no-play race) goes to the Karl Burke-trained ASSIMILE. He's probably better suited by the Fibresand at Southwell (does handle Tapeta), but there can be no disputing that his performances have generally improved post wind surgery.