13:50 Durbanville

Saturday 19 October 2024

All10:5511:3012:0512:4013:1413:5014:3015:0515:4216:17

RaceCape Powered By Hollywoodbets Class 4

Off time: 13:51 | Winning time: 1m 37.3s

(1)

Radicchio³⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Tristan Godden| T: Piet Botha| CD

5/2

Five wins from 18 Flat runs. 4 wins from 11 runs this year. 5/1, career best when winning 14-runner handicap at this course (7f, good) 35 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 104141-

(2)

Shavout²¹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: S Veale| T: Vaughan Marshall| D

9/2

Nineteen runs since last win in 2022. 10½ lengths fourteenth of 15 to Devil A Saint in handicap at this C&D (good, 33/1) 21 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 0/87220-

(3)

Michael Faraday³⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: A Domeyer| T: Candice Bass-Robinson

16/1

50/1, bit below form 8½ lengths eighth of 14 to Radicchio in handicap at this course (7f, good) 35 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere.

Form: 310708-

(4)

Continentalexpress⁹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Craig Zackey| T: Dean Kannemeyer

7/1

Respectable third of 13 in minor event (3/1) at Scottsville (11.9f, good to soft). Off 94 days. Significantly back down in trip. Not taken lightly.

Form: 6/41223-

(6)

Fireflare^b²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: Craig Bantam| T: Dean Kannemeyer| D

14/1

Bit below form third of 12 in minor event at this course (9.9f, good, 7/1) 21 days ago. Back down in trip. Has to be taken seriously.

Form: 546233-

(7)

Devil A Saint²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Iannish Taka| T: Des A McLachlan| CD

13/2

100/1, didn't need to improve to win 15-runner handicap at this C&D (good) 21 days ago.

Form: 317001-

(8)

Greenland^b⁴²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Grant Van Niekerk| T: Justin Snaith| D

9/2

Winner at Kenilworth in June. 8/1, seventh of 11 in minor event at this course (9f, good) 42 days ago.

Form: 541557-

(9)

Dawn Till Dusk^b²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: J V'd Merwe| T: Justin Snaith| C

11/2

Course winner. Winner here in August. 20/1, good second of 13 in minor event at this course (6.2f, good) 21 days ago. Up in trip.

Form: 67312-

(10)

Dalmeny Factor³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Denis Schwarz| T: Eric Sands| CD

10/1

1 win from 3 runs this year. Won 13-runner maiden at this C&D (good, 25/1) 35 days ago. Not easy to make a case for.

Form: 641-

Non-Runners

(5)

Legal Counsel²⁸

Weight: 8-13| Age: 3

T: Justin Snaith J: R Fourie

Forecasts

Radicchio (5/2), Legal Counsel (4/1), Greenland (9/2), Shavout (9/2), Dawn Till Dusk (11/2), Devil A Saint (13/2), Continentalexpress (7/1), Dalmeny Factor (10/1), Fireflare (14/1), Michael Faraday (16/1)

FIREFLARE is just about best of these all things considered but has little room for error. Continentalexpress is marginally preferred for second, while Legal Counsel looks third best.