19:15 Down Royal

Friday 8 September 2017

All16:0516:4017:1517:4518:1518:4519:15

West Coast Cooler Fashion Week Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap

Off time: 19:17 | Winning time: 4m 21.32s

(9)

Weather Watch^p,t⁴⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 10-0| J: D W O'Connor⁽⁵⁾| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 80

25/1

No win on the Flat since 2013, form this year has been poor in the main and needs to bounce in this. On a fair mark if able to produce best stuff.

Form: 0/2305-9

(3)

Magna Cartor²³

Age: 7| Weight: 9-13| J: Rory Cleary| T: J J Hanlon| OR: 79

9/1

Is 7lb higher than when landing big-field handicap at Galway Festival on penultimate start, stealing a march from the front to score over 2m½f. Enters the equation again.

Form: 223516

(2)

Neverushacon^p¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-10| J: C O'Donoghue| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 76| D

4/1

Winner over fences at Galway last month, just 1lb higher here than when close third in valuable 2m handicap at the Curragh in July on good to yielding.

Form: 120/9-53

(1)

Theos Well^p¹⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 9-10| J: Killian Leonard⁽⁵⁾| T: M Winters| OR: 76

10/1

Decent hurdler, form this year leaves a bit to be desired, well beaten both Flat starts last month over much shorter trips. Rating dropped 6lb as a result.

Form: 9210-90

(10)

Whatsforuwontgobyu³⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-9| J: O J Orr⁽⁵⁾| T: A J Martin| OR: 75

9/2

Just one win from eight starts on Flat, coming over 1m6f at Galway in August 2015. Fit enough to do himself justice and useful claimer does well for this trainer.

Form: 0810/60

(5)

Pivot Bridge⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 9-8| J: Ronan Whelan| T: A McGuinness| OR: 74

25/1

Won pair of low-grade AW handicaps at Wolverhampton in January over 1m6f, pipe opener at Bellewstown last week but probably too high in ratings for this.

Form: 20-1170

(13)

Theophilus^b¹²

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: K J Manning| T: D McDonogh| OR: 73

10/1

No win since 2014, now standing at 14 runs, stamina for this trip is questionable. More than 10L behind Magna Cartor at Galway last month and 2f extra to cover now.

Form: 6-34706

(7)

He's Our Man^t⁸

Age: 12| Weight: 9-4| J: Gary Halpin⁽³⁾| T: A McCann| OR: 70| D

25/1

Behind some of these on previous Flat outing over 2m at the Curragh in July, ran fair race over hurdles at Bellewstown last week and not entirely discounted having dropped another 4lb coming back to the Flat.

Form: 39/6-370

(6)

Grand Canyon^b1,t1¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Wayne Lordan| T: Miss A Mooney| OR: 69

20/1

Has dropped another 2lb but will have to improve on Flat runs over 2m at the Curragh in May/July. Gets first-time tongue tie and blinkers added now.

Form: 470-047

(15)

Glenbank King^b⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 9-2| J: Sean Davis⁽⁷⁾| T: L Smyth| OR: 68

16/1

Won at Ayr over 1m5f in July off a mark of 65, just 3lb higher for this mission but enough doubts over stamina to warrant looking elsewhere.

Form: 090130

(11)

Micras^b²⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: Leigh Roche| T: P A Fahy| OR: 68

20/1

2lb lower than when finishing just over 6L behind Magna Cartor at Galway in August over 2m½f, the mare cannot be ruled out entirely on her best form.

Form: 128479

(16)

Nelson Road¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: Shane Foley| T: J J Murphy| OR: 67

8/1

Eight-race maiden whose mark had been sliding prior to recent runner-up effort over 1m6f at Killarney. Better effort there, must prove stamina for this trip.

Form: 243-682

(14)

River Run^t⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: Gary Carroll| T: D Cullen| OR: 65

50/1

Poor in maiden hurdles when trained by Willie Mullins, hasn't exactly come forward for this yard, including Flat runs at up to 1m6f last month. Hard to build the case on what has been seen to date.

Form: 632/8-50

(4)

Presenting Julio^p,t¹⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 8-10| J: Declan McDonogh| T: G Elliott| OR: 62| BF

5/1

Four-time winner over jumps this year, all at trips further than this. In good heart clearly and lowly rating / respected trainer ensure he's one to take serious note of in the betting.

Form: 1/0853-0

(8)

Boom Or Bush²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: Chris Hayes| T: H Rogers| OR: 68| BF| C

8/1

Winner over 1m2f at this track in July, will be digging deeper than ever before in terms of stamina when this gets serious but yard are flying lately with 27% strike rate (4-15).

Form: 3441S2

Non-Runners

(12)

Venezia²⁹

Weight: 9-7| Age: 6

T: E J O'Grady J: P J Smullen

Super Bowl²²

Weight: 8-4| Age: 4

T: W P Mullins J: Reserve 1

Circling Moon⁴⁸

Weight: 8-4| Age: 3

T: M Halford J: Reserve 2

Shoulda Lied⁹

Weight: 8-4| Age: 3

T: W P Mullins J: Reserve 3

Forecasts

Circling Moon (3/1), Neverushacon (4/1), Whatsforuwontgobyu (9/2), Venezia (9/2), Presenting Julio (5/1), Nelson Road (8/1), Boom Or Bush (8/1), Magna Cartor (9/1), Theophilus (10/1), Theos Well (10/1), Shoulda Lied (11/1), Glenbank King (16/1), Grand Canyon (20/1), Micras (20/1), He's Our Man (25/1), Pivot Bridge (25/1), Weather Watch (25/1), River Run (50/1), Super Bowl (50/1)

A tough finale, Magna Cartor got a nice win at Galway on previous Flat start and while respected, may not be allowed to slip the field quite as easy this time. Venezia made a winning start over hurdles for this yard in June and advertised fair claims for this sort of prize when running on late over an inadequate trip at Leopardstown since. Boom Or Bush represents a stable going great guns but does have a stamina question to answer tackling this sort of trip for the first time. Neverushacon looks a big player on his run at the Curragh in July on the Flat but it might pay to side with Gordon Elliott's runner PRESENTING JULIO, four times a winner over jumps this year, and on a dangerously low weight now returned to the Flat if producing that type of effort.