14:20 Newmarket

Wednesday 25 October 2017

All13:1513:4514:2014:5515:3016:0516:4017:15

Newmarket Equine Security Nursery

Off time: 14:22 | Winning time: 1m 24.57s

(4)

Move To The Front^v¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-8| J: A Kirby| T: C G Cox| OR: 76| D

12/1

2-2 since wearing a visor and showed a good battling attitude to beat a subsequent winner last time. Remains feasibly treated and goes on the shortlist.

Form: 044511

(20)

By Royal Approval¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: Gabriele Malune⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 75

33/1

Pedigree appears to indicate this is his trip. Has looked a likely type for a race of this nature and one of the more intriguing runners.

Form: 6044

(13)

Guzman^h¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-6| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 74

5/1

Landed a couple of sprints early in the year and best efforts since have come over this longer trip. Handicapper has given him a chance and hard to dismiss now dropped in grade.

Form: 150495

(6)

Lexington Grace^p¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-6| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon| OR: 74| D

15/2

Has progressed since landing a seller on the July course. Can probably win one of these off her current mark, but this has to be considered a better race for the grade than her last two.

Form: 540113

(18)

Letsbe Avenue²⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: R L Moore| T: R Hannon| OR: 73| D

5/1

Improved to win a poor Kempton AW nursery last month. A 10lb rise looks harsh and the stewards were told his apparent improvement was due to the switch to an artificial surface.

Form: 6761

(9)

Episcia²⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Aaron Jones⁽³⁾| T: S C Williams| OR: 73

20/1

Produced off a good pace to open her account at Chelmsford (6f) and should have little difficulty getting this far. Has gone well on turf and not too harshly treated on handicap debut.

Form: 421

(5)

Cardaw Lily¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: S W Kelly| T: R Hughes| OR: 72

50/1

Could be considered well treated on her spring form but her last two efforts would have most looking elsewhere.

Form: 4607

(10)

Straight Ash⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Hollie Doyle⁽³⁾| T: R Hannon| OR: 72

20/1

Winner on soft ground at Chepstow but never a factor on AW and nursery debut. Looks too high in the weights based on achievements to date.

Form: 5418

(7)

Bertog¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: P Mulrennan| T: J Mackie| OR: 72

12/1

Has put in a couple of reasonable performances in his last two outings in novices' contests over 7f/1m on good to soft. Initial handicap mark looks reasonable and stable in cracking form, so he could have a say in the outcome.

Form: 056

(14)

Oswald²⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: M Harley| T: R Brisland| OR: 70

25/1

Gets a significant pull with Episcia on Chelmsford running. Best efforts have come on the polytrack so not necessarily as well handicapped as he looks.

Form: 28237

(11)

Gossip Column²⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: P J McDonald| T: C Hills| OR: 70| BF

16/1

Showed promise on first two starts but has made no progress since. This more galloping track may help him improve but he still looks a long shot.

Form: 44054

(19)

Hard Graft^h1²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-1| J: J P Spencer| T: D H Brown| OR: 69

16/1

Best effort came on sole start in this grade during the summer. Ground may have been to slow on last two starts and he looks interesting with this rider on board.

Form: 475457

(17)

Image¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-1| J: David Probert| T: P J McBride| OR: 69

20/1

Has appealed as the type to do well in nurseries and makes her debt in this sphere. Up in trip and has each-way prospects.

Form: 763

(15)

Reinbeau Prince¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: P Mathers| T: R A Fahey| OR: 67

12/1

Fourth in a £22k nursery over a mile 11 days ago from this mark. If reproducing that run over this slightly shorter trip, then he we would be a definite player.

Form: 542674

(2)

Smugglers Top^p¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 8-12| J: R Kingscote| T: Tom Dascombe| OR: 66

33/1

Regressed in first time claimers when dropped into a Chelmsford claimer last time. Has plenty to prove off this mark.

Form: 8044

(8)

Elsaakb^b1¹⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Jim Crowley| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 65

10/1

No show in either of three starts. Embarks on handicapping career in first time blinkers for top yard. Remains hard to fancy.

Form: 886

(16)

Galactic^b1⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Tom Marquand| T: R Hannon| OR: 65

25/1

Best run came on sole start at class six level. Two poor runs since see blinkers fitted for the first time.

Form: 656597

(3)

Contribute¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 8-10| J: Oisin Murphy| T: M Meade| OR: 64

12/1

One of the more exposed types in this but represents a yard that took this in 2014 and they have a strike-rate of 11 wins from 37 starts on the Rowley Course in the last five years. Jockey booking another positive and ought to go well.

Form: 854633

(1)

Prince Consort¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 8-9| J: Ryan Tate| T: B J Meehan| OR: 63

50/1

Has shown few signs of progress in recent starts on a variety of ground conditions. Hard to fancy even off such a low mark.

Form: 0669

(12)

Giovanni Medici²⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 8-9| J: L Morris| T: S Durack| OR: 63

33/1

Work to do with Letsbe Avenue on running at Kempton but he had a poor draw that day. Looks capable of better and worth a market check.

Form: 85378

Forecasts

Guzman (5/1), Letsbe Avenue (5/1), Lexington Grace (15/2), Elsaakb (10/1), Bertog (12/1), Reinbeau Prince (12/1), Contribute (12/1), Move To The Front (12/1), Gossip Column (16/1), Hard Graft (16/1), Straight Ash (20/1), Episcia (20/1), Image (20/1), Oswald (25/1), Galactic (25/1), Giovanni Medici (33/1), By Royal Approval (33/1), Smugglers Top (33/1), Prince Consort (50/1), Cardaw Lily (50/1)

Richard Fahey's GUZMAN is dropped in grade and this longer trip should see him improve on recent efforts. Stable companion Reinbeau Prince is feared along with Contribute who comes from a yard that do exceptionally well here. Image and Hard Graft have each-way appeal, whilst Move To The Front, Episicia and Letsbe Avenue are recent winners and may have more to offer. The former is progressing nicely and his form has been working out well.