14:20 Sedgefield

Friday 23 March 2018

All13:4513:5014:2014:5015:2516:0016:3017:05

Betfred 'Treble Odds On Lucky 15s' Mares' Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 14:20 | Winning time: 4m 31.80s

Raised On Grazeon²⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 12-2| J: Mr Kaine Wood⁽⁵⁾| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 115

9/4

Reliable mare who has already registered a couple of successes in 2018, hence her welter burden. Stayed on strongly to see off a fairly modest bunch of rivals at Newcastle latest (2m heavy), and faces a very similar task here.

Form: 232121

Beyond The Glen⁴¹

Age: 8| Weight: 11-2| J: Callum Bewley⁽³⁾| T: C Grant

125/1

Campaigned in point-to-points of late without success, and hasn't raced under rules since May 2017. Looks a most unlikely leading light on just her second ever hurdles start.

Form: 7F-7P3P

Birch Vale⁵²

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: B S Hughes| T: D McCain Jnr

3/1

Twice a runner up in bumpers, including at this track on Boxing Day when beaten just under 3L by Eternally Yours (2m1f soft). Made a low-key hurdles debut at Newcastle in January (fourth), but better suited by dropping back in trip today.

Form: 60-224

I'll Run With You¹⁷⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Colm McCormack⁽³⁾| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer

80/1

Absent since September 2017 (2m4f Perth) and has looked a moderate performer thus far on all available racecourse evidence.

Form: 3F5-57

Love At Dawn²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Henry Brooke| T: P D Niven

33/1

Sister to a bumper/2m4f jumps winner (Wishmoor), but didn't really blossom in bumpers. Lacked fluency when well beaten by Raised On Grazeon on hurdles debut at Newcastle (2m heavy).

Form: 076

Mini Dreams⁸⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: Finian O'Toole⁽³⁾| T: P Atkinson

66/1

Her dam Mini Minster was a 2m-2m4f hurdles winner for this trainer, so she could have more too offer now encountering timber for the first time. Lacked the pace/nous for a bumper here on Boxing Day on her sole start.

Form: 9

Paper Roses⁸¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-2| J: Callum Whillans⁽³⁾| T: D W Whillans| OR: 116| BF

13/8

No match for Raised On Grazeon at Catterick on New Years Day (2m soft) despite being sent off 6/4f. Fairly reliable prior to that being a three time runner up over 2m4f. Possibilities on better terms.

Form: 382-225

Trooblue³³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: Danny Cook| T: J Parkinson & S Smith

7/1

Finished third in a bumper here on Boxing Day (Birch Vale second), and is seemingly getting the hang of things over hurdles after a fair effort at Market Rasen latest (2m+ soft). Further progress required, but looks likely.

Form: 8343

Alice Lisle¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-9| J: C R King| T: T D Easterby

66/1

No show in a trio of bumpers in 2018. Sent off at sizeable odds on all three occasions, so it'll come as a major surprise if she's the solution on hurdles debut.

Form: 946

L'attendue¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 10-9| J: A Nicol| T: P A Kirby

125/1

Stable in form, but this Oscar filly looked totally clueless when making her hurdles debut over C&D last Tuesday (pulled up). This looks to be simply another staging point in her gradual development.

Form: P

Non-Runners

Magic Of Milan¹⁶

Weight: 11-2| Age: 5

T: S England J: David England

Forecasts

Paper Roses (13/8), Raised On Grazeon (9/4), Birch Vale (3/1), Trooblue (7/1), Love At Dawn (33/1), Mini Dreams (66/1), Magic Of Milan (66/1), Alice Lisle (66/1), I'll Run With You (80/1), Beyond The Glen (125/1), L'attendue (125/1)

A race which lacks strength in depth, so it should go the way of last month's Newcastle winner RAISED ON GRAZEON. She has yet another penalty to carry in addition to the one she receives for winning at Catterick on New Years Day, and whilst she locks horns with Paper Roses on disadvantageous terms as a result, she's far more convincing that the Donald Whillans trained mare over 2m. Both Trooblue and Birch Vale could progress, with the Donald McCain trained mare arguably much better suited by this lesser test of stamina than at Newcastle on her hurdles debut (2m4f).