19:45 Kempton

Saturday 18 February 2017

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

32Red/EBF Stallions Breeding Fillies' Handicap

Off time: 19:47 | Winning time: 1m 24.35s

(7)

Summer Icon²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: G Baker| T: M R Channon| OR: 94

5/1

Has been in very good form recently including in some better races than this. Handicap mark is now at its highest for a while but the drop back in trip is a positive and she looks a leading contender here.

Form: 133973

(11)

Golden Amber¹⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-6| J: R Winston| T: D K Ivory| OR: 93

16/1

Finished close up in almost all of her recent starts, mostly at a higher level than this and including an effort over C&D in November. Handicap mark looks workable and should put in a bold bid.

Form: 5-44754

(9)

Ibazz¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: J Mitchell| T: A Watson| OR: 88

4/1

Two-time winner on the AW in France but difficult to say how well she'll fare in British debut having switched stables, and therefore best watched.

Form: 1402-85

(14)

Bargain Buy¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Georgia Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: W J Haggas| OR: 87

7/2

Always seems to run her race and remains on the same handicap rating as when third over 1m at Lingfield last time. Seems to prefer 7f on available evidence, and is a leading contender despite having the widest draw of all.

Form:

(2)

Bint Dandy^p³¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: C A Dwyer| OR: 87

9/1

Hasn't won in thirty races since March 2015, despite some very close finishes. Handicap mark is a little higher than ideal, but would be no surprise to see her involved in the finish again.

Form: 4-32036

(8)

Staintondale Lass¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: M Harley| T: E F Vaughan| OR: 86

20/1

Was running well at a lower level than this for much of last year before struggling in a slightly more valuable handicap in September. May be better for the break but is still 6lb higher than her most recent win.

Form: 7110-08

(10)

Make Music¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A M Balding| OR: 83

12/1

Won at Lingfield two starts ago before struggling in a good race at Chelmsford last time out. Still on a high handicap mark but question marks over whether he's up to winning at this level.

Form: 717514

(1)

Rebel Surge^p¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: S Donohoe| T: R Spencer| OR: 83

12/1

Hasn't got her head in front since she was a juvenile, and her mark shows few signs of letting up, though some of her recent performances have been better than the bare form lines suggest.

Form: 045434

(4)

Hawatif¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: Mitch Godwin⁽⁵⁾| T: A Carson| OR: 81

25/1

Has struggled recently and has now moved to this yard from Mark Johnstone's. Drops in class but will still need to improve a large amount from her previous two runs in order to figure here.

Form: 383-659

(6)

Jacquotte Delahaye^b¹²

Age: 6| Weight: 8-6| J: Josephine Gordon| T: D H Brown| OR: 79

10/1

Goes up 7lb for C&D win last time out. Has that extra weight to contend with in a much tougher race, and looks likely to be fighting it out for the minors.

Form: 170-825

(13)

Maggie Pink³¹

Age: 8| Weight: 8-6| J: B A Curtis| T: M Appleby| OR: 79

50/1

C&D winner but has struggled recently, despite a rapidly sinking handicap mark. Must also overcome a wide draw.

Form: 546655

(5)

Threebagsue^b¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-4| J: Hollie Doyle⁽⁵⁾| T: J S Moore| OR: 77

25/1

Fairly frequent winner, but mostly in claimers and seems to be on something of a prohibitive handicap mark. Seems to be going the right way though and can't be totally ruled out.

Form: 120181

(3)

Childesplay¹⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 8-3| J: L Morris| T: H Main| OR: 76

8/1

C&D winner but has failed to get involved in some easier races than this lately, but the trip is fine and the jockey booking is a positive.

Form: 950-364

Non-Runners

(12)

Bahaarah³¹

Weight: 9-8| Age: 4

T: R Hannon J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Bargain Buy (7/2), Ibazz (4/1), Summer Icon (5/1), Childesplay (8/1), Bint Dandy (9/1), Jacquotte Delahaye (10/1), Rebel Surge (12/1), Make Music (12/1), Bahaarah (12/1), Golden Amber (16/1), Staintondale Lass (20/1), Threebagsue (25/1), Hawatif (25/1), Maggie Pink (50/1)

This is competitive enough race with many horses stepping down in class having struggled at a higher level than this. Among those is SUMMER ICON, who has run some very eye-catching races recently including when beaten half a length in a Class 2 handicap last time at Wolverhampton. A 1lb rise for that seems very fair, and the step down in trip also plays in her favour. The progressive Bargain Buy always tries her best and could be the one to chase her home over a trip she enjoys, while Golden Amber also steps down in class here and should be involved at the finish. 1. Summer Icon 2. Bargain Buy 3. Golden Amber