13:50 Kempton

Monday 25 September 2017

All13:5014:2514:5515:3016:0516:3517:0517:35

Better Odds With Matchbook Novice Auction Stakes

  • 2YO only  |   Class 5  |   5f  |   Standard / Slow  |   9 Runners  |   Polytrack  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 13:50  |   Winning time: 59.87s
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The word Betfair in black.
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
(8)
Horse silk
Deviate8
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-4| J: Patrick Pilley(5)| T: Tom Dascombe| OR:  77| D
11/2
Only narrowly beaten in handicap company last time out having run well in novice heats previously, including one win and one second. Has to carry top weight here despite her sex, but has probably shown more than the rest of these to date.
2
(7)
Horse silk
Iconic Knight19
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-1| J: J P Spencer| T: E Walker| OR:  74
6/4
Second over a furlong further here last time out and has mostly been running over that trip. Dropping down in distance here seems a slight question mark given he has been running perfectly well over 6f, but has a chance if showing he has the speed.
3
(6)
Horse silk
Knockout Blow86
Age: 2|  Weight: 9-1| J: S De Sousa| T: C & M Johnston| OR:  77| BF
2/1
Trainer was unable to offer any explanation for a poor showing at Chester last time but was progressive prior to that (including at that course). All-weather debut now but rates a player if able to continue with that progression.
4
(4)
Horse silk
16/1
Dandy Man filly who cost 22,000gns as a two-year-old and has a versatile pedigree, but goes for a trainer with only one juvenile winner in the past five years.
5
(1)
Horse silk
25/1
Took a step forward as was to be expected on her second start at Chelmsford last time following a very poor debut, but needs to show another large amount of improvement in order to go close. She is drawn well, though.
6
(5)
Horse silk
12/1
Trappe Shot filly who cost $30,000 as a yearling and is a half-sister to two time British winners Monks Stand. Trainer is 1/31 with two-year-olds so far this year.
7
(2)
Horse silk
Poppy Jag16
Age: 2|  Weight: 8-10| J: Ryan Powell| T: K Frost
100/1
Has shown little in two starts so far and makes her Polytrack debut here with plenty to prove against some much more capable looking rivals.
8
(9)
Horse silk
16/1
Didn't run badly on debut when not given the harshest of rides, behind Iconic Knight on that occasion but has more scope to improve and the fact her dam won over 5f is encouraging.
Didn't run badly on debut at Brighton last time out, but doesn't seem to have too much scope to improve, especially while kept over trips as short as this.

Forecasts

Iconic Knight (6/4), Knockout Blow (2/1), Deviate (11/2), Another Situation (12/1), No More Commisery (16/1), Shamrock Emma (16/1), Shadow Seeker (25/1), Pretty Risky (25/1), Poppy Jag (100/1)

Verdict

Knockout Blow is a definite danger if bouncing back from a very disappointing performance at Chester last time, but preference is for DEVIATE. Tom Dascombe's filly has top-weight to defy here despite her sex, but returns to a relatively weak-looking novice event having run very well in handicap company last time out and also having proven she can cut it at this level, unlike most of these. Shamrock Emma should do better than she did on debut and is also considered.
  1. Deviate
  2. Knockout Blow
  3. Shamrock Emma

Prize Money

1st: £3,234.002nd: £962.003rd: £481.004th: £240.00

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