15:20 Newbury

Saturday 27 October 2018

All13:1013:4014:2014:5015:2015:5516:3017:05

Conundrum Consulting EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Str) (Div 2)

Off time: 15:24 | Winning time: 1m 43.92s

(9)

Dalmore^h¹⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Callum Shepherd| T: D M Simcock

50/1

Daughter of Dalakhani who wore a hood (retained) on debut when not fancied in the betting and finished well beaten. Best watched.

Form: 9

(10)

Dear Miriam

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: F Norton| T: M R Channon

5/1

Acclamation filly who cost E50,000 as a yearling and is a half-sister to four winners. Stable can ready a smart newcomer so worth a check in the betting.

Form:

(7)

Lady Adelaide

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: K Shoemark| T: H & R Charlton

7/1

Daughter of Australia out of an Anabaa mare. Stable having a quiet season and likely to need a bit further in time.

Form:

(6)

Lady Morpheus⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: H Crouch| T: G & J Moore

33/1

Daughter of Morpheus who cost 14,000gns as a foal. Well held at long odds in both starts so far and hard to make a case for.

Form: 07

(2)

Maktabba

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Jim Crowley| T: W J Haggas

7/2

Well bred Dansili filly who represents powerful connections. Stable's juveniles have really hit form of late and rates one of the more likely types on debut.

Form:

(1)

Monogamy

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Fran Berry| T: M Meade

12/1

By Poet's Voice and cost 30,000gns as a yearling. Makes debut for very good trainer of juveniles and should be noted in the market.

Form:

(11)

Muchly²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: W Buick| T: J & T Gosden

4/1

By Iffraaj and a half-sister to eight winners. Promising debut third when she would have been suited by a stronger pace. Should improve up a furlong and represents last year's winning stable.

Form: 3

(5)

Say Nothing

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: G Mosse| T: H Morrison

7/1

Daughter of Nathaniel who is bred to need a stiffer test in time. Stable rarely has debut winners and likely others will be more forward.

Form:

(4)

Spring Run

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Rob Hornby| T: J G Portman

16/1

Nathaniel filly and a half-sister to four winners. Stable has just had four juvenile wins this campaign and probably best watched in a tough ask on debut.

Form:

(3)

Tamok

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Hayley Turner| T: M L W Bell

13/2

Eye-catching breeding being by Australia out of an Acclamation mare and fetched 400,000gns as a yearling. Stable a bit quiet at present and market may provide best guide on debut.

Form:

(8)

Warsash²⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Rossa Ryan| T: R Hannon

25/1

14,000gns yearling by War Command. Sent off at longish odds on debut and finished well beaten. Stable won this two year's ago and their runners can improve massively for the experience but hard to make a case for.

Form: 8

Forecasts

Maktabba (7/2), Muchly (4/1), Dear Miriam (5/1), Tamok (13/2), Lady Adelaide (7/1), Say Nothing (7/1), Monogamy (12/1), Spring Run (16/1), Warsash (25/1), Lady Morpheus (33/1), Dalmore (50/1)

Only four runners have experience with MUCHLY setting a clear standard and shaping as though she would improve for her debut. There's plenty of potential among the first starters and any market moves should be noted. For a stable firing with their juveniles Maktabba is perhaps the most interesting among them while support for Dear Miriam or Monogamy would be interesting as both are likely to be ready to fire.