15:23 Yarmouth

Monday 12 October 2020

All12:4513:1513:5014:2314:5315:2315:5316:25

Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap

Off time: 15:25 | Winning time: 1m 30.01s

(11)

Capla Berry^t1³⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: Rae Guest| OR: 72| BF| CD

6/1

C&D winner. Eighth of 11 in handicap (3/1) at Lingfield (7f, good to firm) 30 days ago. Booking of Atzeni a plus but needs to bounce back and unproven on ground this slow. Tongue strap on 1st time.

Form: 58-11U8

(1)

Redemptive¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: W Buick| T: G Boughey| OR: 72| CD

5/1

C&D winner. Latest win at Lingfield in September. 25/1, respectable fifth of 13 in handicap at Kempton (7f) 12 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form and big player with William Buick aboard.

Form: 411775

(10)

Defence Treaty^p¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Megan Nicholls⁽³⁾| T: R A Fahey| OR: 70| D

4/1

Unreliable individual. Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (5/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 10 days ago. Effective on an easy surface and capable of a bold show if on a going day.

Form: 586024

(7)

Praised²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: Tom Marquand| T: W J Haggas| OR: 70

4/1

11/10, won 10-runner minor event at Redcar (6f, good to firm) 27 days ago. Mark for this handicap debut looks fair and, as a daughter of Pivotal, she should be effective on this slower ground.

Form: 231

(9)

Stallone^b⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Oisin Murphy| T: H Spiller| OR: 67| CD

4/1

C&D winner. Creditable third of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Leicester (6f, heavy) 6 days ago. Merits respect off the same mark but will probably again find one or two too good.

Form: 484553

(3)

True Belief^h³⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: William Carson| T: B R Johnson| OR: 64

8/1

Respectable second of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (7.6f, good to firm, 22/1) 30 days ago. Successful on soft ground at Windsor last October and he's a must for the shortlist.

Form: 230852

(6)

Ten Chants^b1²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: George Wood| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 65

40/1

Winner at Leicester in June. 25/1, bit below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 24 days ago, doing too much too soon. Hopes pinned on first-time blinkers sparking improvement.

Form: 762198

(4)

Joanie Stubbs⁴⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: S W Kelly| T: R Spencer| OR: 64

22/1

Thrice-raced maiden. Seventh of 9 in minor event at this course (8f, good to soft, 50/1) 48 days ago. Good deal more needed now pitched into a handicap.

Form: 8-77

(8)

Spanish Mane²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Sophie Ralston⁽⁵⁾| T: Miss J Feilden| OR: 62| CD

20/1

C&D winner. 3 wins from 9 runs this year. 7/2, career best when winning 13-runner handicap at Leicester (7f, good to firm) 21 days ago, staying on well. Now 4 lb higher on different ground.

Form: 513511

(2)

Commander Han^t,v¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: P J McDonald| T: S C Williams| OR: 59| D

25/1

Untrustworthy individual. One win from 32 Flat runs. 12/1, tenth of 15 in handicap at Nottingham (5f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Others make more appeal.

Form: 688060

(5)

Bella Blur⁹²

Age: 8| Weight: 8-7| J: Molly Presland⁽⁷⁾| T: E Stanford| OR: 45

150/1

125/1, thirteenth of 14 in handicap at Lingfield (10f, AW). Off 92 days. Down in trip on this turf debut and she looks up against it from 6 lb out of the weights.

Form: 28900/0

Forecasts

Defence Treaty (4/1), Stallone (4/1), Praised (4/1), Redemptive (5/1), Capla Berry (6/1), True Belief (8/1), Spanish Mane (20/1), Joanie Stubbs (22/1), Commander Han (25/1), Ten Chants (40/1), Bella Blur (150/1)

Preference is for TRUE BELIEF, who opened his account under similar conditions in a Windsor maiden last October and signalled that his turn may again be near when chasing home an in-form rival at Lingfield last month. Praised is bound to be popular given her profile and connections but there isn't a great deal of substance to her form and Redemptive looks a bigger threat.