13:10 Southwell Thu 15 November 2018

  • Ladbrokes Bet 5 Get 20 Novice Auction Stakes (Class 5)
  • 7f 14y, Standard / Slow
  • 14 Runners
  • Winner£3,752.002nd£1,116.003rd£558.004th£279.00
  • Surface: Fibresand
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 31.11sOff time:13:11:59
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(14)
29-7OR: 81BF
7/1

Won his maiden at Chelmsford before two smart efforts in defeat on AW this month. Not guaranteed to take to this surface and wide draw not ideal but not one to entirely rule out.

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2
(3)
29-7OR: 82D
11/4

Won a novice event at Wolverhampton in good style but has been a shade disappointing since. There's a good chance he will handle these conditions and not out of this, despite having to concede weight to most.

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3
(2)
29-5OR:
5/1

Improved from debut to win on heavy ground at Haydock last time. Dam won on Fibresand and sire was effective at the highest level on dirt so can't be ruled out with the switch to this surface a potential source of improvement.

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4
(9)
29-3OR: 77
9/1

Has been in good form in his five starts this year and though he was only fifth of eight at Haydock last time, that was a strong race. Not certain to appreciate this surface.

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5
(13)
29-2OR:
5/1

Improved from debut to finish fourth in a Nottingham maiden on his second start, giving the impression he was still learning on the job. Plenty more needed here though and wide draw isn't ideal.

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6
(5)
28-12OR:
16/1

Minor improvement from a low key debut at York when seventh of 15 at Redcar last month but plenty more needed against these rivals and hardly bred for the job.

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7
(1)
28-11OR:
7/1

Outran his odds when only beaten 3L at Dundalk on debut. Starts out for a new yard now (sold for €20,000 last week) and every chance she will act on this surface given her pedigree. Fascinating contender.

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8
(7)
28-10OR:
25/1

Coach House colt, cost €10,000 as a foal and 5,000 gns as a two-year-old. Dam a juvenile sprint winner on turf. Tough race to make a debut in and looks opposable here.

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9
(11)
28-9OR: 46
125/1

Well beaten at huge odds on each of her four starts including two AW runs and hard to make a case for in this line up. Makes Fibresand debut.

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10
(6)
28-8OR: 38
100/1

Shown nothing to date in four starts and there's very little encouragement on breeding that he's going to appreciate this test.

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11
(10)
28-7OR:
25/1

Showed some promise on debut at Goodwood but failed to build on that when only beaten one home at Kempton last time out. Related to some AW winners but hold to make a case for here all things considered.

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12
(8)
28-7OR:
50/1

Tailed off on debut but half-sister to an AW winner and dam is a half-sister to a German Group 1 winner. May do better at some stage.

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13
(12)
28-5OR:
50/1

Well beaten at big odds on both starts to date. Not sure to appreciate the switch to Fibresand and drawn wide here.

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14
(4)
28-3OR: 66
28/1

Improved from her first couple of runs to finish third of 11 at Nottingham last month but failed to build on that on her only subsequent start at Leicester. Needs more on AW debut here and not guaranteed to appreciate the switch of surface.

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Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
4German Bight28-97/1Full Result
T: K DalgleishJ: T Eaves

Betting

Forecast

Theatre Of War (11/4), Elysian Flame (5/1), Peckinpah (5/1), Tails I Win (7/1), Anycity (7/1), Xtara (9/1), Gremoboy (16/1), Rock Bottom (25/1), Milly Monroe (25/1), Cuban Sun (28/1), She's Awake (50/1), Parknacilla (50/1), Rocky Park (100/1), Pritty Livvy (125/1)

Verdict

TAILS I WIN looks like a fascinating proposition for Roger Fell this winter having not been beaten far on debut at Dundalk for his previous connections. Elysian Flame and Theatre Of War rate as the main danger to the selection and there's a good chance both will act on this surface.
  1. Tails I Win
  2. Elysian Flame
  3. Theatre Of War

Video Replay

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F: 1/23201-

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