19:00 Newcastle

Wednesday 3 October 2018

All17:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Software City Fillies' Novice Stakes

  • 3YO plus  |   Class 5  |   1m 5y  |   Standard  |   8 Runners  |   Allweather  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 19:00  |   Winning time: 1m 41.22s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
(2)
Horse silk
Improve131
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-5| J: D Tudhope| T: W J Haggas| D
4/7
Iffraaj filly, cost €150,000 as a yearling. Half-sister to Group 1 winner Persuasive (1m) and the 6f-7f AW scorer Amazour; penalised for her May 1m fillies' novice win at Haydock (good to soft); obvious contender despite the absence.
3
(8)
Horse silk
Toccata Mia
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-1| J: A Mullen| T: P A Kirby
80/1
First foal from a modest dam (7f/1m); trainer not a regular supplier of winners in such races; very unlikely unless the market provides clear positive signals.
4
(1)
Horse silk
Arctic Haze15
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-12| J: L Morris| T: J Tate
14/1
67,000gns foal; 45,000gns yearling; produced an improved effort on her second start at Lingfield (7f, standard) last month when finishing a keeping on 5L third to Be My Angel; trainer also saddles Reassurance.
5
(6)
Horse silk
Call Me Madam33
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-12| J: A Elliott| T: J D Bethell
50/1
Half-sister to the 1m2f AW winner Bobs Her Uncle; well beaten at double figure odds on both starts so far (1m2f), and looks the type to be far better suited by handicapping in time; dropped in trip tonight.
6
(3)
Horse silk
Never Be Enough10
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-12| J: G Lee| T: K Dalgleish
12/1
£16,000 yearling; half-sister to five winners incl Fibresand scorers Dr Red Eye and Kumbeshwar; pleasing debut when a keeping on (from rear) 5¾L third to Collide at Carlisle (1m1f, soft); not quite so effective at Hamilton since (keen); AW debut.
7
(9)
Horse silk
Reassurancep127
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-12| J: D Allan| T: J Tate| OR:  73
7/2
Beaten just ½L by Thimbleweed at Nottingham (1m2f) in July, and has contested better races (handicaps) over further since; making her first start over 1m in newly applied cheekpieces; stablemate of Arctic Haze.
8
(7)
Horse silk
Ruby Cherub9
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-12| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR:  38
150/1
40-rated seven-race maiden; well out of her depth in this company despite being a half-sister to three winners (dam also a 6f AW scorer); no chance.
9
(4)
Horse silk
Sun Hat305
Age: 3|  Weight: 8-12| J: J Fanning| T: S & E CrisfordWS
5/1
Helmet filly; dam an unraced half-sister to the 7f Listed winner Emboss; has had wind surgery since her 25/1 7f debut fifth of ten to Jellmood (beaten 7L) at Wolverhampton in December 2017.

Non-Runners

2
(5)
Horse silk
Dutch Melody460
Weight: 9-1|  Age: 4
T: L Egerton  J: Cam Hardie
NR

Forecasts

Improve (4/7), Reassurance (7/2), Sun Hat (5/1), Never Be Enough (12/1), Arctic Haze (14/1), Call Me Madam (50/1), Toccata Mia (80/1), Ruby Cherub (150/1), Dutch Melody (200/1)

Verdict

The most obvious candidate is the penalised Haydock winner IMPROVE with her trainer William Haggas well known for sending some promising horses to Newcastle since the conversion to Tapeta (15-43; 35%). Furthermore, her pedigree suggests that she'll appreciate this racing surface (her half-sister Amazour has a healthy strike-rate at Gosforth Park). Others to consider for the minor honours include the newly cheekpieced Reassurance, and the Sir Percy filly Never Be Enough who made a highly promising start to her racing career at Carlisle.
  1. Improve
  2. Never Be Enough
  3. Reassurance

Prize Money

1st: £3,752.002nd: £1,116.003rd: £558.004th: £279.00

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