19:30 Southwell

Thursday 5 December 2019

All16:1516:5017:2518:0018:3019:0019:3020:00

Betway Live Casino Handicap

Off time: 19:33 | Winning time: 3m 6.49s

(5)

Tynecastle Park⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 10-0| J: Selma Grage⁽⁷⁾| T: R Eddery| OR: 66| C

5/1

Three-time course winner (all over 2m) having only finished outside of the top two once here (over an inadequate trip). Proved better than ever last time going down narrowly over C&D after an eight-month break; sure to go well again.

Form: 721122

(10)

Heron^p¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: B R Johnson| OR: 64| CD

5/1

C&D winner who had worked his way back to his best on that occasion; lightly-raced since he ran respectably over this trip at Chelmsford last time (didn't get the clearest of runs). Ought to go well on his return to Fibresand off that performance.

Form: 216308

(3)

Cold Harbour^t¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: David Probert| T: R Brisland| OR: 62| C

7/1

Three of his four wins this year have come on this surface but all over shorter trips; yet to try a test such as this. Just 1lb above his last winning mark but hasn't on recent starts looked in the same fettle as he did when winning; more needed.

Form: 710334

(4)

Thahab Ifraj³⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-10| J: J Fanning| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 62| C

6/1

Often seen at his best on Fibresand (31211) resuming winning ways over 2m here last time to win with a bit in hand. Up 5lb and brought back to a shorter trip he doesn't look handicapped out of this; should again go close on a beloved surface.

Form: 312151

(11)

Sea Of Mystery^b,e/s1,t¹⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-9| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 61

7/1

A winner at Leicester back in September (1m2f, good/firm) cashing in on a much reduced mark he's not looked the easiest rides in his subsequent starts. Never a threat on his only Fibresand start; now tried in a headgear combination, others preferred.

Form: 123777

(2)

Bill Cody¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 58| D

8/1

Fibresand debutant whose two wins so far both came on turf over this trip. Given a chance by the handicapper of late his recent form has been rather in-and-out with one of his better effort coming last time when attempting to make all at Chelmsford.

Form: 956354

(6)

Extreme Appeal^b,e/s1¹⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-5| J: G Lee| T: Miss Kelly Morgan| OR: 57

20/1

In good form off lowly marks earlier in the season winning on turf/Tapeta at up to 2m. Ran respectably over 1m6f last time at Chelmsford (needed a stronger gallop); Fibresand debut in a new headgear combination, can be slow away, limited appeal.

Form: 411666

(8)

Earl Of Bunnacurry²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: C Lee| T: G P Cromwell| OR: 56| C

5/1

Irish raider from a well-respected yard; has won here before over 1m off this same mark. Not been in much form of late including when running well below market expectations at Wolverhampton; steps up markedly in trip, note for positive market vibes.

Form: 963468

(9)

Konigin^b1¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Nicola Currie| T: John Berry| OR: 54

16/1

Still a maiden after 16 Flat starts, now makes her Fibresand debut on the back of some less than inspiring efforts although to be fair she's not had things go her way recently. Underperformed last time out though, hard to see her breaking her maiden.

Form: 335009

(1)

Montelimar²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Andrew Breslin⁽⁵⁾| T: A Crook| OR: 51

100/1

Little impact in any sphere that she's raced in having already been tried in bumpers/over hurdles (last time out) and on the Flat (turf). Now makes her Fibresand/handicap debut but hard to make any sort of solid case for her.

Form: 473

(7)

Dancing Lilly⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: William Carson| T: Debbie Hughes| OR: 46

28/1

Fibresand newcomer whose form so far marks her down as a modest maiden faring poorly on her most recent start at Lingfield after a nine-week absence. Hard to see her making much of an impression here even off a basement mark.

Form: 056459

Forecasts

Tynecastle Park (5/1), Earl Of Bunnacurry (5/1), Heron (5/1), Thahab Ifraj (6/1), Cold Harbour (7/1), Sea Of Mystery (7/1), Bill Cody (8/1), Konigin (16/1), Extreme Appeal (20/1), Dancing Lilly (28/1), Montelimar (100/1)

The course record of Thahab Ifraj presents a compelling case especially as he won on his latest start here but he’s up in grade here and off a higher mark so will need to produce a little more to win again. That’s not to say he can’t but TYNECASTLE PARK another three-time course winner showed how effective he is on this surface last time and that recent run will have been needed off a break and he’s likely to have come on for it. That duo stand out in this despite there being other course winners like Heron, Cold Harbour and Earl Of Bunnacurry who steps up in trip but any market positivity should be respected. Sea Of Mystery comes from a stable that do well here but looks to have his quirks.