19:00 Newcastle

Wednesday 3 October 2018

All17:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Software City Fillies' Novice Stakes

Off time: 19:00 | Winning time: 1m 41.22s

1^st

(4)

Sun Hat

38-12

5/1

T: S & E CrisfordJ: J Fanning

Tracked leader, led going well 2f out, ridden inside final furlong, held on op 6/1 tchd 4/1

2^nd

(2)

Improve

39-5

4/7f

T: W J HaggasJ: D Tudhope

Tracked leaders, went 2nd entering final 2f, ridden over 1f out, stayed inside final furlong, just held op 4/5

3^rd

(3)

Never Be Enough

38-12

12/1

T: K DalgleishJ: G Lee

Held up, headway over 2f out, went 3rd over 1f out, ran on well towards finish tchd 11/1 and tchd 14/1

4^th

2 ½

(9)

Reassurance

38-12

7/2

T: J TateJ: D Allan

Led until 2f out, chased leaders, weakened over 1f out op 3/1 tchd 4/1

5^th

(6)

Call Me Madam

38-12

50/1

T: J D BethellJ: A Elliott

Chased leaders, pushed along over 3f out, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened op 40/1 tchd 66/1

6^th

(1)

Arctic Haze

38-12

14/1

T: J TateJ: L Morris

Raced keenly, ridden and weakened over 2f out op 12/1 tchd 16/1

7^th

3 ¼

(7)

Ruby Cherub

38-12

150/1

T: Mrs R CarrJ: J P Sullivan

Always behind op 125/1 tchd 200/1

8^th

(8)

Toccata Mia

49-1

80/1

T: P A KirbyJ: A Mullen

Awkwardly away, behind, ridden approaching halfway, weakened 3f out op 50/1

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Non-Runners

(5)

Dutch Melody⁴⁶⁰

Weight: 9-1| Age: 4

T: L Egerton J: Cam Hardie

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£7.20Pl:£1.50, £1.10, £2.50EX:£12.00Trifecta:£60.30SF:£8.80Swingers:£1.60, £5.80, £4.00

Forecasts

Improve (4/7), Reassurance (7/2), Sun Hat (5/1), Never Be Enough (12/1), Arctic Haze (14/1), Call Me Madam (50/1), Toccata Mia (80/1), Ruby Cherub (150/1), Dutch Melody (200/1)

The most obvious candidate is the penalised Haydock winner IMPROVE with her trainer William Haggas well known for sending some promising horses to Newcastle since the conversion to Tapeta (15-43; 35%). Furthermore, her pedigree suggests that she'll appreciate this racing surface (her half-sister Amazour has a healthy strike-rate at Gosforth Park). Others to consider for the minor honours include the newly cheekpieced Reassurance, and the Sir Percy filly Never Be Enough who made a highly promising start to her racing career at Carlisle.