17:35 Carlisle

Thursday 12 July 2018

All14:0514:4015:1515:5016:2517:0017:35

Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap

Off time: 17:37 | Winning time: 1m 12.61s

(8)

Roys Dream^p⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: C J McGovern⁽⁵⁾| T: Paul Collins| OR: 65| D

5/2

Went close when trying to make all over C&D last week. Races off the same mark again and likely to make a bold bid from the front once more.

Form: 49-6252

(5)

Alfie's Angel⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Shane Gray| T: K Tutty| OR: 65| D

10/1

Three runs so far this year have both been pretty weak. Has dropped below his last winning mark and should be cherry ripe now. Not totally discounted if bouncing back to form.

Form: 788-096

(7)

Guardia Svizzera^h¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Ben Sanderson⁽⁵⁾| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 63

7/2

Has largely struggled so far this year and well behind Nuns Walk (runs 5.00) at Newcastle last time. Starting to look dangerously well handicapped now and it would be no surprise were he to bounce back to form sooner or later.

Form: 00-0056

(1)

Gullane One^t¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Rachel Richardson⁽³⁾| T: T D Easterby| OR: 64| D

9/2

Another prominent racer who bounced back to form when making all at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) two weeks ago. nudged up 4lb for that and competition for the lead likely here.

Form: 837-841

(3)

Hadley^p³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Cam Hardie| T: Miss Tracy Waggott| OR: 57| D

16/1

Proving pretty hard to win with and was well beaten here over 5f last month. Dropped 3lb for that effort and capable of bouncing back but others are preferred.

Form: 272686

(4)

Havana Mariposa^p1¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: B A Curtis| T: K R Burke| OR: 62

10/3

Drop in the weights helped when going close behind a thriving rival over 7f here two weeks ago. Cheekpieces added and drops back to 6f and has sound claims in this field.

Form: 834-882

(9)

Scotch Myst²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: T Hamilton| T: R A Fahey| OR: 54| D

28/1

Another one that likes to be up with the pace. Winner at Southwell over 7f back in April and has raced only at that trip since. Drops to 6f here but needs to take a step forward on what we have seen lately.

Form: 421827

(2)

Gaelic Wizard^p¹⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 8-13| J: Gemma Tutty⁽³⁾| T: K Tutty| OR: 50| CD

25/1

Caused a 25/1 shock at Hamilton (6f) three starts back but proved it was no fluke by winning again last time over 5f. 3lb rise in the weights makes life tougher, but way this is run may suit and hard to dismiss.

Form: 375141

(6)

Kirkby's Phantom^p⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: Nathan Evans| T: A Berry| OR: 45

250/1

Well beaten in all 14 starts at huge odds and impossible to recommend from out of the handicap this time.

Form: 4-08770

Forecasts

Roys Dream (5/2), Havana Mariposa (10/3), Guardia Svizzera (7/2), Gullane One (9/2), Alfie's Angel (10/1), Hadley (16/1), Gaelic Wizard (25/1), Scotch Myst (28/1), Kirkby's Phantom (250/1)

This should be run at a good clip as several of these like to be on the pace. Roys Dream, Guardia Svizzera and Gullane One are all likely to be right on the tempo. If they take each other on this could be set up for a closer. HAVANA MARIPOSA went close last time and with the cheekpieces added she can record her first career success today. Gaelic Wizard is going really well and could also pick up some pieces.