18:00 Chelmsford City

Saturday 5 November 2022

All15:3016:0016:3017:0017:3018:0018:30

Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap

Off time: 18:02 | Winning time: 1m 11.35s

(1)

Mount Mogan¹²⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-11| J: L Morris| T: Mrs L J Mongan| OR: 77| D

11/1

Seventh of 9 in handicap at Epsom (7f, good, 66/1). Off 128 days. Others make more appeal.

Form: 072887

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(2)

Inevitable Outcome²²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: Stefano Cherchi| T: D Loughnane| OR: 76| D

14/1

11/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f). Off 7 months. Likely to need the run.

Form: 58-1768

(7)

Muscika^v¹⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 9-9| J: A Kirby| T: D O'Meara| OR: 75| CD

7/2

C&D winner. Latest win at Haydock in July. 12/1, creditable fifth of 12 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f) 16 days ago. Visor back on. Enters calculations.

Form: 010875

(8)

Harb³⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: S W Kelly| T: P Crate| OR: 75| CD

7/4

4/1, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at this C&D 37 days ago, keeping on well. Boasts an excellent course record and seems likely to go in again.

Form: 498431

(4)

La Roca Del Fuego⁵⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: George Bass⁽³⁾| T: G Deacon| OR: 74| CD

9/1

3-time C&D winner. Latest win at Windsor in April. Twelfth of 13 in handicap at Doncaster (5.6f, good, 25/1) 58 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 143570

(5)

Lilkian¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Liam Wright⁽⁷⁾| T: Darryll Holland| OR: 73| CD

5/1

C&D winner. Latest win at Lingfield in May. Tenth of 11 in handicap (16/1) at Southwell (6.1f) 16 days ago. Needs to bounce back.

Form: 130580

(3)

Reversion⁷⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: K Stott| T: C Wallis| OR: 68

28/1

7/2, fifth of 6 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to soft) 75 days ago, slowly away. First run for yard after leaving Alan King. Not ruled out.

Form: 8-95205

(6)

Pandemic Princess¹⁶²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: K T O'Neill| T: Alice Haynes| OR: 64| D

15/2

Ninth of 12 in handicap at Fairyhouse (6f, good, 4/1). Off 162 days. First run for yard after leaving Richard John O'Brien. Worth monitoring in the betting.

Form: 162729

Forecasts

Harb (7/4), Muscika (7/2), Lilkian (5/1), Pandemic Princess (15/2), La Roca Del Fuego (9/1), Mount Mogan (11/1), Inevitable Outcome (14/1), Reversion (28/1)

HARB seemed to benefit from a return to this track when scoring cosily over C&D in late September and there's every reason to think he can defy a rise for that. Muscika ran with credit last time, so he looks a danger, while Reversion makes some appeal on debut for a new stable.