17:15 Newbury

Saturday 22 September 2018

All13:1513:4514:2014:5515:3016:0516:4017:15

Heatherwold Stud Handicap (Str)

Off time: 17:18 | Winning time: 1m 30.70s

(10)

Galloway Hills^p1¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Joey Haynes| T: D R C Elsworth| OR: 82

40/1

Ran well in two 6f handicaps at Newmarket in the spring but stopped quickly as if something was amiss at Epsom and never got going again at Kempton. Best watched at present.

Form: 482300

(14)

Mutafarrid¹⁰⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Jim Crowley| T: Owen Burrows| OR: 82| D

8/1

Broke through at Yarmouth at the end of last season and looked to have progressed again when a good third at Doncaster on his reappearance. Disappointed subsequently over a mile and needs to bounce back.

Form: 9451-36

(6)

Prevent^t³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: R L Moore| T: R M Beckett| OR: 81

8/1

Progressive with a win and two seconds before very disappointing on good ground at Newmarket. Faster conditions possibly a key and could be better providing there is no rain.

Form: 641227

(5)

Jackpot Royale²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: G Mosse| T: M Appleby| OR: 80| D

11/2

Has taken his form to a new level with wins at Thirsk and Salisbury and showed fine battling qualities in the process. up 4lb but likely progress hasn't stopped yet.

Form: 262511

(4)

Letsbe Avenue⁷⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: S De Sousa| T: R Hannon| OR: 80| C| D

9/2

Tactically versatile and seemed to love very fast ground with progressive wins over a mile here and at Salisbury. Drop in trip not a problem but did get to dictate matters last time. Should be competitive.

Form: 610-411

(8)

Quick Breath¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Adam J McNamara⁽³⁾| T: J G Portman| OR: 79| D

22/1

Remains 3lb higher than when gaining a second career win in July and probably needs some help from the handicapper after a poor run over 6f at Ascot.

Form: 421740

(12)

No I'm Easy^p²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: M Harley| T: Tom Dascombe| OR: 79

9/1

Much improved when winning at Haydock in first-time cheekpieces but they failed to have the same effect when disappointing at Sandown. Others look more convincing.

Form: 655419

(3)

Robsdelight⁸⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: David Egan| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR: 77| D

9/1

Just a median auction novice he won at Redcar in May and although not disgraced on handicap debut was poor when last seen at the start of July. Best watched.

Form: 821570

(7)

Faraasah³⁵⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Harry Bentley| T: B J Meehan| OR: 77

14/1

Plenty of promise shown first time out last season when just touched off but three subsequent efforts were underwhelming. Hard to fancy after a near year absence.

Form: 2600-

(2)

Bertog²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: B A Curtis| T: J Mackie| OR: 76| BF

4/1

Remains a maiden after 10 starts but continues to go close. Probably ran into a smart type at Beverley and should go well again.

Form: 032422

(1)

Bbob Alula^t¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen⁽⁷⁾| T: W G M Turner| OR: 75| D

25/1

Last run can be upgraded after rider dropped his reigns and goes well in these conditions. Could go well but more required in this class.

Form: 499102

(13)

Arrogant¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Raul Da Silva| T: J Santos| OR: 75| D

20/1

Much better off reduced mark at Ffos Las, however sole win came on soft ground in France and ground and grade look to be against him.

Form: 266052

(11)

Ragstone View¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Oisin Murphy| T: B R Millman| OR: 72| CD

14/1

Slowly away and didn't get a clear run when one place behind Arrogant last time so could reverse the form. 5lb higher than last win over this C&D and this grade may be tough off current mark.

Form: 142543

Non-Runners

(9)

The Establishment¹⁵

Weight: 9-4| Age: 3

T: P D Evans J: Fran Berry

Forecasts

Bertog (4/1), Letsbe Avenue (9/2), Jackpot Royale (11/2), Prevent (8/1), Mutafarrid (8/1), Robsdelight (9/1), No I'm Easy (9/1), Faraasah (14/1), Ragstone View (14/1), The Establishment (14/1), Arrogant (20/1), Quick Breath (22/1), Bbob Alula (25/1), Galloway Hills (40/1)

JACKPOT ROYALE has proved very progressive and uncomplicated in winning his last two and the way he battled when challenged last time suggests there's plenty more to come. Likewise Letsbe Avenue is going the right way with back-to-back wins while the likeable Bertog probably just lacks a change of gears at the business end but can be involved again. Prevent has an eye-catching jockey booking and providing the ground stays fast could bounce back from a poor run. This is tougher but Bbob Alula was unlucky on his latest run and shouldn't be dismissed.