19:25 Kilbeggan

Friday 10 July 2020

All16:2516:5517:2517:5518:2518:5519:2519:55

AXA Farm Insurance Midlands National Handicap Chase

Off time: 19:25 | Winning time: 6m 14.20s

Cap York^b¹²⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 11-10| J: E Walsh⁽⁷⁾| T: N Meade| OR: 140

10/1

Took advantage of a lower weight and a good ride from a claimer to score well at Naas in March; much more on his plate here but stays well and lightly-raced enough to still be progressive over fences; respected.

Form: F29891-

Judgement Day^p³⁶⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 11-8| J: H Morgan⁽⁷⁾| T: H De Bromhead| OR: 138| BF| C| D

12/1

Was a smart and progressive novice chaser in 2018; only raced twice in 2019 (over hurdles) injuring himself on his final start last June; hard to assess after long break on handicap debut.

Form: 1115/1P-

Yanworth¹⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 11-7| J: Mark Walsh| T: E Bolger| OR: 137| D

10/3

Grade 1 winner over hurdles and was a winner of a 3m banks race at Punchestown (soft) last November; will have had confidence boosted by recent spin over hurdles at Tipperary; fair chance on best of his form.

Form: P1F3U-5

Moonshine Bay^p¹¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 11-6| J: R M Power| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 136| D

14/1

Has just one win in a beginners chase to his name from nine starts; three runs since the start of the year offer little encouragement about his chances; on the plus side he is drifting down the handicap.

Form: P44/064-

Freewheelin Dylan^t¹⁹⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 11-5| J: Ricky Doyle⁽³⁾| T: D A McLoughlin| OR: 135| CD

11/1

Won twice over fences last season, the latest off a 5lb lower at Punchestown; still improving on evidence of that run, but facing stiffer opposition now, and this course and distance winner needs to find another career best.

Form: F12310-

Three Musketeers^p⁴³⁵

Age: 10| Weight: 11-5| J: D N Russell| T: G Elliott| OR: 135

5/1

Has been off the track since May 2019; arguably a better hurdler but has some useful form over fences back in 2018; long absence is slight worry and yet to win over a trip as long as this.

Form: 07381/0-

The Big Lense^p,t²²⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-4| J: L P Dempsey| T: G Elliott| OR: 134

33/1

Had done little wrong since making his handicap chase debut at Listowel, winning that before following up at Navan in September however, he has unseated his rider on his latest two starts; fair chance if jumping holds up.

Form: 4411UU-

The Red Menace^b¹¹⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 11-4| J: Sean Flanagan| T: N Meade| OR: 134

9/1

Winner of two of his five starts over fences; struggled on his latest two outing over extreme distances; drop back here will suit and handicap mark slowly falling; chances.

Form: 13418P-

Woods Well^p¹⁹⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 11-1| J: Gavin Brouder⁽⁷⁾| T: G Elliott| OR: 131

16/1

Hasn't happened for him in four strong handicaps last winter but as a result he's rated 5lb lower than when winning at Leopardstown in March 2019; not one to back with confidence but no forlorn hope.

Form: 57/P97P-

Creadan Grae^p³⁰⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 11-0| J: D F O'Regan| T: G Elliott| OR: 130| BF

33/1

Was very progressive this time last season winning twice over fences at Perth; has been off the track since struggling at same course in September; difficult to assess but nicely weighted to run well.

Form: 5/4U11P-

Megalomaniac²⁸⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 11-0| J: Rachael Blackmore| T: H De Bromhead| OR: 130| BF

9/1

Progression arguably stymied by 11lb rise in the weights following useful success at Tramore in August; possibly worth another chance off this mark but others preferred.

Form: 3/11817-

Full Cry^p,t²¹⁶

Age: 10| Weight: 10-13| J: D Robinson⁽³⁾| T: H De Bromhead| OR: 129| CD

16/1

In decent form last summer but lost his way over the winter; has drifted to a mark just 1lb higher than when scoring over course and distance in 2018; reasonable chance if back to form.

Form: 263859-

Swingbridge^b,t³⁰³

Age: 12| Weight: 10-12| J: Kevin Sexton| T: G Elliott| OR: 128| CD

50/1

Winner of five of his 23 starts over fences with his most recent success coming in May 2019 at this track over 3m2f; only 4lb higher now and has a reasonable chance on the best of his form.

Form: 199F70-

Plinth¹⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 10-11| J: Darragh O'Keeffe| T: E Bolger| OR: 127| C

9/1

Reserve 1 Has good record at this track and will be fit after recent run at Tipperary; slight stamina doubts if getting a run.

Form: 5P822-6

Non-Runners

Tesseract³⁴³

Weight: 10-13| Age: 9

T: A A Howard J: Simon Torrens

From Eden²

Weight: 10-9| Age: 7

T: G Elliott J: Reserve 2

Get Out The Gate¹⁶

Weight: 10-7| Age: 7

T: G Elliott J: Reserve 3

Forecasts

Yanworth (10/3), Three Musketeers (5/1), Plinth (9/1), Megalomaniac (9/1), The Red Menace (9/1), Cap York (10/1), Freewheelin Dylan (11/1), Judgement Day (12/1), Tesseract (12/1), Moonshine Bay (14/1), Woods Well (16/1), Full Cry (16/1), Get Out The Gate (16/1), From Eden (20/1), The Big Lense (33/1), Creadan Grae (33/1), Swingbridge (50/1)

FULL CRY enjoys it round this course and put up some of his best performances last spring and summer at this track. He lost his way a bit in the winter but has dropped down the weights as a consequence and should go well. If Tesseract had had a race prior to this contest he would likely be a much shorter price. Nevertheless, if he can run a similar race to his performance last year when finishing second then he will go close. Swingbridge may prove the best of the Gordon Elliott contingent. The veteran is no stranger to winning races and goes well on this track.