16:45 Newcastle

Thursday 27 February 2020

All13:5514:3015:0515:4016:1516:45

Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Handicap

Off time: 16:47 | Winning time: 1m 29.72s

(4)

Dawaaleeb^v¹⁶³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: J L Eyre| OR: 85| C

6/1

Hasn't raced on the AW (2-2) for fast approaching two years (beat the John Gosden-trained Samharry in a 1m novice here); kicked off last season with an excellent fourth in the Class 2 Spring Mile at Doncaster; now rated 9lb lower.

Form: 723767-

(1)

Lion Hearted⁵⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 85| CD

16/1

Enjoyed a stellar season on the AW last winter, rising 40lb in the weights for seven wins (unfortunate not to be a few more); folded tamely on his return to action (finished last of six) at Chelmsford (1m) early in the New Year.

Form: 19110-6

(3)

Candelisa^t¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-6| J: Thomas Greatrex⁽³⁾| T: D Loughnane| OR: 84| BF| D

7/2

Has rediscovered a spark in recent weeks and continues in a fine run of form (steadily climbing back up the weights); pressed the shock winner Intrepidly all the way to the line when runner-up (beaten fav) at Kempton (1m) 15 days ago.

Form: 0603-12

(5)

Inhale^h1²¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Hayley Turner| T: M L W Bell| OR: 84| D

11/2

Lightly raced filly; left the care of Amanda Perrett for 115,000gns in December 2019; absent since readily landing a four-runner Cl 4 fillies' handicap at Doncaster (7f, gd/fm) last July; 6lb higher sporting a newly-applied hood.

Form: 31/71-

(6)

Gallipoli^v²²

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: D Nolan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 82| D

11/2

Modest AW strike-rate (1-15); that said, shaped encouragingly at Wolverhampton (7f) latest and is now rated 8lb lower than when finishing a close second to Keyser Soze in a valuable Cl 2 C&D handicap last February.

Form: 6770-63

(10)

Little Jo²⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: Ben Robinson| T: B Ellison| OR: 80| C

5/1

Finished strongly when going down in a three-way photo to My Target here (1m) back in November; more moderate under varying tactics (has led) since; has work to do with Fortamour on recent form lines.

Form: 1/038-58

(9)

Los Camachos³³

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: B A Curtis| T: J Gallagher| OR: 76| BF| D

11/2

Yet to visit Newcastle but clearly effective across the UK AW portfolio (4-16), including on Tapeta at Wolverhampton; 3lb higher than when beating Hart Stopper (form rock-solid) by 1L at Kempton (6f) last month; stays 7f and more.

Form: 3704-17

(8)

Aegeus¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: Owen Payton⁽⁷⁾| T: Jedd O'Keeffe| OR: 72| C

28/1

Broke the maiden (stable debut) when beating Ravenscar (runs earlier) by a head over the straight mile here in early October; more laboured on his return to action/handicap debut here 12 days ago.

Form: 2321-8

(11)

Insurplus¹⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 8-7| J: Phil Dennis| T: J S Goldie| OR: 69| CD

7/1

Five-time course winner (C&D x3); has flashed home from the rear on his last couple of starts (7f-1m), including when fourth to Kind Review here (Cl 5) 16 days ago; tough task, but shouldn't ever be discounted in haste at Gosforth Park.

Form: 0435-34

Non-Runners

(2)

Fortamour³⁷

Weight: 9-2| Age: 4

T: B Haslam J: P Mulrennan

(7)

Woodside Wonder⁴¹

Weight: 8-11| Age: 4

T: K Dalgleish J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Candelisa (7/2), Fortamour (4/1), Little Jo (5/1), Gallipoli (11/2), Inhale (11/2), Los Camachos (11/2), Dawaaleeb (6/1), Insurplus (7/1), Lion Hearted (16/1), Woodside Wonder (16/1), Aegeus (28/1)

Strong numerically and equally so in terms of competitiveness. Candelisa continues in positive form while a case can also be made from a handicapping perspective for Dawaaleeb (2-2 AW) and Gallipoli. Unlike Jim Goldie's standing-dish Insurplus, Jim Gallagher's Los Camachos is yet to race at Newcastle. However, he is effective on Tapeta and his recent 6f Kempton win appeals as rock-solid form. Nevertheless, we'll elect to side with the progressive four-year-old's Fortamour and INHALE. The former has C&D experience but the latter arguably more potential. She is the sole mount of Hayley Turner (3-13; 23% at Newcastle (AW)) on today's card.