20:15 Kempton

Thursday 27 September 2018

All17:4018:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

32Red Handicap

Off time: 20:15 | Winning time: 2m 31.35s

(1)

Envoy¹⁰³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Ryan Tate| T: J M P Eustace| OR: 83

14/1

Windsor winner over 1m3½f but failed to get the extended trip at Chester last time. Lightly-raced and open to further improvement at a course where the trainer does well.

Form: 5/10-716

(7)

Giving Glances³²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: M Harley| T: A King| OR: 86| BF| D

4/1

Third member of the family to gain an AW success when having subsequent winners behind in second, third and fourth at Lingfield and showed her versatility by beating a dual future winner at Leicester. Soft ground a valid excuse last time.

Form: 425112

(5)

Agent Gibbs³³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: Rossa Ryan⁽³⁾| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 79| D

33/1

Five runs back from an absence and well-handicapped on his second at Wolverhampton, but hard to fancy on what he has achieved since.

Form: 1/42866

(10)

Dawn Choir^p1⁴¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Adam J McNamara⁽³⁾| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 77| D

16/1

Beat a future Listed winner on last start in Ireland. Best effort for new yard came over C&D on seasonal bow and she earned a significant drop in the weights following a shocker at Nottingham. Stable in better form and cheekpieces now tried.

Form: 231-548

(8)

Volcanic Sky²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Jason Watson⁽³⁾| T: S bin Suroor| OR: 83| BF

9/4

Ran to a higher mark than this when successful at Chelmsford (1m5½f), but ultimately proved disappointing on handicap debut there over slightly further. That was not the first time he had been too keen and the drop in trip may correct that trait.

Form: 42212

(6)

Continuum^b²³

Age: 9| Weight: 9-4| J: Rob Hornby| T: P Hedger| OR: 75| D

20/1

Without a win since 2014 and although his latest run signalled he might be finding his right level, today's trip looks on the short side particularly with no promise of a decent gallop.

Form: 573763

(2)

Candidate³³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: H Morrison| OR: 81| D

5/1

Likes to attack from the back off a strong pace. That seems unlikely here, but he is at least competing at a more suitable level having been highly tried on his last two starts.

Form: 152359

(11)

Tiffin Top^b1¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 79

7/2

Although he is evidently progressing that elusive first victory is yet to arrive despite variations in trip, headgear and a gelding operation. Blinkers tried this time but others look more reliable options.

Form: 7-63232

(3)

Morning Skye¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Nicola Currie⁽³⁾| T: H Palmer| OR: 77| BF| D

7/1

Relished the return to AW action and a drop in class to score at Lingfield. Idled in front so had more in hand than the official margin suggests, but the handicapper had taken that into account and he was comfortably held here two weeks ago.

Form: 625516

(9)

El Borracho^h¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Tom Marquand| T: S Dow| OR: 77

25/1

Another who likes to be held up off a good pace and this looks like it will turn tactical. Back to form here in a class 5 a fortnight ago and his best form has come in lower grades.

Form: 331272

Non-Runners

(4)

Luv U Whatever³

Weight: 9-10| Age: 8

T: Mrs Marjorie Fife J: Hollie Doyle

Forecasts

Volcanic Sky (9/4), Tiffin Top (7/2), Giving Glances (4/1), Candidate (5/1), Morning Skye (7/1), Envoy (14/1), Dawn Choir (16/1), Continuum (20/1), Luv U Whatever (20/1), El Borracho (25/1), Agent Gibbs (33/1)

This may turn out to be a battle of tactics and GIVING GLANCES is the best equipped if this turns into a muddling race as she quickened off a slow pace to score at Leicester. The form of both her victories have worked out well and her last run on soft ground can be forgiven. Most of her rivals want a strong gallop and, as that seems unlikely, Envoy rates her biggest danger. Volcanic Sky will need to learn how to settle and Tiffin Top needs blinkers to have a positive effect. Candidate would be a big danger if there was a decent pace, whilst a market move for the attractively weighted Dawn Choir would instil confidence following a dismal run last time.