11:50 Southwell

Thursday 26 November 2020

All11:5012:2012:5013:2013:5014:2014:5015:20

Betway Casino Handicap

Off time: 11:52 | Winning time: 2m 24.79s

(6)

Elegant Love⁴⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Elisha Whittington⁽⁵⁾| T: A W Carroll| OR: 65

16/1

Latest win at Haydock in August. 3/1, fourth of 5 in handicap at Windsor (8.1f, soft) 45 days ago, met some trouble. Significantly back up in trip. Ran poorly on previous outing on fibresand.

Form: 331284

(5)

Esspeegee²²

Age: 7| Weight: 9-11| J: Jane Elliott| T: J Parr| OR: 64

33/1

Latest win at Thirsk in June. 22/1, below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Nottingham (10.2f, soft) 22 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 157267

(2)

Going Native^b³⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: George Rooke⁽⁵⁾| T: Olly Williams| OR: 63| CD

100/1

Course winner. Last of 7 in handicap at this course (12.1f, 25/1) 30 days ago. Hard to make any sort of case for.

Form: 110787

(10)

Lady Isabel^v1¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: B A Curtis| T: J Parr| OR: 66| D

5/2

Winner at Windsor in October. 11/2, creditable third of 9 in handicap at this course (14.1f) 17 days ago. Back down in trip. Visor on 1st time. Shortlist material.

Form: 065143

(7)

Sea Of Marmoon¹¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: R Havlin| T: A West| OR: 66

22/1

5/2, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW), having run of race. Off 113 days. First run for yard after leaving Mark Johnston. Hard to know if she'll return in the same form.

Form: 56-1722

(9)

Kingson¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 57

6/1

Improved on recent efforts to win 13-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f, 8/1) 12 days ago, digging deep. Makes fibresand debut. One to consider.

Form: 000551

(8)

Helix^b¹⁰^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Rossa Ryan| T: D Loughnane| OR: 55| D

7/2

Blinkered for 1st time, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Kempton (11f, 9/1) 10 days ago, well positioned. Solid claims if taking to the new surface.

Form: 874001

(12)

Grimsthorpe Castle^p⁹^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: A Mullen| T: M Appleby| OR: 52| CD

7/2

5/6, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at this C&D 9 days ago, battling well. Thriving on this surface and entitled to go well again under a penalty.

Form: 073121

(4)

False Id²⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 8-7| J: Phil Dennis| T: D C Griffiths| OR: 45

40/1

Twenty six runs since last win in 2019. 20/1, respectable sixth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 24 days ago, very slowly away. Makes fibresand debut. Not easy to make a case for.

Form: 728056

(1)

Sharp Operator^h¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 8-7| J: Ellie Mackenzie⁽⁵⁾| T: H J Evans| OR: 45

50/1

First run since leaving Anthony Carson when below form 16 lengths fourth of 13 to Grimsthorpe Castle in handicap (40/1) at this course (12.1f) 17 days ago, needing lesser test. Firmly up against it.

Form: 465694

(3)

Ocean Reach¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: Hollie Doyle| T: R J Price| OR: 45

40/1

Remains a maiden after 22 Flat runs. 33/1, below form 16¼ lengths fifth of 13 to Grimsthorpe Castle in handicap at this course (12.1f) 17 days ago. Something to find.

Form: 685405

(13)

Just Jean³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-3| J: L Morris| T: Micky Hammond| OR: 45

50/1

Good sixth of 14 in handicap (40/1) at Newcastle (10.2f) 31 days ago. Makes fibresand debut. Others have achieved more.

Form: 97-5056

(11)

Drew Breeze^p1³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-3| J: Joey Haynes| T: I Furtado| OR: 45

11/1

Fifth of 8 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f, 11/2) 35 days ago. Significantly up in trip. First run for yard after leaving Rod Millman. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Not totally discounted.

Form: 073535

Forecasts

Lady Isabel (5/2), Grimsthorpe Castle (7/2), Helix (7/2), Kingson (6/1), Drew Breeze (11/1), Elegant Love (16/1), Sea Of Marmoon (22/1), Esspeegee (33/1), False Id (40/1), Ocean Reach (40/1), Sharp Operator (50/1), Just Jean (50/1), Going Native (100/1)

GRIMSTHORPE CASTLE is developing a progressive profile on this surface and, while he's 9 lb higher than when scoring over C&D 9 days ago, he could pull out the extra required to gain his third win from four starts. Helix is also going the right way and should lay down a threat if taking to fibresand, while the in-form Lady Isabel warrants consideration.