There is a price of 9/4 available with four different bookmakers on TIMO WERNER TO SCORE ANYTIME and those odds are just too big to ignore against a team in the form of Southampton. The 24-year-old's tally across all competitions is 10 this season so it's hardly the horrendous return that is being made out at times.
Werner has seen plenty of efforts to score during his time with Thomas Tuchel, too. He had four shots in the win over Newcastle, while there were three in each of the wins against Burnley and Tottenham. He's fancied to score and looks great value at around the 2/1 mark.
Everton may have lost their last two but their away form is superb. They are unbeaten in their last seven on the road, five of which were wins and that includes trips to Leicester and Manchester United. The Toffees are 4th in the Premier League away standings. Liverpool may be 2nd for home games, but their form over the past ten games in the league puts them 16th in that form chart.
That home position is helped by their dominate showings at Anfield. That feels like a distant memory now and Everton, who typically don't perform well in this fixture, may now actually have their chance to strike. We can look at the history, but the recent showings are too important to ignore, as is the 15/8 on EVERTON OR DRAW ON THE DOUBLE CHANCE.
West Brom firmly rank as the league’s worst team according to Infogol’s expected goals table, with the Baggies winning the fewest expected points (xP) since their return to the top tier. Their underlying numbers since Sam Allardyce's his appointment have simply not improved (0.84 xGF and 1.99 xGA per game).
They are poor travelers and it seems likely Burnley can win this game considering their impressive defensive record at home, which is making me side with BURNLEY TO WIN AND UNDER 3.5 GOALS.
Fulham look the most likely of the current three teams occupying the relegation zone to make a dramatic escape, and this game could potentially have huge ramifications on each side’s survival hopes.
They trail Newcastle by just six points, most recently unable to defend their lead against Burnley, but before that game, Fulham had claimed the scalp of Everton at Goodison Park, creating an impressive 2.37 xG against the Toffees.
Josh Maja made an excellent full debut, scoring twice in that game, and his goals could be crucial in the looming relegation battle. The 13/5 about JOSH MAJA TO SCORE ANYTIME is worth a small bet here.
It doesn’t look a vintage renewal of the Bateaux London Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase at Ascot on Saturday, but despite the small field and compressed market I’m not sure DEMACHINE should be battling it out for outsider of the field status.
I’d have him at the other end of the betting disputing favouritism with Severano who he beat by three lengths at Newbury last time, when in receipt of 8lb, and though they compete off levels on Saturday I fancy him to confirm that form.
While Severano has to prove himself of the trip, Demachine is a course and distance winner and he was very impressive that day when accounting for Young Bull, who he had previously beaten off much more favourable terms, in the style of a horse going places.
JERRYSBACK gets the vote in the "My Oddsboost" On Betfair Swinley Handicap Chase.
This lightly-raced, Philip Hobbs-trained nine-year-old has run his best races at Ascot, and returned from a long absence to chase home Dashel Drasher and Benny's King (who runs in the Ascot Chase) over two-miles-and-five-furlongs at the last meeting.
Jerrysback kept on encouragingly all the way to the line that day against two in-form course specialists and, providing he doesn't 'bounce', this step up in distance to three miles ought to suit him well.
We’re in the last chance saloon for horses to qualify for the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham. It’s the target for top-weight Champagne Platinum but while it may not be on the radar for EVERGLOW he looks a bet in this trial.
Philip Hobbs’ charge has only had four starts over timber but has progressed with each one. He was pitched into a handicap for the first time in the Lanzarote at Kempton last month and will have learned plenty from the experience.
A field of 20 racing around there was very different to anything he’d encountered before but he came home nicely up the straight to finish seventh. This is a smaller field and a step up in trip, both of which will suit, and the excellent Ben Jones takes three pounds off. He’s the runner in this with scope for progression and with the Philip Hobbs team going well, can make his presence felt.
While Brady is not without a chance, I do expect Osaka – the better all-round player – to win this but with the Japanese so short, what’s the best way of backing her?
Even in the set betting, Osaka is only 4/7 to win 2-0.
She’s 5/4 to win in under 19.5 games which doesn’t look too bad, although it’s the sort of bet which relies in part on the coin toss.
With serve likely to hold sway for much of the match – there were only two breaks in that US Open semi-final – Brady serving first opens up the possibility of a 6-4 6-4 Osaka win which would be an agonising way to lose.
Instead I’ll back UNDER 20.5 GAMES at 4/5, a bet which also leaves open the possibility of Brady blasting her way through Osaka’s defences.
With Lara's shock win over Warrington still fresh in the memory, JORDAN GILL and Robbie Davies Jr will be well aware of the perils of facing Mexican opponents at the Wembley Arena.
The former takes on former world title challenge Cesar Juarez, whose record of 25-9 features plenty of good names, and Gill will have to be wary of his power. The visitor may have seen better days, though, while the Cambridgeshire native's career is on an upward trajectory and he can justify 1/10 favouritism in good style here.
Gill boxed beautifully behind his jab to beat Reece Bellotti on points during Matchroom's Fight Camp in the summer and the talented featherweight looks a very solid bet at 20/21 to repeat those tactics for another VICTORY ON THE SCORECARDS.
Blaydes has a takedown accuracy of 55% and in his last four fights; he has landed 26 takedowns showing he is more than capable of getting his opponents to the mat. With 10 of his 14 wins coming via KO as well, there is definitive proof of Blaydes’ game plan being rock solid.
Lewis also has a heavy right hand, and has produced some stunning come behind victories in the past, so backing either fighter to win by TKO/KO is an option - consider doing so in a double with my next selection. However, CURTIS BLAYDES holds the aces and gets the vote.
SABATINI possesses one of the worst stylistic matchups that a striker like Alves could face. As long as the American can stay patient and defensively sound on the feet, then he will get his opportunity to crash the pocket and drag his opponent to the mat. The longer he is able to do this, the more he drains Alves’ cardio and limits the chance of a stoppage win for the Brazilian.
While the top position of Sabatini will be enough to win him this fight on the judges’ scorecards, Alves’ six submission losses implies that the American can find a finish in this fight. At 13/2, I think that’s worth a smaller wager on the side.
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