19:45 Bellewstown

Wednesday 30 August 2017

All16:1516:4517:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:45

Lougher Stables Handicap (45-70)

Off time: 19:45 | Winning time: 2m 38.58s

(14)

Mr Fiftyone⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 10-0| J: C O'Donoghue| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 70

16/1

Two previous Flat runs had been in 1m7f maidens at Leopardstown, before 11th of 14, beaten over 12L at Killarney last time out. One to note in the betting.

Form: 2-640

(8)

Glenbank King^b¹⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 9-12| J: P J Smullen| T: L Smyth| OR: 68

14/1

Won at Ayr (1m5f, good to soft) last month for yard that is a regular UK visitor. Third of 10 last time out for a 3lb rise. Notable jockey booking.

Form: 409013

(6)

River Run^t²⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 9-12| J: Billy Lee| T: D Cullen| OR: 68

33/1

Struggling over hurdles and is 0/5 on the Flat. Beaten 20L at Leopardstown earlier this month. Best passed over today.

Form: 3632/8-5

(2)

Presidio¹⁶⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: Shane Foley| T: D English| OR: 67

33/1

Modest efforts only on turf thus far, before equally disappointing runs at Dundalk on the AW when last seen in March. Best watched on stable debut.

Form: 068-64

(1)

Usa²⁵

Age: 10| Weight: 9-11| J: D M Redmond⁽⁵⁾| T: S J Mahon| OR: 67

9/2

Not unfancied in the betting on his last three starts, all at the Galway Festival. Runner-up there over an extended 1m, before two solid runs over 1m4f.

Form: 521254

(7)

Lost History¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Gary Halpin⁽³⁾| T: J Feane| OR: 65

6/1

Has been running solidly, without a win in his last five starts since May. Positives on the ground, over the distance and in this size of field.

Form: 0-53242

(9)

Ruth Melody⁴⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Leigh Roche| T: L Smyth| OR: 61

33/1

Best run came on one of the trainers many excursions to the UK, when third of nine at Hamilton (1m3f, good) in June. Well beaten though last time out over 1m5f at Ayr.

Form: 046-380

(4)

Hague Convention^t1¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Colin Keane| T: J P Murtagh| OR: 69

12/1

Beaten on all four career maiden starts, including last time out at Leopardstown over 1m2f. Difficult to imagine what improvement first-time tongue-tie will bring.

Form: 0859

(16)

Nulife^b¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Seamie Heffernan| T: D Hogan| OR: 59

11/1

Disappointed in 17-runner handicap at Galway, before seventh of 14, beaten over 14L last time out at Tramore. Five-year-old has a 75% place strike-rate in fields of this size.

Form: 745407

(12)

Vitalized⁵⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: D W O'Connor⁽⁵⁾| T: D English| OR: 58

50/1

Well beaten in three starts this season finishing last of 10 in both of her last two starts. One to pass over.

Form: 931/700

(11)

High Expectations¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-12| J: Declan McDonogh| T: G Elliott| OR: 54| D

7/2

Won off a mark of 45 in May at Ayr (1m3f) then well beaten on soft ground on a trip to Hamilton in June. Back on song with Tramore win this month over 1m4f (yielding) and carries additional 4lb here.

Form: 7/62-131

(5)

Nice To Sea²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: D E Sheehy⁽⁷⁾| T: R P McNamara| OR: 61

33/1

First foal of an unraced dam who is a sister to Kempes and half-sister to Smarty Sock. Well beaten on all three maiden starts.

Form: 760

(3)

Shoulda Lied¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Chris Hayes| T: W P Mullins| OR: 58

7/2

Ran well last time out in a Tramore 1m4f handicap, when third of 13. Stays on a mark of 58 and has gone well in big fields.

Form: 506-343

Dark Amber³⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 8-12| J: C P Hoban| T: D English| OR: 54| D

33/1

First Reserve: Beaten a neck at Fairyhouse last month, but has suffered heavy defeats at Gowran Park and Leopardstown since. Ground to suit and okay over distance. One for the shortlist.

Form: 802709

Non-Runners

(10)

Mademoiselle Penny¹⁴

Weight: 10-0| Age: 5

T: P J Flynn J: R P Downey

(13)

Lizard Point¹¹

Weight: 8-12| Age: 4

T: P J Flynn J: Killian Leonard

(15)

Mack Miller¹⁹

Weight: 8-12| Age: 4

T: Jane M Foley J: Gary Carroll

Why Me⁶⁴

Weight: 8-10| Age: 7

T: G P Cromwell J: Reserve 2

Daigreen²⁰

Weight: 8-7| Age: 8

T: Miss E McCutcheon J: Reserve 3

Forecasts

High Expectations (7/2), Shoulda Lied (7/2), Usa (9/2), Lost History (6/1), Nulife (11/1), Hague Convention (12/1), Glenbank King (14/1), Lizard Point (14/1), Mr Fiftyone (16/1), Mack Miller (16/1), Mademoiselle Penny (25/1), Daigreen (25/1), Why Me (25/1), Dark Amber (33/1), Nice To Sea (33/1), River Run (33/1), Ruth Melody (33/1), Presidio (33/1), Vitalized (50/1)

Not a great deal of pace on in this 1m3f contest and it may be left to Mademoiselle Penny to make the running. Ruth Melody, Vitalized and the selection, HIGH EXPECTATIONS, are sure to race prominently behind. The Elliott runner did things well at Tramore recently when scoring and could prove up to defying the 4lb hike dished out. Shoulda Lied, from the Mullins stable and Lost History, could fill the places.