17:45 Newcastle

Tuesday 17 November 2020

All15:4016:1516:4517:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:45

Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 17:54 | Winning time: 1m 40.81s

(11)

Ideal Candy³²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Gemma Tutty⁽³⁾| T: K Tutty| OR: 60| D

50/1

Twenty one runs since last win in 2018. 20/1, last of 8 in handicap at this C&D 32 days ago. Limited appeal.

Form: 236068

(5)

Calonne^p⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: D Nolan| T: G A Harker| OR: 60

4/1

10/1 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, creditable third of 12 in handicap at this C&D 7 days ago.

Form: 090543

(13)

Strong Steps^p¹¹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-6| J: Phil Dennis| T: J S Goldie| OR: 59| D

18/1

Fourteen runs since last win in 2019. Below form sixth of 14 in handicap at this course (7.1f, 8/1) 11 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals.

Form: 535926

(4)

Desert Dream^h1,t⁵⁰⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-6| J: K Stott| T: S Spencer| OR: 59| D

66/1

Eleven runs since last win in 2018. Last of 12 in handicap at Doncaster (8f, good to firm, 16/1), slowly away. Off 16 months. First run for yard after leaving Michael Easterby. Hood on 1st time.

Form: 00/0990-

(8)

Absolute Dream^v¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 57

7/1

One win from 23 Flat runs. Fifteen runs since last win in 2018. Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (6/1) 18 days ago.

Form: 524745

(12)

Budanova²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Pierre-Louis Jamin⁽⁵⁾| T: A Watson| OR: 56

33/1

Thrice-raced maiden. 125/1, eighth of 10 in minor event at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 29 days ago, slowly away. Makes handicap debut.

Form: 988

(7)

Straight Ash^p¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: G Lee| T: R Menzies| OR: 55| D

14/1

Twenty one runs since last win in 2018. Good second of 6 in seller (9/2) at Redcar (8f, heavy) 14 days ago. Enters calculations.

Form: 277022

(6)

Captainofthebounty¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Jason Hart| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 55

80/1

Tenth of 13 in handicap (18/1) at Southwell (8.1f) 19 days ago. Makes tapeta debut.

Form: 485780

(2)

Broctune Red¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: P Mulrennan| T: G Boanas| OR: 54| CD

2/1

Career best when winning 12-runner handicap (10/3) at this C&D 11 days ago, keeping on well. Merits consideration.

Form: 232541

(3)

Zeshov^p¹⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 9-0| J: S H James| T: Rebecca Bastiman| OR: 53| CD

33/1

C&D winner. Last of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 17 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 054930

(9)

Stealing Silk¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Rowan Scott| T: N Tinkler| OR: 52| C

3/1

3/1, career best when winning 13-runner handicap at this course (7.1f) 14 days ago, keeping on well. Has good chance on form.

Form: 670331

(10)

Tarnhelm^p1²²

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: Paula Muir⁽³⁾| T: W Storey| OR: 48| D

33/1

Untrustworthy individual. 28/1, respectable eighth of 14 in handicap at this course (10.2f) 22 days ago, very slowly away. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Form: 605568

(14)

New Look^b¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 8-7| J: T Eaves| T: L Williamson| OR: 46| D

25/1

Remains a maiden after 21 Flat runs. 5/1, good fourth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 17 days ago.

Form: 087734

(1)

Elspeth Rose¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: S A Gray| T: Mrs Stella Barclay| OR: 47

40/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 50/1, creditable 6¼ lengths sixth of 13 to Stealing Silk in handicap at this course (7.1f) 14 days ago.

Form: 0046

Forecasts

Broctune Red (2/1), Stealing Silk (3/1), Calonne (4/1), Absolute Dream (7/1), Straight Ash (14/1), Strong Steps (18/1), New Look (25/1), Budanova (33/1), Tarnhelm (33/1), Zeshov (33/1), Elspeth Rose (40/1), Ideal Candy (50/1), Desert Dream (66/1), Captainofthebounty (80/1)

STEALING SILK has been progressive since switched to tapeta and she remains of interest given how much she had in hand here 2 weeks ago. Broctune Red arrives on the back of a career-best win over C&D so rates the main threat ahead of Straight Ash.