15:00 Ayr

Monday 8 May 2017

All14:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:00

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  • 4YO plus  |   Class 6  |   6f  |   Good to Firm (Good in places)  |   15 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 15:02  |   Winning time: 1m 9.95s
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
2
(3)
Horse silk
Perfect Words204
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-7| J: D Tudhope| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR:  60
7/1
Winner over a furlong shorter at this course last July and has run some eye-catching races since. Is gradually going own in the weights and now looks on a winnable mark, but he does have to prove himself on fast ground, if the forecasts are correct.
3
(1)
Horse silk
Silhuettep16
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-7| J: P Makin| T: C J Teague| OR:  60
20/1
Won her first two races and subsequently ran in Group company, but has regressed badly since, even dropping to a selling race last time out. On all form for her current trainer she looks too high in the handicap to seriously challenge here.
4
(2)
Horse silk
Goninodaethat23
Age: 9|  Weight: 9-5| J: S H James| T: J S Goldie| OR:  58
10/1
Has shown definite signs that he retains some of his ability even in his advancing years, including with a convincing C&D win in October. That was off 5lb lower but he is ground versatile and breaks from an ideal stall here and so has claims that cannot be ignored.
5
(9)
Horse silk
Poor Duke39
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-1| J: Jason Hart| T: M Mullineaux| OR:  54
11/1
Went close on a number of occasions last summer, winning one of those and as a result has shot up in the handicap. Didn't fare well when stepped up to a mile for three consecutive races and could do much better now back in sprints.
6
(11)
Horse silk
Modern Tutorp123
Age: 8|  Weight: 8-12| J: D C Costello| T: Nicole McKenna| OR:  51
20/1
Interesting to see him dropped down to this trip for the first time for this yard, with first-time cheek pieces applied. Form hasn't been the best of late though and he looks handicapped to his best in this competitive heat.
7
(16)
Horse silk
Dutch Dream188
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-11| J: G Lee| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR:  50
25/1
Won a weak maiden at Hamilton in August on today's trip/ground and has run two poor races in handicap company since. Looks like she will need a little bit more give from the handicapper before making her mark in a race such as this.
8
(14)
Horse silk
Our Place In Loule16
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-11| J: T Eaves| T: N Wilson| OR:  50
6/1
Finished a fine second at Thirsk at big odds last time out. Ended up in the right place at the right time there which might not happen here given his draw but he looked like a horse who could win a race of this nature that day, especially off an unchanged mark.
9
(6)
Horse silk
Duncan Of Scotlandb263
Age: 4|  Weight: 8-11| J: P Mulrennan| T: L Smyth| OR:  50
11/1
11-race maiden who showed little on four starts last year and makes his season return today. Now on his lowest handicap mark of his career but entitled to need this even if able to make an impression off this sort of weight.
10
(17)
Horse silk
Sea Of Greenp16
Age: 5|  Weight: 8-10| J: P J McDonald| T: J S Goldie| OR:  49
12/1
Not hugely impressive on her return to turf at Thirsk last time out (6f, good to firm), but had been in good form on the all-weather prior to that. Sole win came on that surface and it's possible she simply prefers it, and it's also concerning that she breaks from the widest draw of all here.
12
(13)
Horse silk
Secret Cityb16
Age: 11|  Weight: 8-8| J: Rowan Scott(5)| T: Rebecca Bastiman| OR:  47
11/1
Veteran C&D winner but no win since July 2015 and he looks exposed and past his best. Vulnerable to younger, more improving types in this field.
13
(12)
Horse silk
National Servicep,t21
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-7| J: J Fanning| T: C Ellam| OR:  46
16/1
Has had plenty of racing, not to mention three trainers, in the space of the past year but has failed to make an impression since leaving Gordon Elliott's. Returns to turf after a spell on the all-weather but looks fully exposed.
14
(7)
Horse silk
New Decade16
Age: 8|  Weight: 8-7| J: P Hanagan| T: J S Goldie| OR:  45
7/1
Ran a fair race on return at Thirsk last month give he hadn't had a race in almost two years (and even longer on the Flat). More would be needed now and perhaps a little harsh that he's raised 1lb, but not out of it on that evidence.
15
(15)
Horse silk
Spoken Wordsp231
Age: 8|  Weight: 8-7| J: Connor Murtagh(7)| T: J Riches| OR:  45
50/1
No win since December 2014, and even that came in a Class 7 handicap at Wolverhampton. Seems to lack the basic ability to win a race of this nature and cannot be recommended, especially from a high draw.
16
(10)
Horse silk
Jessie Allan4
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-7| J: J P Sullivan| T: J S Goldie| OR:  45
16/1
Has gone 18 races without even placing and does not look capable of winning a race as competitive as this; easily discounted.
17
(8)
Horse silk
Little Cupcakeb159
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-7| J: Joey Haynes| T: P W Flynn| OR:  45
7/1
Just the one career win and that came when she was still trained in France. Has looked fully exposed up until now but interesting to see how first-time blinkers could have an effect.

Non-Runners

1
(5)
Horse silk
Insurplus1
Weight: 9-9|  Age: 4
T: J S Goldie  J: Non Runner
NR
11
(4)
Horse silk
Ss Vega4
Weight: 8-8|  Age: 4
T: J S Goldie  J: Non Runner
NR

Forecasts

Our Place In Loule (6/1), Perfect Words (7/1), Little Cupcake (7/1), New Decade (7/1), Goninodaethat (10/1), Insurplus (10/1), Duncan Of Scotland (11/1), Secret City (11/1), Poor Duke (11/1), Sea Of Green (12/1), Ss Vega (14/1), Jessie Allan (16/1), National Service (16/1), Silhuette (20/1), Modern Tutor (20/1), Dutch Dream (25/1), Spoken Words (50/1)

Verdict

With so many runners and no clear horse to beat, this is a very open looking contest. Our Place In Louis out-ran big odds at Thirsk last time and shaped as if he is the sort of horse who could win a big-field handicap such as this, while Goninodaethat won over C&D in October and has been running well elsewhere of late. They could both be thereabouts, but preference is for POOR DUKE. He enjoyed a fruitful summer last year with some fine efforts, and has been running over a mile recently despite sprint distances looking to be his optimum. He returns to 6f today and could exploit that step down in trip to land the spoils.
  1. Poor Duke
  2. Our Place In Loule
  3. Goninodaethat

Prize Money

1st: ÂŁ2,588.002nd: ÂŁ770.003rd: ÂŁ385.004th: ÂŁ192.00

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