16:10 Doncaster

Friday 28 February 2020

All14:0014:3515:0515:4016:1016:4517:15

888Sport Take 'Em On British EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 4  |   2m 3f 88y  |   Heavy  |   9 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 16:10  |   Winning time: 5m 17.4s
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The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
Horse silk
Molly Ollys Wishest37
Age: 6|  Weight: 11-5| J: Harry Skelton| T: D Skelton| OR:  124
13/8
Sound and fairly useful form over hurdles and had been threatening to win a race before doing so last time at Warwick in similar company to today. Put it all together for the first-time (wore first-time tongue-tie, retained); respected under penalty.
Hard to see much ability or scope for improvement in a bumper and two hurdles races so far. Started big prices on both hurdles starts and likely to do so gain here, not one to include in calculations.
3
Horse silk
A New Sieget22
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: David Noonan| T: N J Hawke
33/1
Sent off at long odds on all her three starts but she's shown more than a modicum of ability on her last two starts over hurdles and looks to be progressing. Steps up in trip here (may well suit); needs this run for a mark and handicaps to show her w
Showed some ability in her only bumper prior to needing the experience on her hurdling debut. Vey much caught the eye last time over 2m here against males in a race where everything didn't go to plan; one to note for handicaps.
5
Horse silk
It's Probably Me37
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: R Patrick(3)| T: H D Daly| OR:  122| BF
5/4
Bumper winner on debut before being tested in Listed company in that same sphere and over hurdles. Far from disgraced at Taunton in a mares' Listed hurdle; shaped with promise against Molly Ollys Wishes last time; could reverse form this time.
7
Horse silk
Meep Meep107
Age: 7|  Weight: 10-12| J: Conor Shoemark| T: D Skelton| OR:  107WS
17/2
First run for a new yard who have one of the main contenders in this and she looks very much the second string. Badly lost her form over hurdles when with Tom Lacey; interesting to see what this yard can do with her after a wind op.
8
Horse silk
150/1
Hard to see her troubling the principals in this having started at big odds in a bumper and two novice hurdles so far. Soundly beaten on each occasion she can only be watched once more.
A mixed bag of performances so far but she has shown ability on a couple of occasions with the latest effort at Wincanton over 2m looking to be her best. She shaped better than the bare result there; may have more left in her locker in time.
10
Horse silk
Wild Polly679
Age: 6|  Weight: 10-12| J: Craig Nichol| T: R Dobbin
25/1
Winner of an Irish mares' maiden point-to-point on her second start (April 2018) having unseated on her debut. Third and fourth from her win have won under Rules since; cost €60,000, worth a second glance in the betting.

Non-Runners

6
Horse silk
Leeswood Lily33
Weight: 10-12|  Age: 7
T: J Candlish  J: Sean Quinlan
NR

Forecasts

It's Probably Me (5/4), Molly Ollys Wishes (13/8), Leeswood Lily (7/1), Meep Meep (17/2), Singapore Saga (10/1), Inawhilecrocodile (12/1), Wild Polly (25/1), A New Siege (33/1), Mighty Elsa (150/1), Akilaya (200/1)

Verdict

Rather like the earlier novices’ hurdle on the card there look to be two main players with the Warwick winner Molly Ollys Wishes looking to maintain her superiority over the second IT’S PROBABLY ME. The penalty that Dan Skelton’s charge carries may just tilt the decision in the direction of the suggestion especially as that one was hampered by a slowly run race. Those two stand out but there are one or two to watch out for in the future especially once they get a handicap mark in the shape of Inawhilecrocodile and Singapore Saga along with A New Siege who could well outrun her odds.
  1. It's Probably Me
  2. Molly Ollys Wishes
  3. Inawhilecrocodile

Previous Winners

2019
The White Mouse
Weight: 11-5  |Age: 5
11/10

Prize Money

1st: £3,769.002nd: £1,107.003rd: £553.004th: £277.00

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