15:40 Curragh

Sunday 11 October 2020

All13:1013:4014:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:40

Paddy Power Irish Cesarewitch (Extended Handicap)

Off time: 15:41 | Winning time: 3m 52.6s

Sneaky Getaway¹⁰⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 10-0| J: Luke McAteer⁽⁵⁾| T: E Mullins| OR: 99| D

14/1

Lightly-raced winner on Flat. 5/4, won 13-runner novice hurdle at Roscommon (20.9f, good) on hurdles bow 109 days ago, impressively. Off 109 days. More to come and not ruled out.

Form: 12158-

Royal Illusion²⁹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-9| J: J M Sheridan⁽⁵⁾| T: W P Mullins| OR: 94| CD

3/1

C&D winner. 33/1, shaped well after 10 months off when sixth of 18 in handicap at Leopardstown (12.8f, good) 29 days ago, never nearer. Back up in trip.

Form: 37219-6

Shoshone Warrior²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: Colin Keane| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 102

11/1

33/1, excellent second of 18 in handicap at Leopardstown (12.8f, good) 29 days ago, conceding first run. Up in trip. Yard having good spell. Should continue to give a good account.

Form: 65-1572

King's Vow^b,t⁵³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Declan McDonogh| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 91| D

11/1

Not seen to best effect when fourth of 13 in handicap (14/1) at Killarney (14f, soft) 53 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Certainly not ruled out.

Form: 907064

Brazos^p⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: Robbie Colgan| T: J J Murphy| OR: 89| D

40/1

Failed to build on the promise of previous run when seventh of 14 in handicap at Killarney (14f, soft, 11/1) 7 days ago. Cheekpieces back on.

Form: 500-067

Grandmaster Flash²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: S M Crosse| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 87

14/1

17/2, respectable eleventh of 18 in handicap at Leopardstown (12.8f, good) 29 days ago. Back up in trip. Merits consideration.

Form: 22-7350

Never Do Nothing²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Chris Hayes| T: T Gibney| OR: 87| D

40/1

40/1, possibly needed outing on first run since leaving John McConnell when thirteenth of 18 in handicap at Leopardstown (12.8f, good) 29 days ago. Back up in trip. Not taken lightly.

Form: 1323-60

Questionare²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: W J Lee| T: L Comer| OR: 87

66/1

66/1, last of 18 in handicap at Leopardstown (12.8f, good) 29 days ago. Up in trip. Readily passed over.

Form: 0-80550

Tonkinese⁵⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: Dylan Browne McMonagle⁽⁷⁾| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 87| C

22/1

Course winner. Latest win at Leopardstown in August. 7/1, not in same form when fifth of 7 in handicap at Tramore (16f, good to soft) 57 days ago, weakening final 1f.

Form: V21015

Aircraft Carrier³⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: Gary Carroll| T: L Comer| OR: 85

100/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2019. Never dangerous when 24¼ lengths fifth of 8 to Master of Reality in listed race (100/1) at Down Royal (14f, soft) 37 days ago. Risky proposition at present.

Form: 680-075

Cape Gentleman¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Ronan Whelan| T: E Mullins| OR: 85

15/2

Shaped encouragingly on first run since leaving N. Clement when second of 12 in minor event at Listowel (14f, soft, 18/1) on IRE debut 16 days ago. Makes handicap debut.

Form: 421-2

Danger Money⁴³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: G M Ryan⁽³⁾| T: A Oliver| OR: 94

33/1

Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Tipperary in August. 10½ lengths fifth of 7 to Galileo Chrome in listed race at Navan (13f, heavy, 40/1) 43 days ago. Up in trip. Makes handicap debut.

Form: 44165

Centroid⁶⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: A J Farragher⁽⁷⁾| T: D K Weld| OR: 84

22/1

Latest win at Galway in July. 10/1, bit below form ninth of 15 in handicap at Gowran (12f, good) 60 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Yard in good form.

Form: 14/0419

Golden Spear^t¹⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 8-13| J: Nathan Crosse⁽⁵⁾| T: A J Martin| OR: 84| D

28/1

Eleventh of 14 in handicap hurdle (12/1) at Listowel (16f, soft) 16 days ago, not knocked about. This mark doesn't looks beyond him and he should give a good account.

Form: 0/30-032

Isotope²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: M P Sheehy⁽⁷⁾| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 84

40/1

Latest win at Roscommon in July. Below form ninth of 16 in handicap hurdle (8/1) at Listowel (16f, good) 20 days ago. Useful on the Flat, respectable on last outing.

Form: 0-77319

Kaatskill Nap⁵²

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: S Foley| T: W P Mullins| OR: 84

14/1

Last of 5 in novice hurdle (7/2) at Killarney (22.8f, soft) 52 days ago, making effort earlier than ideal. Fairly useful on the Flat, respectable on last outing here in June.

Form: 23109/8

Run For Mary⁷⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: Sam Ewing⁽⁷⁾| T: C Byrnes| OR: 84| D

3/1

1 win from 3 runs this year. Latest win at Bellewstown in July. 11/1, good second of 20 in handicap at Galway (16.8f, soft) 76 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Looks competitive on form.

Form: 841-012

De Name Escapes Me^t³⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 8-12| J: O J Orr| T: N Meade| OR: 83| D

18/1

Third of 5 in minor event hurdle (11/1) at Galway (21.4f, soft) 34 days ago. Fairly useful on the Flat, poor on last outing. Enters calculations if getting back to somewhere near his Galway form.

Form: 123-260

Great Bear¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: D E Sheehy⁽⁵⁾| T: T Gibney| OR: 79

28/1

12/1, below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Listowel (12f, soft) 17 days ago, headed over 1f out. Significantly back up in trip.

Form: 270-836

Father Ailbe⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 8-7| J: A J Slattery⁽³⁾| T: G P Cromwell| OR: 78| D

33/1

1 win from 2 runs this year. Latest win at Killarney in August. 22/1, respectable sixth of 14 in handicap there (14f, soft) 7 days ago. Others have achieved more.

Form: 0/230-16

Grand D'espagne³⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: F F Da Silva| T: L Comer| OR: 78

125/1

Thrice-raced maiden. Had no chance at the weights when tailed-off last of 8 to Master of Reality in listed race (250/1) at Down Royal (14f, soft) 37 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Must improve.

Form: 3-948

Result Amended

Sneaky Getaway - Original Position 12th. Amended Position 11th.

Royal Illusion - Original Position 6th. Amended Position 21st.

Shoshone Warrior - Original Position 19th. Amended Position 18th.

Grandmaster Flash - Original Position 11th. Amended Position 10th.

Never Do Nothing - Original Position 14th. Amended Position 13th.

Questionare - Original Position 10th. Amended Position 9th.

Tonkinese - Original Position 13th. Amended Position 12th.

Danger Money - Original Position 16th. Amended Position 15th.

Centroid - Original Position 18th. Amended Position 17th.

Golden Spear - Original Position 9th. Amended Position 8th.

Isotope - Original Position 7th. Amended Position 6th.

Kaatskill Nap - Original Position 21st. Amended Position 20th.

Run For Mary - Original Position 15th. Amended Position 14th.

Great Bear - Original Position 20th. Amended Position 19th.

Father Ailbe - Original Position 17th. Amended Position 16th.

Grand D'espagne - Original Position 8th. Amended Position 7th.

Non-Runners

Tudor City¹⁶

Weight: 8-8| Age: 8

T: A J Martin J: N G McCullagh

Walking On Glass³⁷

Weight: 8-7| Age: 5

T: P Roche J: Reserve 1

Red Gerry²⁰

Weight: 8-7| Age: 4

T: N Meade J: Reserve 2

Takarengo¹

Weight: 8-7| Age: 4

T: T Mullins J: Reserve 3

Forecasts

Run For Mary (3/1), Royal Illusion (3/1), Cape Gentleman (15/2), King's Vow (11/1), Shoshone Warrior (11/1), Tudor City (12/1), Grandmaster Flash (14/1), Sneaky Getaway (14/1), Kaatskill Nap (14/1), Walking On Glass (16/1), De Name Escapes Me (18/1), Tonkinese (22/1), Centroid (22/1), Golden Spear (28/1), Great Bear (28/1), Danger Money (33/1), Father Ailbe (33/1), Red Gerry (33/1), Brazos (40/1), Isotope (40/1), Never Do Nothing (40/1), Takarengo (50/1), Questionare (66/1), Aircraft Carrier (100/1), Grand D'espagne (125/1)

An unsurprisingly ultra-competitive Cesarewitch with plenty in with chances. However, RUN FOR MARY seems a solid option following her runner-up effort at Galway in August and she's sure to get the strong gallop her racing style requires. Willie Mullins has a fantastic record in this contest and his Kaatskill Nap heads up the dangers, along with Golden Spear and Shoshone Warrior.