15:10 Kempton

Monday 24 September 2018

All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:1017:40

Matchbook Betting Podcast Handicap

Off time: 15:12 | Winning time: 2m 6.02s

(8)

In The Red²²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: Kieren Fox| T: Martin Smith| OR: 81| C

66/1

Hard to catch right, and he's been palpably below form in three runs since returning from a short break last month. Return to AW may help, but he also has stamina to prove beyond 1m, so risks are obvious.

Form: 183855

(11)

Argus¹⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-6| J: Liam Keniry| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 77| C| D

50/1

Dual winner at up to 2m here this year, and has fallen below his last winning mark, but not firing on all cylinders at present, and this trip on the sharp side.

Form: 349088

(4)

Flaming Marvel⁵⁰⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: George Wood| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 77

3/1

Has made the frame on all three starts at up to this trip, and not too badly treated starting out in handicaps, but last of those runs came in May 2017, so hard to know what to expect on this belated return. Market will guide.

Form: 23/3-

(9)

Inaam^h²⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Tim Clark⁽³⁾| T: J Butler| OR: 75

66/1

Winner of five races to date and just touched off at Wolverhampton in December for Richard Fahey. Now 4lb lower, and clearly on a fair mark, but he's not shown much in two runs for new connections.

Form: 02-7599

(6)

Blame Culture²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: S W Kelly| T: G G Margarson| OR: 78

7/1

Better on AW than turf, and has been running consistently well without winning here of late, most recently when 4L fourth of 12 to King's Slipper in a 1m handicap last month. Should be on the premises again.

Form: 238634

(5)

Janabiya³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Tom Marquand| T: G Peckham| OR: 77

9/1

By Nathaniel out of the only offspring of 2000 Guineas winner George Washington. Best effort when 2¾L third of 5 to Skill Set in a novice over 1¼m at Chelmsford last time, but needs more to make the breakthrough on handicap bow.

Form: 0-253

(7)

Autumn Leaves³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Jason Watson⁽³⁾| T: C G Cox| OR: 77| D

14/1

Made the most of falling handicap mark and step up in trip when successful over 1¼m at Sandown in July, and best not judged harshly on latest defeat at Newmarket when hampered. Current mark does demand improvement, though.

Form: 21-5815

(2)

Caspar The Cub^p1⁴⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: A King| OR: 76

8/1

Has run to a solid level since finishing second on AW debut at Wolverhampton in February. Hasn't really progressed, however, and cheekpieces tried after a merely respectable third at Sandown last time.

Form: 232743

(1)

Makambe²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R L Moore| T: C Hills| OR: 76| BF

5/1

Has won 1m handicaps at Chepstow and Leicester this season, and not disgraced when third at latter course on most recent start. Steps up in trip for AW debut, and every chance if coping with those variables.

Form: 521313

(3)

Dragon Mountain²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Josephine Gordon| T: H Palmer| OR: 75| C

4/1

Best form has come on AW, and belatedly off the mark when making all under a well-judged ride over 1m3f here last month. All out to score in the end, and needs to do more to defy a small rise.

Form: 5-46481

(12)

Appointment Only^p³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 8-11| J: S De Sousa| T: N P Mulholland| OR: 68| BF

8/1

Winner over 7f in Ireland and ran well to finish a close third on debut for this yard over C&D last month. Clear of the rest when second to Margie's Choice here next time, and looks well treated on balance.

Form: 7056-32

Non-Runners

(10)

Yorbelucky⁵³

Weight: 8-13| Age: 3

T: P D Evans J: Andrea Atzeni

Forecasts

Flaming Marvel (3/1), Dragon Mountain (4/1), Makambe (5/1), Blame Culture (7/1), Caspar The Cub (8/1), Appointment Only (8/1), Yorbelucky (8/1), Janabiya (9/1), Autumn Leaves (14/1), Argus (50/1), In The Red (66/1), Inaam (66/1)

Dragon Mountain hasn't gone up much for his recent course win, but came in for a very good ride there, and looked to have little to spare. He's opposed with APPOINTMENT ONLY, who has improved for Neil Mulholland and caught a bit of a tartar last time. Makambe has some strong turf form, and will be a threat to all if coping with the step up in trip on his first attempt on the surface.