13:40 Lingfield

Wednesday 18 July 2018

All13:4014:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:10

Bet On The Open At 188Bet Handicap (AW)

Off time: 13:41 | Winning time: 1m 13.49s

(1)

Indian Warrior¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: James Doyle| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 65

5/2

Without a win after 13 starts, but only three of those runs have been on the AW. Ran respectably when third over 5f at Haydock last time and this return to 6f is not an issue. Has dropped to a career-low rating.

Form: 5-55563

(7)

Jonnysimpson⁵⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Oisin Murphy| T: L Carter| OR: 62

10/1

Won a 5f Kempton nursery for Brendan Powell last season, but has failed to hit the frame in two starts for current stable. Only 2lb higher than for her victory so has to be respected.

Form: 21-5465

(3)

Cent Flying²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: M Dwyer| T: W R Muir| OR: 61| BF| D

5/1

Winning reappearance over 5½f at Bath, but is now 8lb higher and was well held of this mark at Windsor last time despite being sent off as favourite. Has to prove his effectiveness at this longer trip.

Form: 940-128

(8)

Arnoul Of Metz¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Fran Berry| T: H Spiller| OR: 60| D

7/2

Off the mark at the sixth time of asking when prevailing by a head at Wolverhampton earlier this month. Has been raised 4lb, but is on the upgrade and has to be considered.

Form: 8-79041

(6)

Nampara¹²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: William Carson| T: P W D'Arcy| OR: 60

20/1

Without a win in eight races from 5f to 7f. Last of nine over 7f at this venue on latest start and looks up against it despite this shorter trip and 2lb drop in the ratings.

Form: 402-469

(9)

Popsicle¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Seamus Cronin⁽⁷⁾| T: R Hannon| OR: 59

10/1

Promising return to action when second at Salisbury in May, but has not kicked on from that and is now 0-8. Handicapper has given her a chance by dropping her 6lb since her latest run.

Form: 7-25405

(5)

Duba Plains³⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: S De Sousa| T: M R Channon| OR: 57

8/1

Without a win in 12 starts and failed to beat a rival over 7f at Salisbury last month. Down another 2lb and has a positive jockey booking, but has something to prove.

Form: 037580

(2)

Sugar Plum Fairy³⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: J F Egan| T: A W Carroll| OR: 52

10/1

Only glimmers of ability in three outings, the latest of them on seasonal return over 7f on turf at this venue. AW debut and first run in a handicap, so interesting to see if the market speaks in her favour.

Form: 90-7

(10)

Free Talkin^p1²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: L Morris| T: M J Attwater| OR: 46

25/1

Unplaced on all 10 starts, seven of them on AW surfaces. Ran well at Kempton three starts ago, however, takes a drop in trip, wears cheekpieces for the first time and is on a career-low rating, all of which makes her interesting.

Form: 546580

(4)

Raise A Little Joy^p1⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: N Mackay| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 45

66/1

Good run over 5f at this venue in March, but has cut little ice in two subsequent runs at Wolverhampton. Down to lowest mark so far and could figure if first-time cheekpieces have a positive effect.

Form: 0-54300

Forecasts

Indian Warrior (5/2), Arnoul Of Metz (7/2), Cent Flying (5/1), Duba Plains (8/1), Jonnysimpson (10/1), Popsicle (10/1), Sugar Plum Fairy (10/1), Nampara (20/1), Free Talkin (25/1), Raise A Little Joy (66/1)

Free Talkin is interesting given her profile and the fitting of first-time cheekpieces, while the same headgear could spark Raise A Little Joy into life. At the other end of the handicap, cases can be made for Indian Warrior and Jonnysimpson, but the percentage call is ARNOUL OF METZ, who won at Wolverhampton last time, is lightly raced and can cope with his 4lb rise. Cent Flying is another to consider.