16:05 Listowel

Thursday 26 September 2024

All14:2014:5515:3016:0516:3717:1017:45

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)

Off time: 16:05 | Winning time: 4m 21.6s

Big Debates⁸²

Age: 11| Weight: 12-0| J: Anna McGuinness⁽²⁾| T: R Tyner| OR: 109| D

25/1

Fourteen runs since last win in 2022. 25/1, tenth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Bellewstown (24.5f, good to firm) 82 days ago, unable to recover from a bad mistake at the eighth. Significantly back down in trip now but he's not the easiest to assess.

Form: F5P5-00

Poets Cottage²⁰⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-11| J: N J Ryan| T: N Meade| OR: 106

7/1

16/1, respectable fifth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Leopardstown (2m, soft) in March, unable to sustain effort. Has been absent again since so the betting is likely to prove a good guide.

Form: 46/3605-

Carlas Big Jim¹⁶⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 11-10| J: J Smith| T: L J Archdeacon| OR: 105

9/1

Landed back-to-back handicaps at up to 20f earlier this year but absent since finishing fifth of 8 in handicap hurdle at Limerick (2m, heavy) in April, ridden too aggressively. Revised mark demands that little bit more.

Form: 221105-

Mattie's Mountain^t¹³²

Age: 9| Weight: 11-10| J: Shane Fenelon| T: E McCarthy| OR: 105| D

16/1

Thirteen runs since last win in 2020. Shaped as if needing the run after 13 months off when eleventh of 14 in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (2m) back in May. Needs to hit the ground running back from another break.

Form: 2F345/0

Baltinglass Hill^b²⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 11-7| J: Tiernan Power Roche| T: P J Rothwell| OR: 102| D

4/1

Latest win in hurdle at Roscommon (15.6f) in June. Creditable fourth of 11 in handicap hurdle (8/1) at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Expected to be bang there.

Form: 541424

Benzine¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-4| J: Peter Smithers| T: J Morrison| OR: 99

13/2

Lightly-raced maiden. Creditable ninth of 20 in handicap hurdle at Galway (16.7f, good to soft, 33/1) 17 days ago, still in touch when mistake 2 out. Another who may yet have a bigger effort in his locker. Engagedv3.10 here Wednesday.

Form: 976-79

Say It So^p,t³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 11-4| J: Patrick M O'Brien| T: E McNamara| OR: 99

16/5

Gained a most unlikely first victory over hurdles at Cork (18.5f) in August prior to finishing second of 6 in handicap at Killarney (14.4f, good to soft, 9/2) 34 days ago. Wouldn't be sure to be in same form back in this sphere, however.

Form: 9/007-41

Targa Flavio¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: T P Harney| T: R O'Sullivan| OR: 97

7/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 14/1, good tenth of 20 in handicap hurdle at Galway (16.7f, good to soft) 17 days ago, plugging on. Increase in trip may benefit him moving forward.

Form: 500-50

Ifitwasme^h,t⁴⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Calum Hogan⁽²⁾| T: E McNamara| OR: 95

10/1

Fair handicapper on Flat stays (12.5f) who offered some promise in trio of hurdle outings this time last year. Comes here fit and in form from the level and improvement likely now handicapping in this sphere.

Form: 769-

Sayitfirst²²

Age: 8| Weight: 10-6| J: D Moloney| T: D Collins| OR: 87| D

10/1

Creditable seventh of 14 in handicap hurdle (7/1) at Kilbeggan (16f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 9-P0347

Eddierocket³⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: R P Geoghegan| T: N Lee| OR: 86

50/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 150/1, ninth of 13 in handicap hurdle at Sligo (17.4f, soft) 36 days ago, labouring after 3 out and merely passing beaten rivals. More needed.

Form: 8/0-09

Non-Runners

Ah Remy Martin²⁷

Weight: 12-0| Age: 6

T: T Gibney J: C McGivern

Pahlavi²⁰

Weight: 11-13| Age: 7

T: J J Hanlon J: Non Runner

Pidoyne⁴¹

Weight: 11-11| Age: 6

T: H De Bromhead J: E M O'Sullivan

Pro Bono⁸

Weight: 11-7| Age: 9

T: P J Hayes J: Cian Cullinan

Ganderstown⁴⁹

Weight: 10-0| Age: 5

T: C Byrnes J: T Joseph Kelly

Trenchtown Rock²⁹

Weight: 10-0| Age: 11

T: V T O'Brien J: A M King

Forecasts

Say It So (16/5), Ah Remy Martin (4/1), Baltinglass Hill (4/1), Benzine (13/2), Targa Flavio (7/1), Poets Cottage (7/1), Carlas Big Jim (9/1), Ifitwasme (10/1), Sayitfirst (10/1), Pro Bono (10/1), Pahlavi (12/1), Pidoyne (12/1), Ganderstown (14/1), Mattie's Mountain (16/1), Big Debates (25/1), Trenchtown Rock (33/1), Eddierocket (50/1)

AH REMY MARTIN ran well and was arguably unlucky not to win having been badly hampered at the last when third at Down Royal 4 weeks ago. Lining up here easily one of the least exposed, he looks to hold sound claims of playing a lead role once more. Baltinglass Hill and the returning Poets Cottage head up the dangers along with Say It So. Market support behind both Isitwasme and Ganderstown would also look significant.