13:47 Lingfield

Tuesday 7 November 2023

All11:3712:0712:3713:1213:4714:2214:5715:3216:10

BetMGM River Eden EBF Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed)

Off time: 13:49 | Winning time: 2m 40.53s

(14)

Aiming High^h³¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Callum Shepherd| T: D M Simcock| OR: 74

100/1

Fairly useful filly. Ninth of 10 in handicap (12/1) at Newmarket (10f, good to firm) 31 days ago, unsuited by way race developed. Up in trip and, moreover, up in class here. Mountain to climb on these terms.

Form: 328649

(7)

Divine Jewel⁵⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: David Egan| T: R Varian| OR: 100| C

10/3

Useful filly. Course winner. 14/1, tailed-off ninth of 10 to Sumo Sam in Park Hill Stakes at Doncaster (14.5f, good to soft) 54 days ago. Big player judged on Chester second on penultimate start, and her near miss in a Leopardstown Group 3 during the summer.

Form: 7-32929

(6)

Evania⁴⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: K P De Foy| OR: 82| C

20/1

Fairly useful mare. Course winner. Last of 5 in handicap at Newmarket (10f, good to firm, 8/1) 40 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Up in trip and she is likely to come up short in this company.

Form: 166965

(4)

Lady Percival²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Charles Bishop| T: H Morrison| OR: 81

66/1

Fairly useful mare. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Latest win at Salisbury in September. 50/1, tailed-off fifth of 8 to One Evening in listed race at Bath (14f, heavy) 20 days ago. Looks set for another struggle.

Form: 113-315

(10)

Wynter Wildes^p²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: R Kingscote| T: C Fellowes| OR: 86

14/1

Fairly useful filly. 3 wins from 10 runs this year. Latest win at Yarmouth in September. Good second of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (12.4f, 28/1) 21 days ago. No more than an each-way squeak up in class here.

Form: 715912

(2)

Andraste³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: James Doyle| T: G Boughey

28/1

Fairly useful filly. Won 10-runner maiden at Haras du Pin (10.9f, good) 30 days ago, which was her final start for Francis-Henri Graffard. Likely to win races for her new yard, but this is a tough starting point.

Form: 32421

(8)

Ayyab³⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Billy Loughnane| T: S Woods| OR: 82

11/2

Fairly useful filly. Career best when winning 10-runner maiden (11/8) at Kempton (11f) 34 days ago, easily. This represents a significant step up in class, but she at least appears to be going the right way.

Form: 743231

(5)

Empress Wu⁵²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Jim Crowley| T: D M Simcock| OR: 97| C

9/1

Useful filly. Course winner. 33/1, 25 lengths sixth of 7 to Al Qareem in listed race at Chester (12.3f, soft) 52 days ago. Bit to prove on the back of that lacklustre display, not least stamina for this trip, but she is entitled to respect based on her placed efforts in listed/Group 3 races.

Form: 1-7236

(12)

Flash Bardot¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: George Bass| T: J Channon| OR: 85| C

33/1

Useful filly. Course winner. 4 wins from 14 runs this year. Career best when winning 7-runner handicap (5/2) at Catterick (12.1f, heavy) 17 days ago, pushed out. Much more on her plate now upped in class, but she's clearly progressive and is not completely ruled out.

Form: 233811

(9)

Ghara^h⁶¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: K Shoemark| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 94

13/2

Useful filly. Winner at Yarmouth in June. 3¼ lengths sixth of 8 to Shembala in listed race at Longchamp (13.9f, good, 14/1) 61 days ago. Each-way chance judged on peak form.

Form: 041986

(11)

Greysful Storm⁴¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Marco Ghiani| T: Darryll Holland| OR: 97

18/1

Useful filly. 9/1, good second of 8 in handicap at Goodwood (14f, soft) 41 days ago. Likely to make her presence felt if reproducing that level of form back on the AW.

Form: 029422

(1)

Luckin Brew⁴⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: H Crouch| T: R M Beckett| OR: 94

20/1

Lightly-raced winner. 15 lengths last of 7 to Royal Rhyme in listed race at Ayr (10f, good, 10/1) 45 days ago. That was her first appearance for almost a year, so she's entitled to come on for it and could have a part to play if this trip proves to be within her range.

Form: 2512-7

(3)

Malka⁵⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: K Stott| T: K P De Foy| OR: 83

6/1

Lightly-raced winner. Career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Kempton (12f, 9/2) 55 days ago, keeping on well. Remains relatively unexposed, but this assignment demands a major step forward.

Form: 32741

(13)

Safety Catch²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Cieren Fallon| T: W J Haggas| OR: 83

6/1

Thrice-raced winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. 7/4, won 4-runner maiden at Pontefract (12f, good to soft) 29 days ago, well on top finish. This is a sizeable step up in class, but she's well-bred and remains open to improvement.

Form: 0-21

Forecasts

Divine Jewel (10/3), Ayyab (11/2), Safety Catch (6/1), Malka (6/1), Ghara (13/2), Empress Wu (9/1), Wynter Wildes (14/1), Greysful Storm (18/1), Evania (20/1), Luckin Brew (20/1), Andraste (28/1), Flash Bardot (33/1), Lady Percival (66/1), Aiming High (100/1)

There was no obvious reason for DIVINE JEWEL's tame display at Doncaster and, given that her profile is otherwise pretty solid, it's probably best not to assume that it was simply a 'bad day at the office'. She was a good second in a listed contest at Chester prior to that (Greysful Storm 3¼ lengths adrift in fourth and 4 lb worse off here) and a reproduction of that would give her every chance. Greysful Storm is taken to follow her home, with Empress Wu and Luckin Brew best of the rest.