17:00 Carlisle

Monday 17 May 2021

All13:0013:3514:1014:4515:2015:5516:3017:00

Brisco Handicap

Off time: 17:01 | Winning time: 2m 34.92s

(4)

Zihaam^p⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-11| J: Ben Sanderson⁽³⁾| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 77| CD

11/1

C&D winner. Latest win at Beverley in May. 11/2, confirmed his return to form second of 7 in handicap at Beverley (8.4f, soft) 6 days ago, never nearer. Significantly back up in trip.

Form: 16-0712

(12)

Breguet Boy^p1⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Billy Garritty⁽³⁾| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 76

11/2

Respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (12f, soft, 9/2) 9 days ago, no extra late on. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Others more persuasive.

Form: 414-244

(1)

Francisco Bay³²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Louis Steward| T: E De Giles| OR: 73| D

9/2

1 win from 2 runs this year. Latest win at Doncaster in March. Not in the same form when sixth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (10.2f, 6/1) 32 days ago. Can bounce back.

Form: 2244-16

(14)

Union Spirit^p¹⁰¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Cameron Noble⁽³⁾| T: P W Chapple-Hyam| OR: 73

14/1

Eighth of 11 in handicap (11/2) at Newcastle (10.2f), weakening when headed over 1f out. Off 101 days. Others preferred.

Form: 8529-48

(11)

Strawman²²²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: J Fanning| T: Adrian Nicholls| OR: 73| CWS

25/1

Course winner. 28/1, ran poorly after 4 months off when last of 9 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, heavy). Off 7 months/had wind op. Not easy to make a case for.

Form: 4213/59-

(10)

Mutamaded¹⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-3| J: P Mulrennan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 69| BF

16/1

Fourteen runs since last win in 2019. Presumably had some sort of problem when tailed-off last of 7 in handicap at Musselburgh (12.5f, good, 5/4) 18 days ago. Must bounce back.

Form: 80-0327

(13)

Flood Defence¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: Jamie Gormley| T: I Jardine| OR: 68| CD

16/1

C&D winner. Run best excused when last of 5 in handicap (14/1) at Hamilton (11.1f, good) 15 days ago, left poorly placed. Can give a good account but others preferred for win purposes.

Form: 1562-65

(3)

Tippler^t⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: Megan Nicholls| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR: 62

33/1

Tongue strap on for 1st time, first run since leaving Sir Mark Todd when respectable 9¾ lengths third of 10 to Seventeen O Four in handicap at Catterick (12.1f, soft, 80/1) 7 days ago, running on.

Form: 26788-3

(7)

Betty Grable⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 8-9| J: Rhona Pindar⁽⁷⁾| T: W Storey| OR: 61| C

9/1

Course winner. Run best excused when eighth of 10 in handicap at Catterick (12.1f, soft, 6/1) 7 days ago, badly hampered 3f out. Must improve.

Form: 580-028

(9)

Robeam^v¹³

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: G Lee| T: B Ellison| OR: 61

14/1

15/2, shaped as if retaining ability after 8 months off when fourth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (14f) 13 days ago, needing stiffer test. Down in trip. Visor back on.

Form: 45213-4

(8)

Seventeen O Four^v⁷^{(ex 5)}

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: S H James| T: Grant Tuer| OR: 55

15/8

6/1, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Catterick (12.1f, soft) 7 days ago, leading around 4f out and forging clear. Carries penalty. Shortlist material.

Form: 303-931

Non-Runners

(6)

Bollin Margaret²⁶

Weight: 9-4| Age: 4

T: T D Easterby J: D Allan

(5)

Four Kingdoms²¹

Weight: 8-10| Age: 7

T: R M Smith J: P Mathers

(2)

Idilico²

Weight: 8-9| Age: 6

T: Ian Williams J: P Hanagan

Forecasts

Seventeen O Four (15/8), Francisco Bay (9/2), Breguet Boy (11/2), Idilico (7/1), Betty Grable (9/1), Zihaam (11/1), Robeam (14/1), Union Spirit (14/1), Mutamaded (16/1), Flood Defence (16/1), Strawman (25/1), Bollin Margaret (25/1), Tippler (33/1), Four Kingdoms (33/1)

This represents a good opportunity for SEVENTEEN O FOUR to follow up his victory at Catterick last week. He forged clear in the style of one well ahead of his mark and he's a confident selection to go in again under a penalty for the in-form Grant Tuer yard. Top-weight Zihaam is in fine heart at present so gets the vote for second, ahead of Francisco Bay and Robeam.