16:40 Nottingham

Wednesday 3 October 2018

All13:3014:0014:3015:0515:3516:1016:4017:15

Georges Great British Kitchen Handicap

Off time: 16:44 | Winning time: 2m 59.53s

(3)

New Society¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: C Lee⁽³⁾| T: J D Bethell| OR: 83| D

7/1

Handicap mark suffered after a flattering 10L victory. Back over a more suitable trip having been done for a pace in a tactical affair last time, but likely to bump into a better handicapped rival.

Form: 130623

(15)

Paddy A^v¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Gabriele Malune⁽⁵⁾| T: Ian Williams| OR: 75| CD

9/1

Won back-to-back 1m6f handicaps on fast ground during July (Nottingham and Haydock), but has appeared in the grip of the handicapper since.

Form: 112536

(1)

Nibras Galaxy^b²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: I Mohammed & J Santos| OR: 80| D

7/2

Little wrong with the form of his last three starts and the better ground here can see him build on another solid effort last time.

Form: 184313

(12)

Navajo Star¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: S W Kelly| T: R Brisland| OR: 72| D

66/1

Winner of five races but 68 is the highest rating she has defied and latest run was disappointing on a course where she usually delivers a decent effort.

Form: 415226

(9)

Incus⁵⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: Callum Shepherd| T: E De Giles| OR: 68| CD

50/1

Landed four races in 2017 before undergoing wind surgery following a poor run over hurdles. Last of 11 on first run since and best watched following another absence.

Form: 20151-0

(16)

Graceful Lady¹³

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: Darragh Keenan⁽⁵⁾| T: R Eddery| OR: 68| D

20/1

Has appeared to be running into form lately but she also seems to be flattering herself by doing all her best work when the race is beyond her.

Form: 455634

(8)

Fitzwilly²⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 8-9| J: S De Sousa| T: M R Channon| OR: 68| D

12/1

Last three wins have come from marks of 62 and 66. Held on gamely to beat Navajo Star at Kempton and a worthy mount for the champion jockey, but there may be a less exposed type lurking on a better mark.

Form: 152551

(6)

Sassie²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: Edward Greatrex| T: S Kirk| OR: 72

20/1

Brighton winner stepped up on that when runner-up over C&D on next start. Every chance if reproducing that but poor at Kempton last time.

Form: 412435

(2)

Sheriff Garrett³⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-6| J: P Hanagan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 65| D

20/1

Flat record of 0-19 on turf and 2-4 on AW tracks. Fair second over hurdles last time and looks held by Paddy A on previous running.

Form: 640735

(14)

Carnwennan²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: David Egan| T: C Fellowes| OR: 72

4/1

Didn't run too badly on handicap debut and bred to go this far. Looks held by Nibras Galaxy but open to improvement and the market will be informative.

Form: 0336

(10)

Burn Some Dust²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-3| J: Josephine Gordon| T: B Ellison| OR: 69| BF| CD

3/1

C&D winner who was made favourite at Haydock only to look one paced in fourth. Meets the third, Nibras Galaxy, on better terms this time but that rival looks progressive.

Form: 18-9114

(5)

Up Ten Down Two²⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 8-2| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 61| D

16/1

Has done all his winning on AW tracks and 0-18 on turf. Not beaten far on his last two turf starts though and current mark looks workable judged on last run.

Form: 83-7415

(11)

Haroon²²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-0| J: Robbie Walsh⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 57

100/1

12-race maiden with plenty to prove judged on four mediocre appearances in 2018 that fail to indicate he can take advantage of a plummeting mark.

Form: 20-0080

(13)

Thomas Blossom^p,t²⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 8-0| J: Hollie Doyle| T: A Stronge| OR: 56

100/1

Three of his four Flat wins have come on AW tracks and his sole turf win came off a 10lb lower mark four years ago. 3lb out of the weights and looks held by Fitzwilly judged on latest run.

Form: 2/3240-8

(4)

Affair¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-0| J: P Mathers| T: H Morrison| OR: 54| D

50/1

Consistent in low grade handicaps at this distance, but 5lb out of the weights for this better class contest and hard to see her being good enough.

Form: 524272

Non-Runners

(7)

Takbeer⁷⁴

Weight: 8-13| Age: 6

T: Mrs N S Evans J: R Kingscote

Forecasts

Burn Some Dust (3/1), Nibras Galaxy (7/2), Carnwennan (4/1), New Society (7/1), Paddy A (9/1), Fitzwilly (12/1), Takbeer (14/1), Up Ten Down Two (16/1), Graceful Lady (20/1), Sassie (20/1), Sheriff Garrett (20/1), Affair (50/1), Incus (50/1), Navajo Star (66/1), Thomas Blossom (100/1), Haroon (100/1)

This is not a typical class 3 contest with the topweight New Society only being rated 83. He will be happier over this trip but NIBRAS GALAXY looks the most progressive type in the lineup and the form of his last two starts looks strong. Carnwennan has something to find wth the selection but remains open to improvement. Fitzwilly and Paddy A look fully weighted but can still give a good account in a weaker race than it looks.