16:25 Nottingham

Wednesday 27 October 2021

All13:0513:4014:1514:5015:2315:5516:2516:55

Racing TV Club Novice Stakes

Off time: 16:27 | Winning time: 3m 5.64s

(10)

Presuming Ed¹⁶³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: A West

150/1

Modest hurdler for Philip Hobbs who would be a shock winner on this belated Flat debut for a new stable.

Form:

Image of Stars that are filled with the colour gold

(6)

The Swagman²⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: M Harley| T: S Durack

12/1

Fair bumper winner who showed a similar level of form over hurdles in 2019. Off 22 months before finishing sixth of 7 on his Ascot Flat debut 26 days ago. May come on for the run.

Form: 6

(2)

Zyon¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: Elisha Whittington⁽⁵⁾| T: A West

50/1

Novice hurdle winner during time with Paul Nicholls. Could only manage fifth of 7 in Huntingdon novice handicap chase on recent yard debut after 7 months off. Likely outsider now switching to Flat.

Form:

(8)

Coquelicot^t²³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: J F Egan| T: A J HoneyballWS

13/8

Good bumper performer in 2019/20, including a Kempton listed win. Bit disappointing over hurdles last season but no surprise were she up to making an impact in a race like this. Has had wind op.

Form:

(1)

Mount Olympus^p⁶⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Tom Marquand| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 57

33/1

Fair form at best and suspicion he'll be vulnerable here unless improving for the longer trip.

Form: 560045

(3)

Robert Hooke

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: David Egan| T: D Menuisier

20/1

French Fifteen gelding. Dam maiden (stayed 17f). Newcomer from a decent yard so worth a betting check.

Form:

(5)

Cuban Sands¹¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Ray Dawson| T: R M Beckett

20/1

Modest form in a couple of starts in the summer but clearly early days for this well-bred filly in good yards and she could improve back from a break.

Form: 60

(4)

Mellow Magic²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding| OR: 77

1/1

Fairly useful and consistent maiden who performed with credit in a useful Newmarket handicap last month. This trip should be within range and perhaps this can finally be her day.

Form: 322334

(7)

Nell The Thief²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: E Walker

66/1

Ran to a fair level when fifth on her Kempton debut in August but went backwards from that when last of 7 (Swagman sixth) at Ascot 2 months later. Clearly early days, though.

Form: 57

(9)

Swiss Mistress²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: P J McDonald| T: P W Chapple-Hyam

14/1

Promising sort who showed plenty to work on when fourth in a decent Yarmouth maiden on debut in May but she does need to shrug off a poor comeback run at Kempton this month.

Form: 47

Forecasts

Mellow Magic (1/1), Coquelicot (13/8), The Swagman (12/1), Swiss Mistress (14/1), Robert Hooke (20/1), Cuban Sands (20/1), Mount Olympus (33/1), Zyon (50/1), Nell The Thief (66/1), Presuming Ed (150/1)

MELLOW MAGIC has had a few chances now but her consistency can't be knocked and she's certainly the one to beat here. Swiss Mistress performed disappointingly back from a break on AW earlier in the month so it could be that the chief threat comes from Coquelicot, who was a very useful 3-time bumper winner in early-2020.