After six winners from six in France v Australia, Tom Carnduff picks out his stats to back as Brazil take on Serbia.
- Brazil to score 2+ goals
- Filip Kostic 2+ tackles
- Brazil 5+ corners
- Brazil 15+ total shots
BACK OUR 17/4 BUILDABET WITH SKY BET
What does the Infogol expected goals (xG) model predict?
- Predicted % chance: Brazil 70% | Draw 20% | Serbia 10%
- Over/under 2.5 goals: Over 49% | Under 51%
- Both teams to score (BTTS): Yes 40% | No 60%
- Most likely scoreline: Brazil 2-0 Serbia
Brazil to score 2+ goals
Brazil are the tournament favourites and boast an incredibly strong attack that could well fire them to glory.
Serbia are a good team, and they will hold confidence of wins of Cameroon and Switzerland, but they could well end up being a little too brave here and playing into Brazil's hands.
Filip Kostic 2+ tackles
It's likely to be a LWB role for Filip Kostic, who is set for a busy night trying to keep the Brazilian wingers as quiet as possible.
The Juventus man had three tackles in their final Nations League game against Norway, and he can contribute with a couple here.
Brazil 5+ corners
Brazil's talented wingers play a part in this, and we expect them to see the majority of both possession and the chances in this contest.
Serbia conceded nine corners against Norway in their last competitive fixture, while Brazil hit this line last time out.
Brazil 15+ total shots
Brazil have achieved this in each of their last seven contests (both competitive and friendly) and will hold confidence of doing so again on Thursday night.
Three of Serbia's last four Nations League games saw the opposition hit double figures for shots, although we have to factor in the difference in level of opposition to this.
Neymar 2+ shots on target
Neymar is going to be the main man for Brazil in attack. He has scored 15 goals across 20 appearances in all competitions for PSG this season.
The forward is averaging 1.2 shots on target per game in Ligue 1, while he has also found the net four times across his last four appearances for A Seleção.
Dusan Vlahovic 1+ shots on target
While Brazil are expected to win, Serbia should have some chances and Dusan Vlahovic will be eager to find the back of the net on the biggest stage of them all.
The Juventus striker is averaging 1.2 shots on target per Serie A game this season, while he has scored nine goals in 17 appearances for his country.
Odds correct at 1000 GMT (23/11/22)
World Cup: More from Sporting Life
- World Cup 2022: Sporting Life Hub
- World Cup 2022: Tips, best bets & analysis
- World Cup 2022: All you need to know
- World Cup 2022: Fixtures, results & live scores
- Free downloadable World Cup wallchart
- Free downloadable World Cup sweepstake kit
- Follow Sporting Life Football on Facebook
- Download our free iOS and Android app
Safer gambling
We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.
If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133.
Further support and information can be found at begambleaware.org and gamblingtherapy.org.
