18:15 Kempton

Saturday 6 January 2018

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

32Red Casino Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div 2)

Off time: 18:17 | Winning time: 1m 27.95s

(10)

Peace Terms²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: R M Beckett| BF

6/1

Went for 70,000 gns as a yearling and is a half-sister to several useful types. Improved for her debut when runner-up last time but will need some of these to underperform.

Form: 32-

(6)

Promising²⁵⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon| OR: 101

1/1

Second in the Prestige Stakes as a juvenile and third in the Fred Darling when last seen in April. Clear pick on form but absence does warrant a cautious view.

Form: 232/3-

(3)

Be My Angel

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Fran Berry| T: H Candy

14/1

Fifth foal and a Dark Angel half-sister to three winners including Carry On Derryck and Tarboosh. Stable 1-37 with this age group here over past five years.

Form:

(8)

Cosmic Love¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Georgia Cox⁽³⁾| T: W J Haggas

13/2

90,000 gns yearling. Half-sister to winners Symposium (6f-6½f, inc GB AW at two) and Orfeon (Spanish 7f-7½f). Came from a long way back on Lingfield debut and it would be hoped she would improve for the run and this more orthodox track.

Form: 2-

(5)

Dolly Mixture

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Joey Haynes| T: J R Best

33/1

Sister to the stable's triple winning handicapper Luxford. Aiming high on debut and will probably need further.

Form:

(9)

La Mernancia¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: D C Costello| T: J A Osborne

16/1

Has shown signs of ability in a couple of modest Wolverhampton maidens and faces a much sterner test here.

Form: 55-

(7)

Lulu Star¹⁰⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Shelley Birkett⁽³⁾| T: Miss J Feilden

33/1

£100,000 yearling but sold for just 6,000 guineas recently after just one start for Richard Fahey. Showed some ability that day but not enough to suggest she will be a major player here.

Form: 8-

(4)

Now Say Yes¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: S Donohoe| T: D R Lanigan

20/1

Has not quite got home in two starts over a mile so worth a try at this trip. Finds herself in a much hotter race this time and she may be one for a minor handicap.

Form: 75-

(1)

Sayf Shamal

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Tom Marquand| T: C Appleby

5/1

Elusive Quality half-sister to good sprinter Peterkin out of a dam representing a speedy Australian line. Interesting newcomer from an in-form yard and one to track in pre-race trading.

Form:

(2)

Tough Lass¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: L Morris| T: G Peckham

33/1

€80,000 yearling. Closely related to Italian 1m juvenile winner Sagegrey, half-sister to 1m2f winner Chocolate Diamond. Odds of 66/1 suggest her debut was needed and it could be a similar story again.

Form: 0-

Forecasts

Promising (1/1), Sayf Shamal (5/1), Peace Terms (6/1), Cosmic Love (13/2), Be My Angel (14/1), La Mernancia (16/1), Now Say Yes (20/1), Lulu Star (33/1), Dolly Mixture (33/1), Tough Lass (33/1)

PROMISING is the clear standout on form but a nine month absence and significant drop in class do suggest the risk/reward ratio may be too high if odds are prohibitive. Sayf Shamal is a well-bred Godolphin newcomer and Cosmic Love looked a future winner at Lingfield. Peace Terms was runner-up in a much weaker race last time but is going the right way and has place claims.