14:15 Carlisle

Monday 21 May 2018

All14:1514:4515:1515:4516:1516:4517:1517:45

Smarkets British EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Off time: 14:16 | Winning time: 1m 0.48s

(1)

Aloysius Lilius³⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan

6/1

Last of the eight on debut at Newmarket last time out, and though he should improve for the run he'll certainly need to in order to get involved in this.

Form: 8

(5)

Cosmic Law¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: P J McDonald| T: R A Fahey

2/1

Far from disgraced on debut at Doncaster last time out when finishing a good fifth despite experiencing trouble in-running. Entitled to come on for that run and should be capable of going close.

Form: 5

(2)

Deanozoff

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: A Mullen| T: J Candlish

50/1

Zoffany colt who cost £30,000 as a yearling and is related to a few winners. This yard not the most obvious source of first time out winners, however.

Form:

(3)

Flint Hill

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Callum Rodriguez⁽³⁾| T: M Dods

16/1

Excelebration colt who cost £31,000 as a yearling. Pedigree suggests he'll do better over further in time, but trainer does well with his juveniles here.

Form:

(8)

Lewis Slack

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: J Garritty| T: Jedd O'Keeffe

16/1

Coach House colt who cost 50,000gns as a yearling. Pedigree/yard don't exactly suggest he's likely to be a winner first time out.

Form:

(7)

Look Out Louis²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Rachel Richardson⁽³⁾| T: T D Easterby

10/1

Didn't enjoy a perfect passage on racecourse debut at Ripon last time out when finishing midfield, and better can be expected here with the benefit of that run.

Form: 5

(9)

Moss Gill

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: K Stott| T: J D Bethell

22/1

No Nay Never colt, and a half-brother to a juvenile winner in Ulshaw Bridge. Bred to be speedy at the market can guide ahead of this debut.

Form:

(10)

True Mason²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: C Lee⁽³⁾| T: K R Burke

9/2

Beat only one home on debut at Leicester last time out on heavy ground. Improvement obviously needed but may be seen to better effect on this much sounder surface.

Form: 5

(11)

Hard Forest²⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston

4/1

Solid efforts in two maiden and a conditions race to date. Hasn't looked especially progressive but might not need to be in order to go close to getting off the mark in this race.

Form: 364

(4)

The Mackem Bullet

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Ben Robinson⁽⁵⁾| T: B Ellison

22/1

Society Rock filly who cost £9,000 as a yearling. Half-sister to a winner at two and she's worth a check in the betting here.

Form:

Non-Runners

(6)

She'zanarab

Weight: 8-11| Age: 2

T: I Jardine J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Cosmic Law (2/1), Hard Forest (4/1), True Mason (9/2), Aloysius Lilius (6/1), Look Out Louis (10/1), Flint Hill (16/1), Lewis Slack (16/1), She'zanarab (20/1), The Mackem Bullet (22/1), Moss Gill (22/1), Deanozoff (50/1)

This can go to COSMIC LAW. Richard Fahey's charge did well to finish fifth on debut at Doncaster last time given he met with trouble in running, and should be able to progress from that effort to go very close here. Look Out Louis is another who should do better than he did on racecourse debut last time, while Hard Forest has run to a fair level in her three starts to date.