20:10 Wolverhampton

Monday 9 March 2020

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:10

Betway Novice Median Auction Stakes

Off time: 20:12 | Winning time: 1m 15.44s

(2)

Effronte

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Darragh Keenan⁽³⁾| T: J Butler

9/2

Brazen Beau colt who made 45,000gns as a yearling. Very interesting on paper, given he is a half-brother to the Super Sprint winner Lathom. Monitor betting closely with this one.

Form:

(8)

Merry Miller

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: S A Gray| T: D O'Meara

18/1

Would come as no surprise to see this one go close on debut. By Camacho, this £22,000 yearling is a half-brother to the improving AW winner Rangali Island. Firmly in the mix, and market confidence would be significant.

Form:

(1)

Mister Snowdon

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: S W Kelly| T: R Hughes

6/5

Lethal Force gelding who represents in-form stable (5-12; 42% strike-rate in last 14 days). Half-brother to four winners including AW winner Chica De La Noche. Should be monitored closely in the betting.

Form:

(6)

Sea Trout

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Hollie Doyle| T: W Stone

20/1

Difficult to know what to expect from this newcomer. Already had a gelding operation which doesn't seem too promising. Stable without a winner for 47 days (eight runners in that time). Opposed unless market speaks in his favour.

Form:

(4)

Clog Na Fola¹⁴¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: L Morris| T: J G M O'Shea

66/1

Never made any impression for former yard when trained in Ireland, suffering heavy defeats on each occasion. Now makes debut for new yard, and a watching brief is advised until she shows more encouragement.

Form: 00-

(3)

Fuchsia^h1³³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: J R Fanshawe

3/1

Probably achieved slightly stronger form than she did on debut when fourth over C&D at the start of last month. This looks an easier assignment on paper, so she has to go close if taking another step forward.

Form: 5-4

(5)

Mrs Tiffen^h1²⁰⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Cam Hardie| T: L Williamson

125/1

Failed to beat a single rival on either of her two career starts, and she was tailed-off on the most recent of those. Now makes AW/seasonal debut and cannot be taken seriously. Drops in trip to 6f for the first time also.

Form: 67-

(10)

New Arrival³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: P J McDonald| T: J Tate| OR: 72| BF

13/2

Took a backwards step when only sixth of seven at Lingfield (6f; standard) last time out. Gradually looked to be getting the hang of things prior to that, so may be worth chancing again if able to bounce back in this weak event.

Form: 43-26

(9)

Smokey

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: William Carson| T: C Wallis

50/1

Debutante who can be ruled out with confidence. Half-sister to a couple of winners but the yard are not readily associated with winning newcomers. Look elsewhere for more realistic alternatives.

Form:

Non-Runners

(7)

Salsa Dip

Weight: 9-5| Age: 3

T: D & C Kubler J: Adam J McNamara

Forecasts

Mister Snowdon (6/5), Fuchsia (3/1), Effronte (9/2), New Arrival (13/2), Merry Miller (18/1), Sea Trout (20/1), Salsa Dip (25/1), Smokey (50/1), Clog Na Fola (66/1), Mrs Tiffen (125/1)

There a few interesting newcomers in this field such as Effronte, who normally one would have reservations with coming from this yard, but he is a half-brother to the formerly smart Lathom. Mister Snowdon is also one to watch for the in-form Richard Hughes team. However, Merry Miller looks the most likely to fare best of the debutantes given he is a full-brother to an improving AW winner. Despite producing a below-par effort last time, New Arrival shouldn't be dismissed. He looked to be going the right way before that. In an open race though, FUCHSIA is the selection given the level she ran to when just failing to make the frame over C&D last time out.