13:50 Chepstow

Friday 31 January 2020

All13:2013:5014:2014:5515:2516:0016:30

Crownhill Top Soil/EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 13:50 | Winning time: 4m 21.9s

1^st

Eden Du Houx

611-4

6/5f

T: D PipeJ: T Scudamore

Made all, hit 2 out, ridden and hung left just before last, ran on tchd 6/4

2^nd

Mario De Pail

511-10

6/4

T: S ThomasJ: Sam Twiston-Davies

Chased winner, hit 3rd and 2 out, every chance when carried left just before last, hard ridden, ran on op 2/1

3^rd

Shantou Vow

511-10

10/1

T: H WhittingtonJ: Adrian Heskin

Prominent, hit 3rd, weakening when mistake 2 out, left poor 3rd last op 12/1

4^th

3 ¼

Riggs

511-4

25/1

T: D SkeltonJ: Harry Skelton

Held up, hit 4th, some progress 3 out, soon pushed along, weakened after 2 out tchd 20/1

5^th

Jobesgreen Lad

511-4

80/1

T: T R GeorgeJ: J J Burke

Held up, hit 3rd, effort before 3 out, weakening when mistake 2 out op 100/1

6^th

I Am Plastered

511-4

66/1

T: J L FlintJ: R T Dunne

Always in rear, not fluent 3 out, soon struggling op 80/1

Also Ran

Cardiff Bay

511-4

66/1

T: Evan WilliamsJ: Adam Wedge

Held up mid-division, not fluent 3rd, behind from 3 out, soon pulled up op 80/1

Fidelio Vallis

511-4

4/1

T: P F NichollsJ: H Cobden

Took keen hold, held up in touch, weakened 2 out, 3rd and well beaten when fell last op 7/2 tchd 3/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.80Pl:£1.10, £1.10, £1.80EX:£3.30Trifecta:£10.10SF:£3.75Swingers:£1.10, £2.00, £2.20

Forecasts

Eden Du Houx (6/5), Mario De Pail (6/4), Fidelio Vallis (4/1), Shantou Vow (10/1), Riggs (25/1), I Am Plastered (66/1), Cardiff Bay (66/1), Jobesgreen Lad (80/1)

EDEN DU HOUX has not progressed as much as expected but may still have too much for his rivals returning from a short break. Although beaten nearly 20 lengths last time out, that was in a Grade 2 event and this is a much easier opportunity. His main rival looks to be Mario De Pail who has progressed through bumpers onto hurdles quite seamlessly. His penalty for winning his last race looks the biggest impediment to him following up though he should run his race. Fidelio Vallis is a slightly unknown quantity but is well regarded and attention should be paid if there is significant market support.