15:40 Southwell

Wednesday 21 March 2018

All14:0014:3015:0515:4016:1016:4517:15

sunbets.co.uk Handicap

Off time: 15:43 | Winning time: 1m 27.50s

(7)

Donjuan Triumphant^h⁷⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A M Balding| OR: 100| BF| D

7/2

Fibresand debutante from a yard that generally have a good record here. Displayed some smart form last year (won off 109 on turf) although few handled the conditions there; not sure to enjoy this surface though.

Form: 39118-5

(6)

Love Dreams²⁰⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: P J McDonald| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 98| D

7/2

Suited by soft conditions when winning his only race last year (handicap off 91) although he ran with credit in most subsequent races. Did too much too soon from a poor draw when last seen; pedigree offers hope he'll act here (dam a winner on dirt).

Form: 561306-

(5)

Mutawathea^p¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-5| J: F Norton| T: S & E Crisford| OR: 98

7/1

Third runner making his Fibresand debut but positives are offered by his pedigree and the good strike-rate his yard have here. Not totally straightforward but not seen to best effect in his last two starts and only 1lb above his last winning mark.

Form: 0816-46

(1)

War Department^v¹⁵⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: Connor Beasley| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 91| D

25/1

Ran well here on his debut on the surface but has disappointed twice since at the track. Last two wins have come on Tapeta though and he now returns from a long break back on a surface he hasn't looked totally at home on against talented opposition.

Form: 431008-

(3)

Holiday Magic⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 8-7| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 86| CD

9/4

Building up a good course record and was only touched off last time by one who was completing a hat-trick. Stuck well to his task there but this looks tougher and he's now up in grade with a 0/14 record in this class; may find one or two too good.

Form: 07-2692

(4)

Mister Music¹⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 8-7| J: Aled Beech⁽⁷⁾| T: A W Carroll| OR: 86| CD

10/1

Proved a revelation switched to Fibresand and defends a 3/3 record here with two of those wins coming over this trip. Always going to be suited by a strongly run race but has been found wanting at this level before and can start tardily; tougher task

Form: 548-111

(2)

Hammer Gun^v⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 8-6| J: P Mathers| T: D Shaw| OR: 85| BF| CD

8/1

His last three wins have all come here and he generally runs well on this surface although he disappointed here last time (slow away). 6lb above his last winning mark now and like a few has to prove himself at this level versus some useful types.

Form: 14-7144

Forecasts

Holiday Magic (9/4), Donjuan Triumphant (7/2), Love Dreams (7/2), Mutawathea (7/1), Hammer Gun (8/1), Mister Music (10/1), War Department (25/1)

This race looks to be a conundrum as all the those with Fibresand form have yet to really prove themselves in this class on the surface with War Department the only one to have won at Class 2 level (win came on Tapeta). So whilst Holiday Magic and Mister Music have both turned in good recent performances here they may just be found wanting in this grade. Donjuan Triumphant looks to have the most class but there are some doubts about him on the surface and a chance is taken with MUTAWATHEA who comes from a stable with 38% strike rate here since 2009 and he’s by a sire who progeny generally act well on the surface. He’s not the easiest but this test may just suit him.